Football predictions 11/10/2026
Football predictions for 11/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 23 picks across 11 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.
Today's tipsbolt Real-time model output
Picks and results
Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars SPANISH LALIGAschedule Kickoff 19:00 GMT
Fixture:
Racing Santander vs Valencia
OUR SELECTION
1X (Racing Santander or draw)
EST. ODDS
~1.40
PROB.
68%
trending_up
Statistical Edge: Model probability 68% vs 69% implied by the market (-1 pp). Fair odds at model probability: 1.48, published odds: 1.40. Estimate, not a guarantee.
sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated
PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 11:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
MotherwellVS
Celtic1
21%
@4.90
X
21%
@4.70
2
58%
@1.57
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
LostpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.25 - 2.19
121% mkt 19%
X21% mkt 19%
258% mkt 62%
O2.567%
BTTS64%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
19% → 19%
-0.6 pp
X
20% → 20%
-0.6 pp
2
60% → 62%
+1.2 pp
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 11:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
Standard LiegeVS
Royal Charleroi SC1
35%
@2.85
X
26%
@3.45
2
39%
@2.40
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
X2 (Royal Charleroi SC or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.44
PROB.66%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.33 - 1.42
135% mkt 33%
X26% mkt 27%
239% mkt 40%
O2.552% mkt 53%
BTTS56%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
33% → 34%
+0.7 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.1 pp
2
39% → 39%
-0.7 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 12:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
ElcheVS
Celta Vigo1
34%
@2.95
X
27%
@3.30
2
39%
@2.50
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -3 pp
X2 (Celta Vigo or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.47
PROB.65%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.24 - 1.34
134% mkt 32%
X27% mkt 29%
239% mkt 39%
O2.548% mkt 48%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
33% → 32%
-0.6 pp
X
29% → 29%
-0.1 pp
2
38% → 39%
+0.7 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 12:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
TelstarVS
ADO Den Haag1
47%
@1.96
X
24%
@3.80
2
29%
@3.30
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 11.5 corners
ODDS1.60
PROB.67%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Telstar 5.8, ADO Den Haag 4.4, total 10.1 (line 11.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Telstar x0.88, ADO Den Haag x0.81 (sample 20 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.78 - 1.35
147% mkt 47%
X24% mkt 25%
229% mkt 28%
O2.560% mkt 62%
BTTS62%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
46% → 45%
-1.5 pp
X
25% → 26%
+0.5 pp
2
28% → 29%
+1.1 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 13:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
Crystal PalaceVS
Nottingham Forest1
36%
@2.75
X
26%
@3.40
2
37%
@2.55
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
X2 (Nottingham Forest or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.49
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 64%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.35 - 1.37
136% mkt 35%
X26% mkt 28%
237% mkt 38%
O2.551% mkt 51%
BTTS56%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
35% → 35%
+0.1 pp
X
28% → 29%
+0.5 pp
2
37% → 37%
-0.6 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 13:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
Gaziantep FKVS
Çorum FK1
38%
@2.60
X
27%
@3.35
2
35%
@2.70
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
1X (Gaziantep FK or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.47
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.35 - 1.30
138% mkt 37%
X27% mkt 28%
235% mkt 35%
O2.549% mkt 50%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
37% → 40%
+3.8 pp
X
28% → 27%
-1.3 pp
2
35% → 33%
-2.5 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 13:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
NiceVS
Strasbourg1
41%
@2.35
X
25%
@3.65
2
34%
@2.90
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
1X (Nice or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.44
PROB.66%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.59 - 1.44
141% mkt 41%
X25% mkt 26%
234% mkt 33%
O2.558% mkt 59%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
41% → 43%
+1.8 pp
X
26% → 26%
-0.7 pp
2
33% → 32%
-1.1 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
FC CologneVS
Borussia Mönchengladbach1
47%
@2.05
X
24%
@3.70
2
28%
@3.15
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.47
PROB.65%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.72 - 1.28
147% mkt 46%
X24% mkt 25%
228% mkt 29%
O2.558%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
45% → 49%
+3.2 pp
X
25% → 25%
-0.1 pp
2
30% → 26%
-3.1 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
IraklisVS
Levadiakos1
42%
@2.35
X
29%
@3.05
2
29%
@3.30
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 1.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.43
PROB.66%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.26 - 1.01
142% mkt 41%
X29% mkt 31%
229% mkt 28%
O2.540% mkt 40%
BTTS46%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
40% → 42%
+1.7 pp
X
31% → 31%
-0.1 pp
