Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Racing Santander vs Valencia, 2026-10-11, Spanish LALIGA, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumSPANISH LALIGA•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Racing Santander

VS19:00 GMT

Valencia

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.94

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

56%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

1X (Racing Santander or draw)

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.40

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Racing SantanderX2 Valencia

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Racing Santander (1)	42.2%	41.6%	2.40	trending_down-0.5 pp
Draw (X)	26.7%	27%	3.71	trending_flat+0.2 pp
Valencia (2)	31.1%	31.4%	3.19	trending_flat+0.3 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

1X (Racing Santander or draw)

Our probability: 68%.

Indicative odds: 1.40

Goals O/U & BTTS66%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 66%.

Odds: 1.50

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Racing Santander 1 - 1 Valencia

PROBABILITY

11.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.3Exp. cards 4.5

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Racing Santander

43%2.312.25

Draw

25%3.993.55

Valencia

32%3.163.05

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Racing Santander or draw

68%1.46—

Valencia or draw

57%1.76—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

79%1.261.17

Under 1.5 goals

21%4.874.20

Over 2.5 goals

56%1.781.67

Under 2.5 goals

44%2.282.20

Over 3.5 goals

34%2.962.50

Under 3.5 goals

66%1.511.50

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

59%1.69—

Not both score (NG)

41%2.45—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER35%

add_circleRacing Santander

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.58

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Racing Santander

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 9-18

WLWLL

LACelta Vigo0-5

LABarcelona2-7

WHAlavés2-1

LARayo Vallecano2-3

WHElche3-2

Valencia

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 4-12

LLLWL

LHReal Sociedad2-3

WAAlavés1-0

LASevilla0-1

LHBarcelona0-5

LADeportivo1-3

Head-to-head

2012-01-29

Racing Santander2 - 2Valencia

2011-08-27

Valencia4 - 3Racing Santander

2011-01-31

Racing Santander1 - 1Valencia

2010-09-11

Valencia1 - 0Racing Santander

2010-03-08

Valencia0 - 0Racing Santander

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Team comparison

Racing Santander

VS

Valencia

#126Power Index 48.6

Power Ranking

#77 ▲2Power Index 56.8

€115m13th in the league

Squad value

€157m10th in the league

José Alberto Lópezsince 13 Dec 2022 · 168 games · 1.65 pts/game

Head coach

Javier Aguirre NEWsince 23 Sep 2026 · 2 games · 1.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

43%Market 43%

Draw (X)

25%Market 26%

Away win (2)

32%Market 31%

Over 2.5 goals

56%Market 57%

Both teams to score

59%Market: —

Expected goals

1.6 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Racing Santander 1 - 1 Valencia (11.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.3%
2. 2 - 19.1%
3. 1 - 08.5%
4. 1 - 27.6%
5. 0 - 17.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Valencia

Goals scored by Racing Santander

01234505.37.14.72.10.70.218.511.37.63.41.10.326.89.16.12.70.90.233.64.83.21.40.50.141.41.91.30.60.20.150.50.60.40.20.10.0

Next matches of Racing Santander

24/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeEspanyol

1/11/2026 · ESP.1HomeReal Madrid

7/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayMálaga

Next matches of Valencia

24/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeVillarreal

1/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayElche

7/11/2026 · ESP.1HomeReal Madrid

Our model gives Racing Santander win 43%, draw 25%, Valencia win 32%. over 2.5 goals 56%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 1.60 - 1.34. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.