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Istanbul Basaksehir vs Konyaspor prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir, 2026-10-11, Turkish Super Lig, kickoff 13:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/TURKISH SUPER LIG/2026-10-11
stadiumTURKISH SUPER LIG•10:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS10:30 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.79

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MODEL OVER 2.5

53%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%26%33%39%45%05:0009:00
1 KonyasporX2 Istanbul Basaksehir
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Konyaspor (1)36.3%40.9%2.45trending_up+4.6 pp
Draw (X)27.4%27.3%3.67trending_flat-0.1 pp
Istanbul Basaksehir (2)36.3%31.9%3.14trending_down-4.5 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Konyaspor 1 - 1 Istanbul Basaksehir

PROBABILITY

11.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Konyaspor
38%2.652.60
Draw
26%3.843.45
Istanbul Basaksehir
36%2.762.60
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Konyaspor or draw
64%1.57—
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw
62%1.61—
Either team wins (no draw)
74%1.35—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
77%1.30—
Under 1.5 goals
23%4.37—
Over 2.5 goals
53%1.891.74
Under 2.5 goals
47%2.122.00
Over 3.5 goals
31%3.26—
Under 3.5 goals
69%1.44—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
57%1.75—
Not both score (NG)
43%2.32—
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Konyaspor

Konyaspor

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 4-7

LLLWD
DAKasimpasa0-0
WHTrabzonspor1-0
LAErzurum BB0-1
LHKocaelispor1-2
LAFenerbahce2-4
Istanbul Basaksehir

Istanbul Basaksehir

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 8-11

LDLLW
WHGenclerbirligi4-0
LAAmed SFK0-5
LHGalatasaray2-3
DHKasimpasa1-1
LATrabzonspor1-2

Head-to-head

2026-02-27
Istanbul Basaksehir2 - 0Konyaspor
2025-09-28
Konyaspor2 - 1Istanbul Basaksehir
2025-04-05
Istanbul Basaksehir1 - 0Konyaspor
2024-11-03
Konyaspor3 - 2Istanbul Basaksehir
2024-01-28
Konyaspor2 - 3Istanbul Basaksehir
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Team comparison

#228 ▲2Power Index 32.8
Power Ranking
#166 ▼2Power Index 43.1
€35m12th in the league
Squad value
€72m5th in the league
İlhan Palutsince 6 Feb 2026 · 26 games · 1.35 pts/game
Head coach
Nuri Şahinsince 15 Sep 2025 · 45 games · 1.62 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
38%Market 36%
Draw (X)
26%Market 27%
Away win (2)
36%Market 36%
Over 2.5 goals
53%Market 54%
Both teams to score
57%Market: —
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Konyaspor 1 - 1 Istanbul Basaksehir (11.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 111.9%
  2. 1 - 08.6%
  3. 0 - 18.5%
  4. 2 - 18.4%
  5. 1 - 28.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Istanbul Basaksehir
Goals scored by Konyaspor
01234506.18.55.82.70.90.318.611.98.23.81.30.426.18.45.82.70.90.332.94.02.71.30.40.141.01.41.00.40.20.050.30.40.30.10.00.0

Next matches of Konyaspor

25/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeGenclerbirligi
30/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeGalatasaray
7/11/2026 · TUR.1AwaySamsunspor

Next matches of Istanbul Basaksehir

26/10/2026 · TUR.1AwayBesiktas
1/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeSamsunspor
7/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayGoztepe

More matches on this day

Our model gives Konyaspor win 38%, draw 26%, Istanbul Basaksehir win 36%. over 2.5 goals 53%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 1.41 - 1.38. largest gap to the market: Konyaspor win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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