2
29% → 27%
-1.7 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 14:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
ExcelsiorVS
FC Groningen1
38%
@2.50
X
24%
@3.60
2
37%
@2.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
ODDS1.50
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 63%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.57 - 1.55
138% mkt 37%
X24% mkt 25%
237% mkt 38%
O2.560% mkt 62%
BTTS63%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
37% → 38%
+0.7 pp
X
26% → 26%
+0.0 pp
2
38% → 37%
-0.7 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 15:15 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
Stade RennaisVS
AJ Auxerre1
67%
@1.44
X
19%
@5.00
2
14%
@6.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTSMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
Over 2.5 goals
ODDS1.50
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 63%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.29 - 0.98
167% mkt 68%
X19% mkt 18%
214% mkt 14%
O2.563% mkt 64%
BTTS56%
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 15:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
LiverpoolVS
Manchester City1
33%
@2.95
X
24%
@3.75
2
43%
@2.25
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -2 pp
X2 (Manchester City or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.43
PROB.66%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
warningStakes and news check: Liverpool have two doubtful forwards, Alexander Isak (thigh injury) and Cody Gakpo (ankle injury). No dated sources were found for Manchester City or for the stakes of the standings.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.45 - 1.68
133% mkt 32%
X24% mkt 25%
243% mkt 43%
O2.561% mkt 60%
BTTS63%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
32% → 30%
-2.8 pp
X
25% → 26%
+0.5 pp
2
42% → 45%
+2.3 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 15:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
SC FreiburgVS
Schalke 041
59%
@1.59
X
22%
@3.85
2
19%
@5.25
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.52
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.96 - 1.01
159% mkt 60%
X22% mkt 23%
219% mkt 16%
O2.557% mkt 59%
BTTS55%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
58% → 55%
-3.6 pp
X
24% → 24%
+0.3 pp
2
18% → 21%
+3.4 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 16:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
BesiktasVS
Kocaelispor1
75%
@1.26
X
16%
@6.00
2
9%
@11.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.46
PROB.65%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.53
PROB.62%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 62%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.47 - 0.74
175% mkt 78%
X16% mkt 14%
29% mkt 7%
O2.562%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
76% → 78%
+2.0 pp
X
16% → 15%
-1.2 pp
2
9% → 8%
-0.7 pp
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 16:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
KVC WesterloVS
Antwerp1
47%
@2.05
X
25%
@3.80
2
29%
@3.25
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.43
PROB.67%
LostpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.68 - 1.28
147% mkt 47%
X25% mkt 24%
229% mkt 29%
O2.557%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
46% → 48%
+2.3 pp
X
25% → 24%
-0.6 pp
2
29% → 27%
-1.7 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 16:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
Real BetisVS
Osasuna1
64%
@1.51
X
21%
@4.50
2
15%
@6.00
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
1 (Real Betis)
ODDS1.51
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 64%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.01 - 0.87
164% mkt 65%
X21% mkt 20%
215% mkt 15%
O2.555% mkt 55%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
63% → 65%
+2.1 pp
X
21% → 20%
-0.9 pp
2
16% → 15%
-1.2 pp
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 17:15 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
KV MechelenVS
Sint-Truidense1
32%
@3.20
X
25%
@3.45
2
43%
@2.20
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.43
PROB.67%
LostpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: KV Mechelen are last with 3 points from 7 games, in the relegation zone (the bottom two go down to the Challenger Pro League), while Sint-Truidense are 12th with 8 points. No news on absences, injuries or manager changes was found for either club in the last 7 days, and no confirmed lineup is available.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.33 - 1.58
132% mkt 29%
X25% mkt 27%
243% mkt 44%
O2.556% mkt 57%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
30% → 31%
+1.6 pp
X
27% → 28%
+0.1 pp
2
43% → 41%
-1.7 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 18:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
CagliariVS
Juventus1
15%
@5.75
X
23%
@3.85
2
63%
@1.54
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +1 pp
2 (Juventus)
ODDS1.54
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 63%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.75 - 1.82
115% mkt 15%
X23% mkt 23%
263% mkt 62%
O2.547% mkt 47%
BTTS44%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
16% → 15%
-0.6 pp
X
24% → 25%
+1.0 pp
2
60% → 60%
-0.4 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
TroyesVS
Marseille1
28%
@3.65
X
24%
@3.90
2
48%
@1.95
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.55
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 63%.
