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Football predictions 15/10/2026

Football predictions for 15/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 9 picks across 2 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.

Today's tips
bolt Real-time model output

Picks and results

Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
workspace_premium COMBO ESTIMATE
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEschedule Kickoff 19:00 GMT
Fixture:

AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz

OUR SELECTION
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS
@1.40
PROB.
71%
trending_up

Statistical Edge: Model probability 71%, fair odds 1.40, published odds 1.40. No market-implied comparison is available for this pick. Estimate, not a guarantee.

sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated

PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
AZ AlkmaarVSHapoel Be'er
1
73%
@1.29
X
16%
@6.00
2
11%
@9.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.41
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.52 - 0.87
173% mkt 76%
X16% mkt 15%
211% mkt 9%
O2.566%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
74% → 65%
-9.2 pp
X
16% → 19%
+3.4 pp
2
10% → 16%
+5.7 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
FC LuganoVSRed Star Belgrade
1
40%
@2.45
X
25%
@3.70
2
35%
@2.70
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.51 - 1.40
140% mkt 39%
X25% mkt 25%
235% mkt 35%
O2.556% mkt 57%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
39% → 45%
+6.4 pp
X
26% → 25%
-0.4 pp
2
35% → 29%
-6.0 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
KuPS KuopioVSTrabzonspor
1
16%
@6.00
X
22%
@4.70
2
62%
@1.49
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.45
PROB.68%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 68%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.91 - 1.97
116% mkt 15%
X22% mkt 19%
262% mkt 66%
O2.555% mkt 57%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
16% → 15%
-1.1 pp
X
20% → 20%
-0.7 pp
2
64% → 66%
+1.8 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 71%
AFC BournemouthVSSK Sturm Graz
1
79%
@1.20
X
14%
@7.50
2
8%
@13.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.71%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 71%.
warningStakes and news check: Both teams are missing key players: Bournemouth without Scott, Kroupi, Kluivert, Araujo, Milosavljevic and Adli, Sturm Graz without Mamageishvili, Weiper, Kiteishvili, Rozga, Jatta and Soglo. No sourced league-phase standings or stakes for the day were found, so the competition stakes could not be checked.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.79 - 0.78
179% mkt 82%
X14% mkt 11%
28% mkt 6%
O2.569% mkt 72%
BTTS51%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
80% → 83%
+2.9 pp
X
13% → 11%
-1.5 pp
2
7% → 6%
-1.4 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
Celta VigoVSJuventus
1
29%
@3.50
X
28%
@3.30
2
43%
@2.20
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 1.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.70%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 70%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.06 - 1.35
129% mkt 27%
X28% mkt 29%
243% mkt 44%
O2.543% mkt 43%
BTTS49%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
27% → 27%
-0.5 pp
X
29% → 30%
+0.8 pp
2
44% → 43%
-0.2 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
Dinamo ZagrebVSAnderlecht
1
48%
@2.00
X
25%
@3.65
2
27%
@3.60
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.70%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 70%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.67 - 1.19
148% mkt 48%
X25% mkt 26%
227% mkt 26%
O2.554% mkt 56%
BTTS57%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
48% → 47%
-0.8 pp
X
26% → 26%
+0.2 pp
2
26% → 27%
+0.6 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
F.C. KøbenhavnVSBraga
1
40%
@2.50
X
28%
@3.15
2
32%
@3.05
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -2 pp
1X (F.C. København or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: FC Copenhagen's M. Madsen is listed as ill for 10-12 October, with no later update. Copenhagen's squad value is much lower than Braga's (EUR 64.1m vs EUR 158.6m), but both start on 0 points in matchday 1, so a draw does not undermine the 1X tip.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.30 - 1.14
140% mkt 38%
X28% mkt 30%
232% mkt 31%
O2.544% mkt 44%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
38% → 41%
+2.4 pp
X
30% → 30%
-0.5 pp
2
31% → 29%
-1.9 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
MarseilleVSOlympiacos
1
41%
@2.35
X
26%
@3.55
2
33%
@2.90
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.45
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 68%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.48 - 1.29
141% mkt 41%
X26% mkt 26%
233% mkt 33%
O2.552% mkt 53%
BTTS56%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
40% → 40%
-0.7 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.5 pp
2
33% → 33%
+0.2 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
NEC NijmegenVSLevski Sofia
1
51%
@1.87
X
25%
@3.85
2
24%
@3.90
