Football predictions 22/10/2026
Football predictions for 22/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 8 picks across 2 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.
Today's tipsbolt Real-time model output
Picks and results
Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEschedule Kickoff 19:00 GMT
Fixture:
TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon
OUR SELECTION
Over 8.5 corners
ODDS
@1.41
PROB.
70%
trending_up
Statistical Edge: Model probability 70%, fair odds 1.43, published odds 1.41. No market-implied comparison is available for this pick. Estimate, not a guarantee.
sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated
PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 69%
FC NordsjællandVS
CSKA Sofia1
69%
@1.42
X
18%
@5.00
2
13%
@7.00
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
1 (FC Nordsjælland)
ODDS1.42
PROB.69%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 69%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.32 - 0.89
169% mkt 69%
X18% mkt 18%
213% mkt 13%
O2.562% mkt 62%
BTTS54%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
Kauno ZalgirisVS
SK Brann1
22%
@4.10
X
24%
@4.20
2
55%
@1.77
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.42
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.07 - 1.81
122% mkt 23%
X24% mkt 22%
255% mkt 55%
O2.555% mkt 54%
BTTS55%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
PafosVS
Riga FC1
60%
@1.65
X
22%
@4.10
2
18%
@5.25
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.42
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.92 - 0.96
160% mkt 59%
X22% mkt 23%
218% mkt 18%
O2.555% mkt 55%
BTTS53%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
TrabzonsporVS
Heart of Midlothian1
72%
@1.36
X
16%
@5.50
2
12%
@7.50
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -4 pp
1 (Trabzonspor)
ODDS1.43
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.60 - 0.98
172% mkt 72%
X16% mkt 16%
212% mkt 12%
O2.569%
BTTS58%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 69%
Lech PoznanVS
Sunderland1
19%
@4.80
X
23%
@4.10
2
58%
@1.67
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.69%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 69%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.95 - 1.85
119% mkt 19%
X23% mkt 23%
258% mkt 58%
O2.553% mkt 53%
BTTS52%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
AGFVS
Egnatia1
63%
@1.56
X
22%
@4.30
2
15%
@6.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.42
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.98 - 0.87
163% mkt 63%
X22% mkt 22%
215% mkt 15%
O2.554% mkt 54%
BTTS51%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
AS MonacoVS
SC Freiburg1
43%
@2.30
X
26%
@3.60
2
32%
@3.05
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.45
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.54 - 1.31
143% mkt 42%
X26% mkt 26%
232% mkt 31%
O2.554% mkt 54%
BTTS58%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
TSG HoffenheimVS
Lyon1
48%
@2.00
X
23%
@4.00
2
29%
@3.30
FREE TIPCORNERS
Over 8.5 corners
ODDS1.41
PROB.70%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: TSG Hoffenheim 6.2, Lyon 4.5, total 10.7 (line 8.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: TSG Hoffenheim x1.18, Lyon x1.14 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 70%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.86 - 1.39
148% mkt 48%
X23% mkt 23%
229% mkt 28%
O2.563% mkt 63%
BTTS64%
MLSKickoff 23:00 GMT
FC CincinnatiVS
D.C. United1
58%
@1.67
X
20%
@4.50
2
22%
@3.90
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.26 - 1.35
158% mkt 57%
X20% mkt 20%
222% mkt 23%
O2.570% mkt 70%
BTTS67%
U.S. OPEN CUPKickoff 00:00 GMT
Columbus CrewVS
St. Louis CITY SC1
41%
@2.35
X
26%
@3.65
2
33%
@2.85
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.51 - 1.34
141% mkt 41%
X26% mkt 26%
233% mkt 33%
O2.554%
BTTS58%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 14:30 GMT
Kairat AlmatyVS
Panathinaikos1
18%
@5.25
X
23%
@4.00
2
59%
@1.65
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.90 - 1.84
118% mkt 17%
X23% mkt 23%
259% mkt 59%
O2.552% mkt 52%
BTTS50%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
GetafeVS
FC Lugano1
54%
@1.80
X
26%
@3.60
2
20%
@4.70
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.61 - 0.88
154% mkt 54%
X26% mkt 26%
220% mkt 20%
O2.545% mkt 46%
BTTS47%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Iberia 1999VS
Mjällby AIF1
30%
@3.25
X
26%
@3.40
2
43%
@2.25
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.18 - 1.47
130% mkt 29%
X26% mkt 28%
243% mkt 43%
O2.550% mkt 50%
BTTS54%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Inter D'EscaldesVS
CSU Craiova1
17%
@5.25
X
23%
@4.20
2
60%
@1.61
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.86 - 1.85
117% mkt 17%
X23% mkt 22%
260% mkt 61%
O2.551% mkt 51%
BTTS49%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
JablonecVS
Brighton & Hove Albion1
9%
@9.00
X
16%
@5.75
2
75%
@1.30
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.75 - 2.50
19% mkt 9%
X16% mkt 15%
275% mkt 75%
O2.563% mkt 63%
BTTS49%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Red Star BelgradeVS
F.C. København1
43%
@2.25
X
25%
@3.65
2
32%
@3.05
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.62 - 1.36
143% mkt 43%
X25% mkt 26%