warningStakes and news check: Marseille come in on four straight defeats, without the suspended Timothy Weah, and Amine Gouiri is a doubt with an injury, which weakens their attack. Both sides sit low in the table (Troyes 16th with 4 points, Marseille 17th with 3) and need a win, so an open game is possible.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.30 - 1.76
128% mkt 26%
X24% mkt 24%
248% mkt 50%
O2.559% mkt 61%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
26% → 27%
+1.1 pp
X
25% → 26%
+1.3 pp
2
49% → 47%
-2.4 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
Racing SantanderVS
Valencia1
43%
@2.25
X
25%
@3.55
2
32%
@3.05
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
1X (Racing Santander or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.40
PROB.68%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.50
PROB.66%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
warningStakes and news check: Valencia (19th, 4 points) and Racing Santander (16th, 7 points) both need points in this match, so an Under 3.5 does not fit the stakes. No dated source was found for injuries, suspensions or rotation.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.60 - 1.34
143% mkt 43%
X25% mkt 26%
232% mkt 31%
O2.556% mkt 57%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
42% → 42%
-0.5 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.2 pp
2
31% → 31%
+0.3 pp
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 19:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
AroucaVS
Estrela1
47%
@2.05
X
26%
@3.45
2
27%
@3.50
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 9.5 corners
ODDS1.70
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Arouca 4.9, Estrela 3.7, total 8.6 (line 9.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Arouca x0.79, Estrela x0.78 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 63%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.56 - 1.14
147% mkt 47%
X26% mkt 27%
227% mkt 26%
O2.550% mkt 51%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
46% → 44%
-2.1 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.0 pp
2
27% → 29%
+2.1 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 10:15 GMT
FC UtrechtVS
Willem II1
63%
@1.46
X
20%
@4.33
2
17%
@6.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.20 - 1.06
163% mkt 65%
X20% mkt 19%
217% mkt 16%
O2.563% mkt 65%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
63% → 62%
-1.0 pp
X
20% → 21%
+0.3 pp
2
17% → 17%
+0.6 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 10:30 GMT
ComoVS
AS Roma1
39%
@2.45
X
25%
@3.45
2
36%
@2.65
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.54 - 1.46
139% mkt 38%
X25% mkt 27%
236% mkt 35%
O2.558% mkt 58%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
38% → 40%
+2.5 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.0 pp
2
35% → 33%
-2.5 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 10:30 GMT
KonyasporVS
Istanbul Basaksehir1
38%
@2.60
X
26%
@3.45
2
36%
@2.60
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.41 - 1.38
138% mkt 36%
X26% mkt 27%
236% mkt 36%
O2.553% mkt 54%
BTTS57%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
36% → 41%
+4.6 pp
X
27% → 27%
-0.1 pp
2
36% → 32%
-4.5 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 12:30 GMT
PEC ZwolleVS
SC Cambuur1
47%
@2.05
X
24%
@3.80
2
29%
@3.30
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.77 - 1.35
147% mkt 47%
X24% mkt 25%
229% mkt 28%
O2.560% mkt 62%
BTTS62%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
46% → 46%
-0.2 pp
X
25% → 25%
-0.1 pp
2
29% → 29%
+0.3 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 13:00 GMT
AberdeenVS
St Johnstone1
45%
@2.15
X
27%
@3.30
2
28%
@3.40
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.48 - 1.13
145% mkt 44%
X27% mkt 28%
228% mkt 27%
O2.548% mkt 49%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
44% → 46%
+2.4 pp
X
29% → 27%
-1.1 pp
2
28% → 26%