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.43
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 68%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.68 - 1.09
151% mkt 52%
X25% mkt 24%
224% mkt 24%
O2.552% mkt 53%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
51% → 50%
-0.7 pp
X
25% → 26%
+1.2 pp
2
24% → 24%
-0.5 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
CSKA SofiaVSAS Monaco
1
17%
@6.00
X
22%
@4.70
2
61%
@1.51
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.95 - 1.99
117% mkt 15%
X22% mkt 20%
261% mkt 65%
O2.556% mkt 58%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
16% → 17%
+0.5 pp
X
20% → 21%
+0.2 pp
2
64% → 63%
-0.7 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
CSU CraiovaVSGetafe
1
32%
@3.15
X
29%
@3.20
2
39%
@2.40
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.07 - 1.22
132% mkt 30%
X29% mkt 30%
239% mkt 40%
O2.540% mkt 40%
BTTS47%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
30% → 35%
+5.0 pp
X
30% → 32%
+1.9 pp
2
40% → 33%
-6.9 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Hajduk SplitVSAjax Amsterdam
1
21%
@4.80
X
22%
@4.40
2
56%
@1.65
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.13 - 1.95
121% mkt 19%
X22% mkt 21%
256% mkt 59%
O2.560% mkt 61%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
20% → 23%
+2.8 pp
X
22% → 23%
+1.5 pp
2
58% → 54%
-4.3 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
KAA GentVSAGF
1
57%
@1.67
X
24%
@4.20
2
19%
@4.90
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.79 - 0.94
157% mkt 59%
X24% mkt 22%
219% mkt 19%
O2.551% mkt 52%
BTTS51%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
58% → 59%
+1.1 pp
X
23% → 23%
+0.4 pp
2
20% → 18%
-1.4 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Lech PoznanVSBayer Leverkusen
1
20%
@5.00
X
21%
@4.70
2
58%
@1.57
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.20 - 2.13
120% mkt 18%
X21% mkt 20%
258% mkt 62%
O2.565% mkt 67%
BTTS62%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
19% → 15%
-4.4 pp
X
20% → 19%
-1.3 pp
2
61% → 66%
+5.7 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
LyonVSCrystal Palace
1
42%
@2.30
X
25%
@3.65
2
33%
@2.90
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.60 - 1.39
142% mkt 42%
X25% mkt 26%
233% mkt 33%
O2.557% mkt 59%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
41% → 36%
-5.1 pp
X
26% → 26%
+0.3 pp
2
33% → 38%
+4.9 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Mjällby AIFVSInter D'Escaldes
1
71%
@1.34
X
19%
@5.25
2
11%
@9.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.20 - 0.74
171% mkt 73%
X19% mkt 17%
211% mkt 10%
O2.556% mkt 58%
BTTS47%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
71% → 65%
-6.4 pp
X
18% → 22%
+3.4 pp
2
11% → 14%
+3.0 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
NK CeljeVSOmonia Nicosia
1
36%
@2.75
X
27%
@3.50
2
37%
@2.55
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.34 - 1.36
136% mkt 35%
X27% mkt 27%
237% mkt 38%
O2.551% mkt 51%
BTTS55%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
35% → 30%
-4.6 pp
X
27% → 27%
-0.2 pp
2
38% → 42%
+4.8 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
PanathinaikosVSBorac Banja Luka
1
76%
@1.24
X
15%
@6.50
2
9%
@11.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.68 - 0.83
176% mkt 80%
X15% mkt 13%
29% mkt 7%
O2.568%
BTTS53%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
RB SalzburgVSAC Milan
1
29%
@3.60
X
24%
@3.80
2
47%
@2.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.29 - 1.71
129% mkt 26%
X24% mkt 25%
247% mkt 49%
O2.558% mkt 59%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
27% → 24%
-2.3 pp
X
25% → 26%
+1.1 pp
2
48% → 49%
+1.3 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Riga FCVSKairat Almaty
1
50%
@1.91
X
26%
@3.55
2
24%
@4.10
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.55 - 0.99
150% mkt 51%
X26% mkt 26%
224% mkt 23%
O2.547% mkt 47%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
50% → 51%
+0.8 pp
X
27% → 27%
-0.1 pp
2
23% → 23%
-0.7 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Sparta PragueVSLillestrom
1
70%
@1.34
X
18%
@5.50
2
12%
@8.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.34 - 0.86
170% mkt 73%
X18% mkt 16%
212% mkt 10%
O2.562% mkt 64%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
71% → 65%
-6.1 pp
X
17% → 19%
+1.5 pp
2
11% → 16%
+4.5 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
TorreenseVSSunderland
1
13%
@7.50
X
20%
@5.25
2
68%
@1.33
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.82 - 2.15
113% mkt 11%
X20% mkt 17%
268% mkt 72%
O2.557% mkt 59%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
12% → 9%
-3.2 pp
X
18% → 17%
-1.5 pp
2
70% → 75%
+4.7 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 16:45 GMT
Union St.-GilloiseVSReal Sociedad
1
39%
@2.50
X
25%
@3.65
2
36%
@2.65
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.53 - 1.45
139% mkt 38%
X25% mkt 26%
236% mkt 36%
O2.557% mkt 58%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
38% → 37%
-1.1 pp
X
26% → 26%
-0.1 pp
2
36% → 37%
+1.1 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
AtalantaVSPafos
1
69%
@1.36
X
19%
@5.25
2
12%
@8.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.29 - 0.87
