Royal Charleroi SC vs Standard Liege prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC, 2026-10-11, Belgian Pro League, kickoff 14:30 Athens time

stadiumBELGIAN PRO LEAGUE•11:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Standard Liege

VS11:30 GMT

Royal Charleroi SC

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.75

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

52%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

X2 (Royal Charleroi SC or draw)

MODEL PROBABILITY

66%

ODDS

1.44

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Standard LiegeX2 Royal Charleroi SC

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Standard Liege (1)	33.2%	33.9%	2.95	trending_up+0.7 pp
Draw (X)	27.4%	27.5%	3.64	trending_flat+0.1 pp
Royal Charleroi SC (2)	39.4%	38.7%	2.59	trending_down-0.7 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK66%

X2 (Royal Charleroi SC or draw)

Our probability: 66%.

Indicative odds: 1.44

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Standard Liege 1 - 1 Royal Charleroi SC

PROBABILITY

12.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Standard Liege

35%2.882.85

Draw

26%3.813.45

Royal Charleroi SC

39%2.562.40

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Standard Liege or draw

61%1.64—

Royal Charleroi SC or draw

65%1.53—

Either team wins (no draw)

74%1.36—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

76%1.311.23

Under 1.5 goals

24%4.243.75

Over 2.5 goals

52%1.931.75

Under 2.5 goals

48%2.082.03

Over 3.5 goals

30%3.362.85

Under 3.5 goals

70%1.421.37

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

56%1.78—

Not both score (NG)

44%2.28—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Standard Liege

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 6-9

WWLLL

LHLens0-2

LAKAA Gent1-2

LAKVC Westerlo2-4

WHAntwerp1-0

WAOud-Heverlee Leuven2-1

Royal Charleroi SC

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 11-6

WWLWW

WHCercle Brugge KSV3-2

WAZulte-Waregem1-0

LHUnion St.-Gilloise2-3

WAKV Kortrijk3-1

WHKV Mechelen2-0

Head-to-head

2026-05-23

Standard Liege0 - 2Royal Charleroi SC

2026-04-18

Royal Charleroi SC1 - 2Standard Liege

2026-01-18

Royal Charleroi SC2 - 0Standard Liege

2025-10-31

Standard Liege3 - 1Royal Charleroi SC

2025-05-04

Standard Liege0 - 1Royal Charleroi SC

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Team comparison

Standard Liege

VS

Royal Charleroi SC

#190 ▲2Power Index 39.3

Power Ranking

#147 ▲4Power Index 46.2

€53m7th in the league

Squad value

€27m13th in the league

Vincent Euvrardsince 27 Aug 2025 · 46 games · 1.46 pts/game

Head coach

Mario Kohnensince 8 Apr 2026 · 17 games · 2.24 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

35%Market 33%

Draw (X)

26%Market 27%

Away win (2)

39%Market 40%

Over 2.5 goals

52%Market 53%

Both teams to score

56%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Standard Liege 1 - 1 Royal Charleroi SC (12.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 112.1%
2. 0 - 19.1%
3. 1 - 28.6%
4. 1 - 08.5%
5. 2 - 18.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Royal Charleroi SC

Goals scored by Standard Liege

01234506.49.16.53.11.10.318.512.18.64.11.50.425.68.05.72.71.00.332.53.52.51.20.40.140.81.20.80.40.10.050.20.30.20.10.00.0

Next matches of Standard Liege

25/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayRacing Genk

31/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeKV Kortrijk

6/11/2026 · BEL.1HomeWaasland-Beveren

Next matches of Royal Charleroi SC

24/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayAntwerp

1/11/2026 · BEL.1HomeRAAL La Louvière

7/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayKVC Westerlo

Our model gives Standard Liege win 35%, draw 26%, Royal Charleroi SC win 39%. over 2.5 goals 52%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 1.33 - 1.42. largest gap to the market: Standard Liege win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.