232% mkt 31%
O2.557% mkt 57%
BTTS60%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Ararat-ArmeniaVS
AZ Alkmaar1
16%
@5.75
X
20%
@4.60
2
64%
@1.53
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.99 - 2.18
116% mkt 16%
X20% mkt 20%
264% mkt 64%
O2.561% mkt 61%
BTTS56%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Dinamo ZagrebVS
NEC Nijmegen1
59%
@1.67
X
22%
@4.30
2
20%
@4.70
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.05 - 1.12
159% mkt 59%
X22% mkt 22%
220% mkt 20%
O2.561% mkt 61%
BTTS59%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
FerencvarosVS
Torreense1
72%
@1.36
X
17%
@5.25
2
10%
@8.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.34 - 0.78
172% mkt 72%
X17% mkt 17%
210% mkt 11%
O2.560% mkt 60%
BTTS49%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
JuventusVS
Stade Rennais1
62%
@1.59
X
22%
@4.30
2
17%
@5.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.00 - 0.95
162% mkt 62%
X22% mkt 22%
217% mkt 17%
O2.556% mkt 57%
BTTS53%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
OFI CreteVS
Bayer Leverkusen1
7%
@11.00
X
13%
@7.00
2
80%
@1.24
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.79 - 2.88
17% mkt 8%
X13% mkt 12%
280% mkt 80%
O2.571% mkt 71%
BTTS52%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
SK Sturm GrazVS
Marseille1
28%
@3.50
X
25%
@3.65
2
48%
@2.05
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.24 - 1.69
128% mkt 27%
X25% mkt 26%
248% mkt 47%
O2.556% mkt 57%
BTTS58%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Union St.-GilloiseVS
Hapoel Be'er1
75%
@1.31
X
15%
@5.75
2
10%
@8.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.68 - 0.91
175% mkt 75%
X15% mkt 15%
210% mkt 10%
O2.570%
BTTS56%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Ajax AmsterdamVS
Atalanta1
45%
@2.15
X
24%
@3.75
2
31%
@3.15
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.71 - 1.37
145% mkt 45%
X24% mkt 25%
231% mkt 30%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS61%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Borac Banja LukaVS
KuPS Kuopio1
51%
@1.91
X
26%
@3.55
2
23%
@4.10
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.60 - 1.00
151% mkt 51%
X26% mkt 26%
223% mkt 23%
O2.548% mkt 48%
BTTS51%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
BragaVS
KAA Gent1
58%
@1.67
X
25%
@3.80
2
17%
@5.25
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.67 - 0.79
158% mkt 58%
X25% mkt 24%
217% mkt 17%
O2.545% mkt 44%
BTTS45%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
FC ThunVS
Hajduk Split1
35%
@2.75
X
25%
@3.65
2
40%
@2.45
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.48 - 1.59
135% mkt 35%
X25% mkt 26%
240% mkt 39%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS62%
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Lincoln Red ImpsVS
FC Twente1
6%
@12.00
X
13%
@7.00
2
81%
@1.22
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.68 - 2.78
16% mkt 7%
X13% mkt 12%
281% mkt 81%
O2.567% mkt 67%
BTTS47%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
AFC BournemouthVS
AC Milan1
46%
@2.10
X
25%
@3.70
2
29%
@3.35
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.66 - 1.26
146% mkt 46%
X25% mkt 26%
229% mkt 28%
O2.556% mkt 56%
BTTS58%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
BesiktasVS
Crystal Palace1
46%
@2.10
X
24%
@3.90
2
30%
@3.20
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.75 - 1.37
146% mkt 46%
X24% mkt 24%
230% mkt 30%
O2.560% mkt 60%
BTTS62%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
CelticVS
Celta Vigo1
36%
@2.70
X
26%
@3.45
2
38%
@2.60
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.37 - 1.40
136% mkt 36%
X26% mkt 28%
238% mkt 37%
O2.552% mkt 53%
BTTS57%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Jagiellonia BialystokVS
Anderlecht1
31%
@3.05
X
26%
@3.60
2
43%
@2.25
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.29 - 1.54
131% mkt 31%
X26% mkt 26%
243% mkt 43%
O2.554% mkt 54%
BTTS57%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
LillestromVS
Real Sociedad1
15%
@5.75
X
20%
@4.70
2
64%
@1.51
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.94 - 2.14
115% mkt 16%
X20% mkt 20%
264% mkt 65%
O2.559% mkt 59%
BTTS54%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
NK CeljeVS
RB Salzburg1
18%
@5.00
X
22%
@4.30
2
60%
@1.62
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.05 - 2.04
118% mkt 18%
X22% mkt 22%
260% mkt 60%
O2.560% mkt 60%
BTTS57%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
OlympiacosVS
Sparta Prague1
64%
@1.53
X
21%
@4.50
2
15%
@6.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.01 - 0.85
164% mkt 64%
X21% mkt 21%
215% mkt 15%
O2.555% mkt 54%
BTTS50%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Omonia NicosiaVS
Benfica1
12%
@7.50
X
18%
@5.00
2
70%
@1.39
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.83 - 2.31
112% mkt 12%
X18% mkt 18%
270% mkt 70%
O2.561% mkt 61%
BTTS51%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Viktoria PlzenVS
Levski Sofia1
55%
@1.77
X
23%
@3.90
2
22%
@4.30
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.83 - 1.07
155% mkt 55%
X23% mkt 24%
222% mkt 21%
O2.555% mkt 56%
BTTS55%
fact_check
At a glance
37
EVALUATED
8
PUBLISHED
8
FREE
We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.
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