169% mkt 72%
X19% mkt 17%
212% mkt 11%
O2.561%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
70% → 72%
+1.7 pp
X
18% → 17%
-0.9 pp
2
12% → 11%
-0.8 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
BenficaVSCeltic
1
77%
@1.22
X
14%
@7.00
2
8%
@11.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.71 - 0.81
177% mkt 80%
X14% mkt 12%
28% mkt 7%
O2.568% mkt 71%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
78% → 79%
+1.6 pp
X
14% → 13%
-0.9 pp
2
9% → 8%
-0.7 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Brighton & Hove AlbionVSKauno Zalgiris
1
95%
@1.02
X
3%
@23.00
2
2%
@41.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 5.69 - 1.04
195% mkt 97%
X3% mkt 2%
22% mkt 1%
O2.596%
BTTS64%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
94% → 93%
-0.8 pp
X
4% → 5%
+0.4 pp
2
2% → 3%
+0.3 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
FC TwenteVSFC Thun
1
78%
@1.21
X
14%
@7.00
2
9%
@11.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
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xG 2.92 - 0.93
178% mkt 81%
X14% mkt 12%
29% mkt 7%
O2.574%
BTTS57%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
78% → 80%
+2.1 pp
X
13% → 12%
-1.5 pp
2
9% → 8%
-0.6 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
FerencvarosVSViktoria Plzen
1
49%
@1.95
X
24%
@3.90
2
27%
@3.55
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
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xG 1.73 - 1.22
149% mkt 50%
X24% mkt 24%
227% mkt 26%
O2.557% mkt 57%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
49% → 49%
+0.2 pp
X
24% → 25%
+0.4 pp
2
27% → 26%
-0.6 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Heart of MidlothianVSFC Nordsjælland
1
33%
@2.95
X
25%
@3.80
2
41%
@2.25
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
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xG 1.38 - 1.56
133% mkt 32%
X25% mkt 25%
241% mkt 43%
O2.556%
BTTS60%
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Jagiellonia BialystokVSArarat-Armenia
1
67%
@1.41
X
20%
@5.00
2
13%
@7.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.18 - 0.86
167% mkt 70%
X20% mkt 18%
213% mkt 12%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS51%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
68% → 66%
-2.1 pp
X
19% → 19%
+0.3 pp
2
13% → 15%
+1.9 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
SC FreiburgVSJablonec
1
76%
@1.25
X
15%
@6.50
2
9%
@11.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
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xG 2.63 - 0.83
176% mkt 79%
X15% mkt 14%
29% mkt 8%
O2.567%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
77% → 79%
+2.4 pp
X
15% → 14%
-1.1 pp
2
9% → 7%
-1.3 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Sint-TruidenseVSIberia 1999
1
74%
@1.28
X
16%
@6.00
2
10%
@10.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
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xG 2.46 - 0.78
174% mkt 77%
X16% mkt 15%
210% mkt 8%
O2.563%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
75% → 78%
+2.6 pp
X
16% → 15%
-1.4 pp
2
9% → 8%
-1.2 pp
UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
SK BrannVSLincoln Red Imps
1
81%
@1.17
X
12%
@8.00
2
7%
@15.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.97 - 0.78
181% mkt 84%
X12% mkt 10%
27% mkt 5%
O2.572%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
82% → 82%
+0.5 pp
X
12% → 12%
-0.1 pp
2
6% → 6%
-0.4 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
Stade RennaisVSOFI Crete
1
77%
@1.22
X
14%
@7.00
2
8%
@12.00
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.66 - 0.76
177% mkt 81%
X14% mkt 12%
28% mkt 7%
O2.566% mkt 69%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
78% → 80%
+1.5 pp
X
14% → 13%
-0.9 pp
2
8% → 7%
-0.6 pp
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUEKickoff 19:00 GMT
TSG HoffenheimVSBesiktas
1
49%
@1.95
X
23%
@4.00
2
28%
@3.45
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.84 - 1.33
149% mkt 50%
X23% mkt 23%
228% mkt 27%
O2.561% mkt 63%
BTTS62%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
49% → 49%
+0.4 pp
X
24% → 24%
+0.5 pp
2
28% → 27%
-0.9 pp
fact_check

At a glance

35
EVALUATED
9
PUBLISHED
9
FREE

We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.

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Frequently asked questions

What to know before you use the predictions.

What is AI Goal Lab?

AI Goal Lab publishes football predictions built on statistics. For each match there is one pick with a probability, the odds and the reasoning behind it. All numbers are model estimates, not certainties.

How are the predictions made?

A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

Which odds do you use?

Real bookmaker prices where available. When no real price exists, the pick shows an estimated price and is clearly labelled as an estimate.

Are the predictions guaranteed?

No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

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During the trial all data is free. An account gives you the dashboard and analyses, and on Telegram you get the tips and results every day. Statistics, not gut feeling.