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Football predictions 10/10/2026

Football predictions for 10/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 27 picks across 10 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.

Today's tips
bolt Real-time model output

Picks and results

Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
workspace_premium COMBO ESTIMATE
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars GERMAN BUNDESLIGAschedule Kickoff 13:30 GMT
Fixture:

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart

OUR SELECTION
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS
~1.41
PROB.
67%
trending_up

Statistical Edge: Model probability 67%, fair odds 1.48, published odds 1.41. No market-implied comparison is available for this pick. Estimate, not a guarantee.

sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated

PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 13:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
AlanyasporVSErzurum BB
1
49%
@1.95
X
28%
@3.25
2
23%
@4.20
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 1.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.41
PROB.67%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.42 - 0.88
149% mkt 49%
X28% mkt 29%
223% mkt 22%
O2.540% mkt 40%
BTTS45%
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
1. FC Union BerlinVSSV Elversberg
1
41%
@2.35
X
25%
@3.45
2
34%
@2.70
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
1X (1. FC Union Berlin or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.45
PROB.66%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.57 - 1.43
141% mkt 40%
X25% mkt 26%
234% mkt 34%
O2.558% mkt 59%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
39% → 39%
+0.0 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.0 pp
2
34% → 34%
+0.0 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
FC AugsburgVSBayern Munich
1
7%
@11.00
X
10%
@8.00
2
83%
@1.15
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.41
PROB.67%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: Jamal Musiala (Bayern's key playmaker) tore his right thigh during Germany's warm-up before the Netherlands UEFA Nations League match and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks. Bayern remains potent with alternative options (Olise, Kane, Diaz), but Musiala's absence does not favor the GG outcome. Augsburg shows steady attacking form (Gregoritsch 3 goals in 4 games), though this does not alter the league standings.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.16 - 3.75
17% mkt 6%
X10% mkt 9%
283% mkt 85%
O2.587% mkt 88%
BTTS67%
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
SC Paderborn 07VSVfB Stuttgart
1
22%
@4.60
X
20%
@4.50
2
58%
@1.56
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.41
PROB.67%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: VfB Stuttgart faces significant injury problems in attack: striker Deniz Undav is out, Jamie Leweling suffered a thigh injury, and Angelo Stiller is uncertain. Only Ermedin Demirovic is available as a striker, while SC Paderborn 07 has an almost full roster.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.37 - 2.30
122% mkt 19%
X20% mkt 19%
258% mkt 62%
O2.571% mkt 74%
BTTS67%
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
Aston VillaVSBrentford
1
36%
@2.75
X
25%
@3.50
2
39%
@2.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.50
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 65%.
warningStakes and news check: Aston Villa without Ramsey (season injury) and 16th with 4 points, but beat Tottenham 3-2. Brentford unbeaten with 9 points after 3-0 win vs Chelsea—both teams scoring heavily. Under 3.5 goals questionable.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.46 - 1.53
136% mkt 35%
X25% mkt 27%
239% mkt 38%
O2.557% mkt 57%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
35% → 37%
+2.8 pp
X
27% → 27%
-0.7 pp
2
38% → 36%
-2.1 pp
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
Cercle Brugge KSVVSAnderlecht
1
27%
@3.60
X
25%
@3.85
2
48%
@1.91
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.44
PROB.66%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.24 - 1.70
127% mkt 26%
X25% mkt 24%
248% mkt 50%
O2.556%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
26% → 30%
+3.8 pp
X
24% → 25%
+0.7 pp
2
49% → 45%
-4.4 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
ChelseaVSAFC Bournemouth
1
52%
@1.83
X
23%
@3.85
2
25%
@4.10
FREE TIPCARDS
Over 3.5 κίτρινες cards
ODDS1.60
PROB.66%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.89 - 1.24
152% mkt 53%
X23% mkt 24%
225% mkt 23%
O2.560% mkt 60%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
52% → 52%
+0.3 pp
X
