Besiktas vs Kocaelispor prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Besiktas vs Kocaelispor, 2026-10-11, Turkish Super Lig, kickoff 19:00 Athens time

stadiumTURKISH SUPER LIG•16:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Besiktas

VS16:00 GMT

Kocaelispor

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.21

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

62%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

48%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

65%

ODDS

1.46

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 BesiktasX2 Kocaelispor

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Besiktas (1)	75.6%	77.5%	1.29	trending_up+2.0 pp
Draw (X)	15.8%	14.6%	6.86	trending_down-1.2 pp
Kocaelispor (2)	8.6%	7.9%	12.66	trending_down-0.7 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK65%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 65%.

Indicative odds: 1.46

Goals O/U & BTTS62%

Over 2.5 goals

Our probability: 62%.

Indicative odds: 1.53

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Besiktas 2 - 0 Kocaelispor

PROBABILITY

12.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.8Exp. cards 4.6

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Besiktas

75%1.331.26

Draw

16%6.266.00

Kocaelispor

9%11.2411.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Besiktas or draw

91%1.10—

Kocaelispor or draw

25%4.02—

Either team wins (no draw)

84%1.19—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

83%1.20—

Under 1.5 goals

17%5.97—

Over 2.5 goals

62%1.61—

Under 2.5 goals

38%2.65—

Over 3.5 goals

40%2.50—

Under 3.5 goals

60%1.67—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

48%2.08—

Not both score (NG)

52%1.93—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

71%1.41—

Under 7.5 corners

29%3.43—

Over 8.5 corners

60%1.66—

Under 8.5 corners

40%2.51—

Over 9.5 corners

49%2.03—

Under 9.5 corners

51%1.97—

Over 10.5 corners

39%2.57—

Under 10.5 corners

61%1.64—

Over 11.5 corners

30%3.37—

Under 11.5 corners

70%1.42—

Over 12.5 corners

22%4.57—

Under 12.5 corners

78%1.28—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

93%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

7%14.19—

Over 2.5 cards

83%1.21—

Under 2.5 cards

17%5.72—

Over 3.5 cards

67%1.50—

Under 3.5 cards

33%2.99—

Over 4.5 cards

48%2.07—

Under 4.5 cards

52%1.94—

Over 5.5 cards

32%3.16—

Under 5.5 cards

68%1.46—

Over 6.5 cards

19%5.29—

Under 6.5 cards

81%1.23—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Besiktas

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 17-7

WWWWL

LAAmed SFK2-3

WHMarseille4-1

WHErzurum BB3-0

WAFenerbahce2-1

WHÇorum FK6-2

Kocaelispor

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 7-2

WWWLW

WHGaziantep FK2-0

LAGalatasaray0-1

WHSamsunspor1-0

WAKonyaspor2-1

WHAmed SFK2-0

Head-to-head

2026-02-28

Kocaelispor0 - 1Besiktas

2025-09-29

Besiktas3 - 1Kocaelispor

2019-07-21

Besiktas7 - 1Kocaelispor

2009-04-10

Kocaelispor1 - 3Besiktas

2008-11-07

Besiktas5 - 2Kocaelispor

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Team comparison

Besiktas

VS

Kocaelispor

#109 ▲1Power Index 51.4

Power Ranking

#215 ▼4Power Index 35.3

€274m2nd in the league

Squad value

€25m16th in the league

Vincenzo Italianosince 6 Jun 2026 · 15 games · 2.40 pts/game

Head coach

Selçuk İnansince 1 Jul 2025 · 47 games · 1.19 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

75%Market 78% -3

Draw (X)

16%Market 14%

Away win (2)

9%Market 7%

Over 2.5 goals

62%Market: —

Both teams to score

48%Market: —

Expected goals

2.5 - 0.7

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Besiktas 2 - 0 Kocaelispor (12.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 012.3%
2. 3 - 010.1%
3. 1 - 010.0%
4. 2 - 19.1%
5. 3 - 17.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Kocaelispor

Goals scored by Besiktas

01234504.03.01.10.30.10.0110.07.42.70.70.10.0212.39.13.40.80.20.0310.17.52.80.70.10.046.34.61.70.40.10.053.12.30.80.20.00.0

Next matches of Besiktas

26/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeIstanbul Basaksehir

1/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayKasimpasa

8/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeGenclerbirligi

Next matches of Kocaelispor

23/10/2026 · TUR.1AwayAlanyaspor

31/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeCaykur Rizespor

7/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayEyupspor

Our model gives Besiktas win 75%, draw 16%, Kocaelispor win 9%. over 2.5 goals 62%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 2.47 - 0.74. largest gap to the market: Besiktas win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.