OH Leuven vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven, 2026-10-11, Belgian Pro League, kickoff 17:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.27
MODEL OVER 2.5
63%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
48%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St.-Gilloise (1) | 75.9% | 75% | 1.33 | trending_down-0.8 pp |
| Draw (X) | 15.6% | 16.4% | 6.10 | trending_up+0.8 pp |
| OH Leuven (2) | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.67 | trending_flat+0.1 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Union St.-Gilloise 2 - 0 OH Leuven
12.2%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Union St.-Gilloise
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · goals 16-2
Antwerp2-0
Viktoria Plzen3-0
Lommel SK5-0
Royal Charleroi SC3-2
Sint-Truidense3-0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 4-7
RAAL La Louvière2-0
Cercle Brugge KSV1-1
Waasland-Beveren0-3
KAA Gent0-1
Standard Liege1-2Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Union St.-Gilloise 2 - 0 OH Leuven (12.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 012.2%
- 3 - 010.3%
- 1 - 09.6%
- 2 - 19.0%
- 3 - 17.6%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by OH LeuvenNext matches of Union St.-Gilloise
Cercle Brugge KSVWaasland-Beveren
Racing GenkNext matches of OH Leuven
Lommel SKSint-Truidense
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Our model gives Union St.-Gilloise win 76%, draw 15%, OH Leuven win 8%. over 2.5 goals 63%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 2.53 - 0.74. largest gap to the market: Union St.-Gilloise win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.