ADO Den Haag vs Telstar prediction, tips and odds

Next scheduled meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Telstar, 10/1/2027, ned.1. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.

stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•12:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Telstar

VS12:30 GMT

ADO Den Haag

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.13

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

60%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

62%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 11.5 corners

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.60

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 TelstarX2 ADO Den Haag

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Telstar (1)	46.3%	44.8%	2.23	trending_down-1.5 pp
Draw (X)	25.3%	25.8%	3.88	trending_up+0.5 pp
ADO Den Haag (2)	28.3%	29.4%	3.40	trending_up+1.1 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Under 11.5 corners

Expected corners: Telstar 5.8, ADO Den Haag 4.4, total 10.1 (line 11.5).

Corners-for rate vs average: Telstar x0.88, ADO Den Haag x0.81 (sample 20 and 25 equivalent matches).

Odds: 1.60

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Telstar 1 - 1 ADO Den Haag

PROBABILITY

10.5%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.1Exp. cards 3.2

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Telstar

47%2.121.96

Draw

24%4.203.80

ADO Den Haag

29%3.453.30

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Telstar or draw

71%1.411.33

ADO Den Haag or draw

53%1.891.80

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.311.25

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

82%1.221.16

Under 1.5 goals

18%5.625.00

Over 2.5 goals

60%1.651.53

Under 2.5 goals

40%2.532.40

Over 3.5 goals

38%2.622.25

Under 3.5 goals

62%1.621.57

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

62%1.621.50

Not both score (NG)

38%2.622.50

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

74%1.351.14

Under 7.5 corners

26%3.845.50

Over 8.5 corners

64%1.571.25

Under 8.5 corners

36%2.763.75

Over 9.5 corners

53%1.881.44

Under 9.5 corners

47%2.132.62

Over 10.5 corners

43%2.341.72

Under 10.5 corners

57%1.742.00

Over 11.5 corners

33%3.022.20

Under 11.5 corners

67%1.501.61

Over 12.5 corners

25%4.022.75

Under 12.5 corners

75%1.331.40

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

82%1.21—

Under 1.5 cards

18%5.67—

Over 2.5 cards

62%1.60—

Under 2.5 cards

38%2.66—

Over 3.5 cards

41%2.45—

Under 3.5 cards

59%1.69—

Over 4.5 cards

23%4.27—

Under 4.5 cards

77%1.31—

Over 5.5 cards

12%8.24—

Under 5.5 cards

88%1.14—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

layers

Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER46%

add_circleEither team wins (no draw)

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.96

BUILDER45%

add_circleTelstar or draw

add_circleBoth score (GG)

Indicative odds: 1.94

BUILDER43%

add_circleTelstar or draw

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.09

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Telstar

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 2-8

LDLDL

LAAZ Alkmaar0-1

DAHeerenveen0-0

LAFC Twente0-1

DHSC Cambuur2-2

LHAjax Amsterdam0-4

ADO Den Haag

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 6-11

LDLLD

DHSC Cambuur1-1

LAFC Twente0-2

LHFortuna Sittard2-3

DAFeyenoord Rotterdam2-2

LAGo Ahead Eagles1-3

Head-to-head

2025-05-17

ADO Den Haag0 - 1Telstar

2025-05-13

Telstar2 - 0ADO Den Haag

2025-04-11

Telstar1 - 1ADO Den Haag

2024-09-20

ADO Den Haag1 - 1Telstar

2024-03-15

Telstar3 - 1ADO Den Haag

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Team comparison

Telstar

VS

ADO Den Haag

#217 ▼2Power Index 35.2

Power Ranking

#224 ▲3Power Index 33.9

€9.4m18th in the league

Squad value

€21m15th in the league

Dion Malonesince 1 Jul 2026 · 0 games

Head coach

Robin Petersince 14 Jul 2025 · 48 games · 1.98 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

47%Market 47%

Draw (X)

24%Market 25%

Away win (2)

29%Market 28%

Over 2.5 goals

60%Market 62%

Both teams to score

62%Market: —

Expected goals

1.8 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Telstar 1 - 1 ADO Den Haag (10.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.5%
2. 2 - 19.3%
3. 1 - 07.8%
4. 1 - 27.1%
5. 2 - 06.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by ADO Den Haag

Goals scored by Telstar

01234504.45.94.01.80.60.217.810.57.13.21.10.326.99.36.32.81.00.334.15.53.71.70.60.241.82.51.70.70.30.150.60.90.60.30.10.0

Next matches of Telstar

23/10/2026 · NED.1AwayGo Ahead Eagles

1/11/2026 · NED.1HomeFC Utrecht

7/11/2026 · NED.1AwayFortuna Sittard

Next matches of ADO Den Haag

24/10/2026 · NED.1HomeHeerenveen

1/11/2026 · NED.1AwayPEC Zwolle

7/11/2026 · NED.1HomeSparta Rotterdam

Our model gives Telstar win 47%, draw 24%, ADO Den Haag win 29%. over 2.5 goals 60%. both teams to score 62%. expected goals 1.78 - 1.35. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.