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Everton vs Hull City prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Hull City vs Everton, 2026-10-11, English Premier League, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE/2026-10-11
stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•13:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS13:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.56

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MODEL OVER 2.5

47%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

52%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%28%35%43%50%05:0009:0011:30
1 Hull CityX2 Everton
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Hull City (1)26.5%25.9%3.87trending_down-0.6 pp
Draw (X)28.1%28.6%3.50trending_up+0.5 pp
Everton (2)45.4%45.6%2.19trending_flat+0.1 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Hull City 1 - 1 Everton

PROBABILITY

12.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.7Exp. cards 3.5
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Hull City
28%3.523.60
Draw
27%3.723.40
Everton
45%2.242.10
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Hull City or draw
55%1.81—
Everton or draw
72%1.40—
Either team wins (no draw)
73%1.37—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
73%1.371.30
Under 1.5 goals
27%3.683.20
Over 2.5 goals
47%2.122.00
Under 2.5 goals
53%1.891.82
Over 3.5 goals
26%3.923.20
Under 3.5 goals
74%1.341.30
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
52%1.94—
Not both score (NG)
48%2.07—
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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
71%1.42—
Under 7.5 corners
29%3.40—
Over 8.5 corners
60%1.671.45
Under 8.5 corners
40%2.502.50
Over 9.5 corners
49%2.041.82
Under 9.5 corners
51%1.961.88
Over 10.5 corners
39%2.582.30
Under 10.5 corners
61%1.631.50
Over 11.5 corners
29%3.393.10
Under 11.5 corners
71%1.421.30
Over 12.5 corners
22%4.61—
Under 12.5 corners
78%1.28—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
85%1.18—
Under 1.5 cards
15%6.56—
Over 2.5 cards
66%1.511.33
Under 2.5 cards
34%2.982.95
Over 3.5 cards
45%2.211.80
Under 3.5 cards
55%1.831.90
Over 4.5 cards
27%3.68—
Under 4.5 cards
73%1.37—
Over 5.5 cards
15%6.84—
Under 5.5 cards
85%1.17—
Over 6.5 cards
7%13.45—
Under 6.5 cards
93%1.08—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Hull City

Hull City

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 4-5

WDLDL
LANewcastle United1-2
DAChelsea2-2
LASunderland0-1
DHAston Villa0-0
WACoventry City1-0
Everton

Everton

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · goals 5-3

DDDWW
WHIpswich Town1-0
WHWolverhampton Wanderers1-0
DATottenham Hotspur0-0
DHManchester United2-2
DAAFC Bournemouth1-1

Head-to-head

2022-01-08
Hull City2 - 3Everton
2017-03-18
Everton4 - 0Hull City
2016-12-30
Hull City2 - 2Everton
2015-01-01
Hull City2 - 0Everton
2014-12-03
Everton1 - 1Hull City
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Team comparison

#125 ▲7Power Index 48.6
Power Ranking
#36 ▼5Power Index 68.1
€252m20th in the league
Squad value
€394m17th in the league
Sergej Jakirovićsince 1 Jul 2025 · 61 games · 1.56 pts/game
Head coach
David Moyessince 11 Jan 2025 · 70 games · 1.41 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
28%Market 26%
Draw (X)
27%Market 28%
Away win (2)
45%Market 46%
Over 2.5 goals
47%Market 48%
Both teams to score
52%Market: —
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Hull City 1 - 1 Everton (12.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 112.4%
  2. 0 - 111.2%
  3. 1 - 29.0%
  4. 1 - 08.6%
  5. 0 - 28.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Everton
Goals scored by Hull City
01234507.711.28.24.01.40.418.612.49.04.41.60.524.76.95.02.40.90.331.72.51.80.90.30.140.50.70.50.20.10.050.10.20.10.10.00.0

Next matches of Hull City

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeBrentford
31/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeIpswich Town
7/11/2026 · ENG.1AwayArsenal

Next matches of Everton

24/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayArsenal
2/11/2026 · ENG.1AwayNewcastle United
6/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeCoventry City

More matches on this day

Our model gives Hull City win 28%, draw 27%, Everton win 45%. over 2.5 goals 47%. both teams to score 52%. expected goals 1.11 - 1.45. largest gap to the market: Hull City win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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