Football predictions 12/10/2026
Football predictions for 12/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 6 picks across 4 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.
Today's tipsbolt Real-time model output
Picks and results
Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars SPANISH LALIGAschedule Kickoff 19:00 GMT
Fixture:
Levante vs Sevilla
OUR SELECTION
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS
@1.50
PROB.
71%
trending_up
Statistical Edge: Model probability 71%, fair odds 1.42, published odds 1.50. No market-implied comparison is available for this pick. Estimate, not a guarantee.
sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated
PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 16:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
AtalantaVS
Venezia1
61%
@1.54
X
21%
@4.10
2
18%
@5.25
FREE TIPCORNERS
Over 7.5 corners
ODDS1.50
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Atalanta 6.2, Venezia 3.2, total 9.4 (line 7.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Atalanta x0.99, Venezia x0.81 (sample 25 and 24 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: Atalanta are without Sulemana, Kossounous and Pompei, with Hien and Raspadori doubtful. Venezia are without Adorante, Franjic, Sverko and Busio, with Dagassoro and Basic doubtful.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.09 - 1.06
161% mkt 62%
X21% mkt 21%
218% mkt 16%
O2.561% mkt 63%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
60% → 60%
+0.4 pp
X
23% → 22%
-1.2 pp
2
17% → 18%
+0.8 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 18:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 61%
TorinoVS
Udinese1
40%
@2.40
X
28%
@3.00
2
31%
@3.05
FREE TIPCORNERS
Over 7.5 corners
ODDS1.50
PROB.61%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Torino 4.7, Udinese 4.1, total 8.8 (line 7.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Torino x0.80, Udinese x0.93 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 61%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.28 - 1.10
140% mkt 39%
X28% mkt 31%
231% mkt 30%
O2.543% mkt 43%
BTTS49%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
40% → 38%
-2.5 pp
X
29% → 31%
+2.0 pp
2
30% → 31%
+0.5 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
Coventry CityVS
Newcastle United1
31%
@3.20
X
25%
@3.60
2
44%
@2.10
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.50
PROB.66%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
warningStakes and news check: Newcastle is prioritising load management, with three or four of the nine previously unavailable players in contention to start, so rotation is possible. Coventry are in the relegation zone and will be without Taiwo Awoniyi (suspension).
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.32 - 1.61
131% mkt 29%
X25% mkt 27%
244% mkt 45%
O2.556% mkt 58%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
30% → 28%
-1.8 pp
X
26% → 26%
-0.3 pp
2
43% → 45%
+2.1 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 71%
LevanteVS
Sevilla1
38%
@2.70
X
28%
@3.15
2
34%
@2.75
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS1.50
PROB.71%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Levante 4.5, Sevilla 4.4, total 8.8 (line 10.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Levante x0.91, Sevilla x0.90 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 71%.
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
1X (Levante or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.46
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.24 - 1.15
138% mkt 35%
X28% mkt 30%
234% mkt 35%
O2.543% mkt 43%
BTTS49%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
35% → 35%
+0.4 pp
X
29% → 30%
+1.2 pp
2
36% → 35%
-1.6 pp
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGAKickoff 19:15 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
FC FamalicaoVS
Alverca1
51%
@1.81
X
26%
@3.30
2
23%
@4.50
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS1.52
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: FC Famalicao 5.4, Alverca 4.0, total 9.4 (line 10.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: FC Famalicao x1.08, Alverca x0.98 (sample 25 and 20 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 64%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.57 - 0.95
151% mkt 51%
X26% mkt 28%
223% mkt 21%
O2.546% mkt 47%
BTTS49%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
50% → 49%
-0.8 pp
X
28% → 29%
+0.2 pp
2
21% → 22%
+0.6 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 15:00 GMT
PAOKVS
Kalamata1
78%
@1.21
X
15%
@7.00
2
7%
@12.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.51 - 0.63
178% mkt 81%
X15% mkt 12%
27% mkt 7%
O2.561% mkt 63%
BTTS43%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
78% → 79%
+0.3 pp
X
13% → 14%
+0.3 pp
2
8% → 8%
-0.5 pp
fact_check
At a glance
6
EVALUATED
6
PUBLISHED
6
FREE
We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.
layersCoupons and Bet Builders
Daily coupons, 3+ leg builders and big-odds slips (5x to 1000x) live on their own page. They do not count in the hit rate of the single tips on this page.
open_in_newSee the full results archivesend
Get the daily picks in Telegram
Free channel with the same published picks and the evening results.
JOIN FREE CHANNEL arrow_forward