Aris vs Volos NFC prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Aris vs Volos NFC, 2026-10-11, Greek Super League, kickoff 19:00 Athens time

stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•16:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Aris

VS16:00 GMT

Volos NFC

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.66

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

50%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

48%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 ArisX2 Volos NFC

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Aris (1)	60.6%	62.7%	1.60	trending_up+2.1 pp
Draw (X)	23%	21.5%	4.64	trending_down-1.5 pp
Volos NFC (2)	16.4%	15.8%	6.33	trending_down-0.6 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Aris 1 - 0 Volos NFC

PROBABILITY

12.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.8Exp. cards 5.3

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Aris

61%1.651.56

Draw

23%4.334.10

Volos NFC

16%6.105.75

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Aris or draw

84%1.20—

Volos NFC or draw

39%2.53—

Either team wins (no draw)

77%1.30—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

75%1.34—

Under 1.5 goals

25%3.96—

Over 2.5 goals

50%2.011.87

Under 2.5 goals

50%1.991.87

Over 3.5 goals

28%3.61—

Under 3.5 goals

72%1.38—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

48%2.09—

Not both score (NG)

52%1.92—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

61%1.63—

Under 7.5 corners

39%2.58—

Over 8.5 corners

50%2.01—

Under 8.5 corners

50%1.99—

Over 9.5 corners

39%2.57—

Under 9.5 corners

61%1.64—

Over 10.5 corners

29%3.43—

Under 10.5 corners

71%1.41—

Over 11.5 corners

21%4.73—

Under 11.5 corners

79%1.27—

Over 12.5 corners

15%6.76—

Under 12.5 corners

85%1.17—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

93%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

7%14.29—

Over 2.5 cards

89%1.13—

Under 2.5 cards

11%8.75—

Over 3.5 cards

76%1.31—

Under 3.5 cards

24%4.25—

Over 4.5 cards

61%1.65—

Under 4.5 cards

39%2.53—

Over 5.5 cards

44%2.29—

Under 5.5 cards

56%1.77—

Over 6.5 cards

29%3.48—

Under 6.5 cards

71%1.40—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER36%

add_circleAris

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.40

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Aris

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 5-10

WWLLD

DHIraklis0-0

LAPAOK0-2

LAAEK Athens0-5

WHOFI Crete2-1

WAKalamata3-2

Volos NFC

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 4-9

LDDLL

LHAEK Athens1-2

LAKalamata1-3

DHOlympiacos1-1

DHIraklis1-1

LAOFI Crete0-2

Head-to-head

2026-05-13

Volos NFC1 - 2Aris

2026-04-18

Aris3 - 2Volos NFC

2026-02-14

Volos NFC1 - 1Aris

2025-08-23

Aris2 - 0Volos NFC

2025-03-01

Volos NFC1 - 1Aris

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Team comparison

Aris

VS

Volos NFC

#212 ▲4Power Index 35.7

Power Ranking

#253Power Index 20.8

€43m5th in the league

Squad value

€14m9th in the league

Michalis Grigoriousince 26 Feb 2026 · 20 games · 1.90 pts/game

Head coach

Konstantinos Bratsossince 10 Feb 2026 · 22 games · 0.64 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

61%Market 62%

Draw (X)

23%Market 22%

Away win (2)

16%Market 15%

Over 2.5 goals

50%Market 50%

Both teams to score

48%Market: —

Expected goals

1.8 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Aris 1 - 0 Volos NFC (12.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 012.8%
2. 2 - 011.7%
3. 1 - 110.7%
4. 2 - 19.7%
5. 3 - 07.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Volos NFC

Goals scored by Aris

01234507.05.82.40.70.10.0112.810.74.41.20.30.0211.79.74.11.10.20.037.15.92.50.70.10.043.22.71.10.30.10.051.21.00.40.10.00.0

Next matches of Aris

25/10/2026 · GRE.1HomeAtromitos

28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayPanathinaikos

1/11/2026 · GRE.1AwayLevadiakos

Next matches of Volos NFC

25/10/2026 · GRE.1HomePanathinaikos

29/10/2026 · GRE.CUPHomeAtromitos

2/11/2026 · GRE.1AwayAtromitos

Our model gives Aris win 61%, draw 23%, Volos NFC win 16%. over 2.5 goals 50%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 1.83 - 0.83. largest gap to the market: Aris win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.