PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur, 2026-10-11, Dutch Eredivisie, kickoff 15:30 Athens time

stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•12:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

PEC Zwolle

VS12:30 GMT

SC Cambuur

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.13

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

60%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

62%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 PEC ZwolleX2 SC Cambuur

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
PEC Zwolle (1)	46.3%	46.1%	2.17	trending_flat-0.2 pp
Draw (X)	25%	24.9%	4.02	trending_flat-0.1 pp
SC Cambuur (2)	28.7%	29.1%	3.44	trending_flat+0.3 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 SC Cambuur

PROBABILITY

10.5%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.9Exp. cards 2.9

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

PEC Zwolle

47%2.132.05

Draw

24%4.203.80

SC Cambuur

29%3.433.30

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

PEC Zwolle or draw

71%1.41—

SC Cambuur or draw

53%1.89—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.31—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

82%1.221.15

Under 1.5 goals

18%5.624.50

Over 2.5 goals

60%1.651.52

Under 2.5 goals

40%2.532.35

Over 3.5 goals

38%2.622.25

Under 3.5 goals

62%1.621.60

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

62%1.62—

Not both score (NG)

38%2.62—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

72%1.39—

Under 7.5 corners

28%3.57—

Over 8.5 corners

62%1.621.30

Under 8.5 corners

38%2.603.05

Over 9.5 corners

51%1.971.58

Under 9.5 corners

49%2.032.20

Over 10.5 corners

40%2.482.02

Under 10.5 corners

60%1.681.70

Over 11.5 corners

31%3.232.60

Under 11.5 corners

69%1.451.40

Over 12.5 corners

23%4.35—

Under 12.5 corners

77%1.30—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

77%1.30—

Under 1.5 cards

23%4.34—

Over 2.5 cards

54%1.84—

Under 2.5 cards

46%2.18—

Over 3.5 cards

33%3.07—

Under 3.5 cards

67%1.48—

Over 4.5 cards

17%5.84—

Under 4.5 cards

83%1.21—

Over 5.5 cards

8%12.06—

Under 5.5 cards

92%1.09—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER40%

add_circlePEC Zwolle

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.30

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

PEC Zwolle

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-15

WLDLL

LAFC Groningen0-3

LHFeyenoord Rotterdam0-7

DASparta Rotterdam2-2

LHNEC Nijmegen1-3

WAHeerenveen2-0

SC Cambuur

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 9-12

LLDWD

DAADO Den Haag1-1

WHNEC Nijmegen3-0

DATelstar2-2

LHFC Twente1-4

LHFeyenoord Rotterdam2-5

Head-to-head

2022-02-12

SC Cambuur3 - 4PEC Zwolle

2021-11-06

PEC Zwolle1 - 2SC Cambuur

2016-02-27

SC Cambuur1 - 0PEC Zwolle

2015-08-12

PEC Zwolle2 - 2SC Cambuur

2015-03-07

PEC Zwolle6 - 1SC Cambuur

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Team comparison

PEC Zwolle

VS

SC Cambuur

#229 ▲4Power Index 32.8

Power Ranking

#244Power Index 27.4

€25m11th in the league

Squad value

€15m17th in the league

Mirjam Cliffordsince 1 Oct 2024 · 0 games

Head coach

Johan Platsince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

47%Market 47%

Draw (X)

24%Market 25%

Away win (2)

29%Market 28%

Over 2.5 goals

60%Market 62%

Both teams to score

62%Market: —

Expected goals

1.8 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 SC Cambuur (10.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.5%
2. 2 - 19.3%
3. 1 - 07.8%
4. 1 - 27.1%
5. 2 - 06.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by SC Cambuur

Goals scored by PEC Zwolle

01234504.45.94.01.80.60.217.810.57.13.21.10.326.99.36.32.91.00.334.15.53.71.70.60.241.82.41.70.70.30.150.60.90.60.30.10.0

Next matches of PEC Zwolle

24/10/2026 · NED.1AwayFC Utrecht

1/11/2026 · NED.1HomeADO Den Haag

6/11/2026 · NED.1AwayWillem II

Next matches of SC Cambuur

24/10/2026 · NED.1AwayWillem II

31/10/2026 · NED.1HomeGo Ahead Eagles

8/11/2026 · NED.1HomePSV Eindhoven

Our model gives PEC Zwolle win 47%, draw 24%, SC Cambuur win 29%. over 2.5 goals 60%. both teams to score 62%. expected goals 1.77 - 1.35. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.