25% → 24%
-0.5 pp
2
23% → 23%
+0.1 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
Dundee UnitedVSHibernian
1
37%
@2.70
X
25%
@3.60
2
38%
@2.45
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.47
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 65%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.48 - 1.52
137% mkt 35%
X25% mkt 26%
238% mkt 39%
O2.558% mkt 59%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
35% → 36%
+1.3 pp
X
26% → 27%
+0.3 pp
2
39% → 37%
-1.6 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
Heart of MidlothianVSSt Mirren
1
65%
@1.46
X
19%
@4.90
2
16%
@6.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.46
PROB.65%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 65%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.29 - 1.07
165% mkt 67%
X19% mkt 18%
216% mkt 15%
O2.565%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
65% → 66%
+1.3 pp
X
19% → 19%
+0.0 pp
2
16% → 15%
-1.2 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 14:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
Go Ahead EaglesVSSparta Rotterdam
1
57%
@1.67
X
21%
@4.30
2
22%
@4.40
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.45
PROB.65%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 65%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.19 - 1.33
157% mkt 58%
X21% mkt 21%
222% mkt 21%
O2.568% mkt 71%
BTTS65%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 58%
+1.6 pp
X
22% → 22%
+0.1 pp
2
21% → 20%
-1.7 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 15:15 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
LilleVSLe Havre AC
1
66%
@1.48
X
20%
@4.70
2
14%
@6.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.52
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 65%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.12 - 0.87
166% mkt 66%
X20% mkt 20%
214% mkt 14%
O2.557% mkt 59%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
65% → 65%
+0.2 pp
X
20% → 20%
-0.1 pp
2
15% → 15%
-0.1 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 16:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
Caykur RizesporVSFenerbahce
1
23%
@4.50
X
23%
@4.20
2
54%
@1.69
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.49
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 64%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.15 - 1.89
123% mkt 20%
X23% mkt 22%
254% mkt 58%
O2.559%
BTTS58%
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 16:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
InternazionaleVSParma
1
84%
@1.12
X
11%
@8.00
2
6%
@15.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 4.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.49
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 64%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 3.18 - 0.77
184% mkt 87%
X11% mkt 9%
26% mkt 4%
O2.575%
BTTS51%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
82% → 82%
-0.7 pp
X
12% → 12%
+0.8 pp
2
6% → 6%
+0.0 pp
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 16:15 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
RAAL La LouvièreVSClub Brugge
1
14%
@7.50
X
18%
@5.25
2
68%
@1.35
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.49
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 64%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.96 - 2.34
114% mkt 11%
X18% mkt 17%
268% mkt 72%
O2.564%
BTTS56%
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 16:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
AEK AthensVSOFI Crete
1
75%
@1.26
X
16%
@6.00
2
10%
@10.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.45
PROB.66%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.55 - 0.82
175% mkt 78%
X16% mkt 14%
210% mkt 8%
O2.566%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
75% → 74%
-0.7 pp
X
16% → 16%
+0.7 pp
2
9% → 9%
+0.0 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 16:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
BarcelonaVSGetafe
1
90%
@1.09
X
7%
@11.00
2
3%
@23.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS1.50
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 64%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 3.42 - 0.51
190% mkt 91%
X7% mkt 7%
23% mkt 3%
O2.575% mkt 76%
BTTS39%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
87% → 85%
-2.1 pp
X
9% → 10%
+1.4 pp
2
4% → 5%
+0.6 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 16:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
Feyenoord RotterdamVSAZ Alkmaar
1
57%
@1.67
X
21%
@4.20
2
22%
@4.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.50
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 63%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.12 - 1.26
157% mkt 58%
X21% mkt 22%
