AJ Auxerre vs Stade Rennais prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre, 2026-10-11, French Ligue 1, kickoff 18:15 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•15:15 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Stade Rennais

VS15:15 GMT

AJ Auxerre

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.27

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

63%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Over 2.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

63%

ODDS

1.50

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK63%

Over 2.5 goals

Our probability: 63%.

Odds: 1.50

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Stade Rennais 2 - 0 AJ Auxerre

PROBABILITY

10.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Stade Rennais

67%1.501.44

Draw

19%5.275.00

AJ Auxerre

14%6.956.50

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Stade Rennais or draw

86%1.17—

AJ Auxerre or draw

33%3.00—

Either team wins (no draw)

81%1.23—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

84%1.191.13

Under 1.5 goals

16%6.254.80

Over 2.5 goals

63%1.581.50

Under 2.5 goals

37%2.732.55

Over 3.5 goals

41%2.432.18

Under 3.5 goals

59%1.701.68

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

56%1.78—

Not both score (NG)

44%2.29—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER48%

add_circleStade Rennais

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.89

BUILDER36%

add_circleStade Rennais

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.41

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Stade Rennais

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 3-6

WWDLL

LAStade Laval0-1

LALyon0-4

DASK Sturm Graz0-0

WHMarseille1-0

WAAngers2-1

AJ Auxerre

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 9-10

LLWWW

WHClermont Foot4-3

WHBrest2-1

WHNice1-0

LALyon1-3

LHAngers1-3

Head-to-head

2026-02-22

AJ Auxerre0 - 3Stade Rennais

2025-10-19

Stade Rennais2 - 2AJ Auxerre

2025-04-06

Stade Rennais0 - 1AJ Auxerre

2024-11-03

AJ Auxerre4 - 0Stade Rennais

2023-03-11

AJ Auxerre0 - 0Stade Rennais

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Team comparison

Stade Rennais

VS

AJ Auxerre

#56 ▼5Power Index 61.3

Power Ranking

#112 ▲1Power Index 50.8

€253m5th in the league

Squad value

€96m13th in the league

Franck Haisesince 18 Feb 2026 · 21 games · 2.00 pts/game

Head coach

Will Stillsince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.29 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

67%Market 68%

Draw (X)

19%Market 18%

Away win (2)

14%Market 14%

Over 2.5 goals

63%Market 64%

Both teams to score

56%Market: —

Expected goals

2.3 - 1.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Stade Rennais 2 - 0 AJ Auxerre (10.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 010.0%
2. 2 - 19.8%
3. 1 - 08.7%
4. 1 - 18.5%
5. 3 - 07.6%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by AJ Auxerre

Goals scored by Stade Rennais

01234503.83.71.80.60.10.018.78.54.21.40.30.1210.09.84.81.60.40.137.67.53.61.20.30.144.44.32.10.70.20.052.02.01.00.30.10.0

Next matches of Stade Rennais

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeStrasbourg

31/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayNice

8/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeLille

Next matches of AJ Auxerre

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLe Mans

1/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayStrasbourg

7/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeParis FC

Our model gives Stade Rennais win 67%, draw 19%, AJ Auxerre win 14%. over 2.5 goals 63%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 2.29 - 0.98. largest gap to the market: Stade Rennais win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.