-1.4 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 13:00 GMT
Hull CityVS
Everton1
28%
@3.60
X
27%
@3.40
2
45%
@2.10
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.11 - 1.45
128% mkt 26%
X27% mkt 28%
245% mkt 46%
O2.547% mkt 48%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
27% → 26%
-0.6 pp
X
28% → 29%
+0.5 pp
2
45% → 46%
+0.1 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 13:00 GMT
LazioVS
Monza1
57%
@1.65
X
23%
@3.80
2
20%
@4.80
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.83 - 0.99
157% mkt 58%
X23% mkt 23%
220% mkt 18%
O2.554% mkt 54%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
56% → 54%
-2.4 pp
X
24% → 25%
+0.6 pp
2
19% → 21%
+1.7 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 13:00 GMT
LecceVS
Bologna1
23%
@4.20
X
27%
@3.20
2
50%
@1.91
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.93 - 1.51
123% mkt 21%
X27% mkt 29%
250% mkt 50%
O2.544% mkt 44%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
22% → 24%
+1.5 pp
X
29% → 29%
+0.1 pp
2
49% → 47%
-1.6 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
KifisiaVS
Panetolikos1
51%
@1.87
X
27%
@3.50
2
23%
@4.10
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.52 - 0.93
151% mkt 51%
X27% mkt 26%
223% mkt 22%
O2.544% mkt 44%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
50% → 50%
-0.6 pp
X
27% → 28%
+1.0 pp
2
23% → 23%
-0.4 pp
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
Union St.-GilloiseVS
OH Leuven1
76%
@1.24
X
15%
@6.00
2
8%
@11.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.53 - 0.74
176% mkt 79%
X15% mkt 14%
28% mkt 7%
O2.563%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
76% → 75%
-0.8 pp
X
16% → 16%
+0.8 pp
2
9% → 9%
+0.1 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 14:15 GMT
Real SociedadVS
Deportivo1
61%
@1.61
X
22%
@4.10
2
17%
@5.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.95 - 0.94
161% mkt 61%
X22% mkt 23%
217% mkt 17%
O2.555% mkt 55%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
59% → 54%
-5.6 pp
X
23% → 25%
+1.8 pp
2
17% → 21%
+3.8 pp
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 14:30 GMT
Rio AveVS
C.D. Nacional1
42%
@2.30
X
27%
@3.25
2
30%
@3.20
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.39 - 1.13
142% mkt 42%
X27% mkt 29%
230% mkt 29%
O2.546% mkt 47%
BTTS51%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
41% → 45%
+3.5 pp
X
29% → 29%
-0.3 pp
2
30% → 26%
-3.2 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 16:00 GMT
ArisVS
Volos NFC1
61%
@1.56
X
23%
@4.10
2
16%
@5.75
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.83 - 0.83
161% mkt 62%
X23% mkt 22%
216% mkt 15%
O2.550% mkt 50%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
61% → 63%
+2.1 pp
X
23% → 22%
-1.5 pp
2
16% → 16%
-0.6 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 16:00 GMT
SassuoloVS
AC Milan1
24%
@4.00
X
24%
@3.55
2
52%
@1.80
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.11 - 1.75
124% mkt 22%
X24% mkt 25%
252% mkt 53%
O2.555% mkt 55%
BTTS56%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
23% → 23%
+0.4 pp
X
26% → 25%
-0.6 pp
2
51% → 51%
+0.2 pp
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 17:00 GMT
BenficaVS
Vitória de Guimaraes1
79%
@1.20
X
14%
@7.00
2
7%
@12.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.66 - 0.70
179% mkt 82%
X14% mkt 12%
27% mkt 6%
O2.565% mkt 68%
BTTS47%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
79% → 78%
-0.7 pp
X
13% → 13%
+0.0 pp
2
8% → 9%
+0.7 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 18:00 GMT
OlympiacosVS
Panathinaikos1
43%
@2.30
X
28%
@3.10
2
29%
@3.35
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.37 - 1.09
143% mkt 42%
X28% mkt 30%
229% mkt 28%
O2.544% mkt 45%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
41% → 45%
+3.9 pp
X
31% → 30%
-0.5 pp
2
28% → 25%
-3.4 pp
fact_check
At a glance
37
EVALUATED
23
PUBLISHED
23
FREE
We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.
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