222% mkt 20%
O2.566% mkt 68%
BTTS63%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 55%
-1.6 pp
X
22% → 24%
+1.1 pp
2
21% → 21%
+0.5 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 18:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 61%
Fortuna SittardVSFC Twente
1
16%
@6.50
X
19%
@5.25
2
65%
@1.42
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.55
PROB.61%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 61%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.11 - 2.36
116% mkt 14%
X19% mkt 17%
265% mkt 69%
O2.568% mkt 70%
BTTS61%
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
AS MonacoVSToulouse
1
58%
@1.65
X
22%
@4.20
2
20%
@4.90
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.55
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 63%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.00 - 1.08
158% mkt 59%
X22% mkt 22%
220% mkt 19%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
58% → 58%
+0.5 pp
X
23% → 23%
-0.1 pp
2
19% → 19%
-0.5 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
BrestVSAngers
1
49%
@2.05
X
24%
@3.70
2
27%
@3.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.43
PROB.67%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.71 - 1.20
149% mkt 47%
X24% mkt 26%
227% mkt 27%
O2.556% mkt 57%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
47% → 49%
+2.3 pp
X
26% → 26%
-0.4 pp
2
27% → 26%
-1.9 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 62%
LorientVSParis FC
1
28%
@3.65
X
27%
@3.40
2
46%
@2.10
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 9.5 corners
ODDS1.55
PROB.62%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Expected corners: Lorient 4.2, Paris FC 4.5, total 8.7 (line 9.5).
  • Corners-for rate vs average: Lorient x0.79, Paris FC x0.88 (sample 25 and 20 equivalent matches).
  • Our probability: 62%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.08 - 1.47
128% mkt 26%
X27% mkt 28%
246% mkt 46%
O2.547% mkt 48%
BTTS51%
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
NapoliVSFrosinone
1
65%
@1.44
X
20%
@4.50
2
16%
@6.00
FREE TIPCARDS
Over 2.5 κίτρινες cards
ODDS1.83
PROB.66%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.26 - 1.04
165% mkt 67%
X20% mkt 19%
216% mkt 14%
O2.564% mkt 66%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
64% → 62%
-2.1 pp
X
21% → 21%
+0.6 pp
2
15% → 17%
+1.5 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 62%
Paris Saint-GermainVSLe Mans
1
85%
@1.12
X
10%
@10.00
2
5%
@18.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS1.50
PROB.62%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 62%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 3.27 - 0.77
185% mkt 88%
X10% mkt 8%
25% mkt 4%
O2.577% mkt 80%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
85% → 85%
-0.4 pp
X
10% → 10%
+0.0 pp
2
5% → 6%
+0.3 pp
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 62%
Racing GenkVSKV Kortrijk
1
67%
@1.39
X
19%
@5.00
2
14%
@7.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.52
PROB.62%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 62%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.29 - 0.94
167% mkt 70%
X19% mkt 18%
214% mkt 12%
O2.562%
BTTS55%
BELGIAN PRO LEAGUEKickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
Zulte-WaregemVSKAA Gent
1
36%
@2.75
X
28%
@3.10
2
36%
@2.65
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
1X (Zulte-Waregem or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.48
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 64%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.20 - 1.20
136% mkt 34%
X28% mkt 30%
236% mkt 36%
O2.543% mkt 43%
BTTS49%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
34% → 33%
-1.0 pp
X
30% → 31%
+0.7 pp
2
35% → 36%
+0.3 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
Ajax AmsterdamVSNEC Nijmegen
1
70%
@1.33
X
16%
@6.00
2
14%
@7.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.45
PROB.65%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 65%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.77 - 1.19
170% mkt 73%
X16% mkt 14%
214% mkt 12%
O2.576% mkt 79%
BTTS65%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
71% → 72%
+1.0 pp
X
16% → 16%
+0.0 pp
2
13% → 13%
-0.9 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
Real MadridVSVillarreal
1
71%
@1.36
X
16%
@5.75
2
13%
@7.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.86 - 1.23
171% mkt 72%
X16% mkt 16%
213% mkt 13%
O2.578% mkt 79%
BTTS67%
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 13:00 GMT
GenoaVSFiorentina
1
31%
@3.15
X
28%
@3.15
2
42%
@2.25
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.11 - 1.33
131% mkt 29%
X28% mkt 29%
242% mkt 42%
O2.544% mkt 45%
BTTS50%
