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Football predictions 23/10/2026

Football predictions for 23/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 3 picks across 3 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.

Today's tips
bolt Real-time model output

Picks and results

Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
workspace_premium COMBO ESTIMATE
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEschedule Kickoff 18:45 GMT
Fixture:

KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen

OUR SELECTION
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS
@1.40
PROB.
70%
trending_up

Statistical Edge: Model probability 70%, fair odds 1.42, published odds 1.40. No market-implied comparison is available for this pick. Estimate, not a guarantee.

sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated

PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
BrestVSNice
1
45%
@2.25
X
25%
@3.40
2
30%
@3.25
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.41
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.61 - 1.27
145% mkt 43%
X25% mkt 28%
230% mkt 29%
O2.555% mkt 56%
BTTS58%
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
KV KortrijkVSKV Mechelen
1
37%
@2.50
X
26%
@3.40
2
36%
@2.65
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.70%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 70%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.39 - 1.37
137% mkt 38%
X26% mkt 27%
236% mkt 35%
O2.552% mkt 53%
BTTS56%
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
Ipswich TownVSNottingham Forest
1
32%
@3.00
X
25%
@3.55
2
43%
@2.30
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.45
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.33 - 1.58
132% mkt 32%
X25% mkt 27%
243% mkt 42%
O2.556% mkt 55%
BTTS59%
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 17:00 GMT
AlanyasporVSKocaelispor
1
48%
@1.95
X
28%
@3.20
2
23%
@4.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.37 - 0.86
148% mkt 49%
X28% mkt 29%
223% mkt 23%
O2.538% mkt 41%
BTTS43%
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 18:00 GMT
Go Ahead EaglesVSTelstar
1
60%
@1.59
X
20%
@4.20
2
20%
@5.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.21 - 1.20
160% mkt 61%
X20% mkt 21%
220% mkt 18%
O2.566% mkt 67%
BTTS63%
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 18:30 GMT
VfB StuttgartVSBorussia Mönchengladbach
1
70%
@1.36
X
16%
@5.25
2
14%
@6.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.76 - 1.18
170% mkt 71%
X16% mkt 16%
214% mkt 14%
O2.575% mkt 76%
BTTS65%
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 18:45 GMT
TorinoVSMonza
1
46%
@2.05
X
26%
@3.35
2
28%
@3.35
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.54 - 1.15
146% mkt 46%
X26% mkt 27%
228% mkt 27%
O2.550% mkt 49%
BTTS54%
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 19:00 GMT
AlavésVSMálaga
1
57%
@1.77
X
25%
@3.70
2
18%
@4.80
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.69 - 0.83
157% mkt 55%
X25% mkt 25%
218% mkt 19%
O2.546% mkt 46%
BTTS46%
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 19:45 GMT
Vitória de GuimaraesVSMaritimo
1
59%
@1.57
X
24%
@3.95
2
17%
@5.75
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.73 - 0.82
159% mkt 62%
X24% mkt 23%
217% mkt 15%
O2.547% mkt 49%
BTTS47%
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At a glance

9
EVALUATED
3
PUBLISHED
3
FREE

We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.

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Frequently asked questions

What to know before you use the predictions.

What is AI Goal Lab?

AI Goal Lab publishes football predictions built on statistics. For each match there is one pick with a probability, the odds and the reasoning behind it. All numbers are model estimates, not certainties.

How are the predictions made?

A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

Which odds do you use?

Real bookmaker prices where available. When no real price exists, the pick shows an estimated price and is clearly labelled as an estimate.

Are the predictions guaranteed?

No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

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