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMT
MainzVSBayer Leverkusen
1
32%
@3.00
X
24%
@3.60
2
45%
@2.15
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.45 - 1.75
132% mkt 31%
X24% mkt 25%
245% mkt 44%
O2.562% mkt 61%
BTTS64%
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
FalkirkVSDundee
1
49%
@1.95
X
25%
@3.65
2
26%
@3.70
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.68 - 1.16
149% mkt 49%
X25% mkt 25%
226% mkt 25%
O2.554% mkt 55%
BTTS56%
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
Ipswich TownVSFulham
1
36%
@2.75
X
26%
@3.45
2
38%
@2.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.42 - 1.45
136% mkt 35%
X26% mkt 27%
238% mkt 38%
O2.555% mkt 56%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
35% → 31%
-3.1 pp
X
28% → 28%
+0.3 pp
2
38% → 41%
+2.8 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
RangersVSKilmarnock
1
84%
@1.12
X
10%
@9.00
2
5%
@17.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 3.27 - 0.79
184% mkt 88%
X10% mkt 8%
25% mkt 4%
O2.577%
BTTS53%
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
SunderlandVSBrighton & Hove Albion
1
31%
@3.10
X
26%
@3.45
2
42%
@2.30
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.25 - 1.49
131% mkt 31%
X26% mkt 27%
242% mkt 42%
O2.552% mkt 52%
BTTS56%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
31% → 31%
+0.6 pp
X
28% → 29%
+0.9 pp
2
42% → 40%
-1.6 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 14:15 GMT
AlavésVSAtlético Madrid
1
23%
@4.50
X
25%
@3.75
2
52%
@1.80
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.03 - 1.67
123% mkt 21%
X25% mkt 25%
252% mkt 54%
O2.551% mkt 51%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
21% → 22%
+0.5 pp
X
26% → 26%
+0.4 pp
2
53% → 52%
-0.9 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 16:30 GMT
Asteras TripoliVSAtromitos
1
41%
@2.35
X
28%
@3.20
2
30%
@3.15
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.29 - 1.07
141% mkt 41%
X28% mkt 29%
230% mkt 30%
O2.542% mkt 42%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
40% → 38%
-2.0 pp
X
30% → 31%
+1.2 pp
2
30% → 31%
+0.7 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 16:30 GMT
Manchester UnitedVSTottenham Hotspur
1
57%
@1.74
X
22%
@4.20
2
21%
@4.30
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.03 - 1.18
157% mkt 56%
X22% mkt 22%
221% mkt 22%
O2.562% mkt 63%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
55% → 56%
+0.9 pp
X
23% → 23%
+0.0 pp
2
22% → 21%
-1.0 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 16:30 GMT
RB LeipzigVSEintracht Frankfurt
1
62%
@1.56
X
19%
@4.60
2
19%
@4.60
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.51 - 1.35
162% mkt 62%
X19% mkt 19%
219% mkt 19%
O2.574% mkt 74%
BTTS68%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
60% → 59%
-0.8 pp
X
20% → 21%
+0.4 pp
2
20% → 21%
+0.4 pp
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 17:00 GMT
MaritimoVSFC Porto
1
9%
@10.50
X
19%
@5.50
2
72%
@1.29
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.60 - 2.11
19% mkt 8%
X19% mkt 16%
272% mkt 76%
O2.551% mkt 53%
BTTS40%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
9% → 10%
+0.9 pp
X
17% → 18%
+0.7 pp
2
74% → 72%
-1.5 pp
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 19:30 GMT
Académico de ViseuVSEstoril
1
42%
@2.30
X
27%
@3.35
2
31%
@3.05
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.44 - 1.21
142% mkt 41%
X27% mkt 28%
231% mkt 31%
O2.549% mkt 50%
BTTS54%
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 19:30 GMT
Casa PiaVSSanta Clara
1
27%
@3.75
X
28%
@3.25
2
45%
@2.05
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.98 - 1.37
127% mkt 25%
X28% mkt 29%
245% mkt 47%
O2.542% mkt 42%
BTTS47%
fact_check

At a glance

40
EVALUATED
27
PUBLISHED
27
FREE

We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.

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Frequently asked questions

What to know before you use the predictions.

What is AI Goal Lab?

AI Goal Lab publishes football predictions built on statistics. For each match there is one pick with a probability, the odds and the reasoning behind it. All numbers are model estimates, not certainties.

How are the predictions made?

A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

Which odds do you use?

Real bookmaker prices where available. When no real price exists, the pick shows an estimated price and is clearly labelled as an estimate.

Are the predictions guaranteed?

No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

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During the trial all data is free. An account gives you the dashboard and analyses, and on Telegram you get the tips and results every day. Statistics, not gut feeling.