model_trainingTrial period: all tips are freeLearn more
leaderboard Analytics engine / official feeds
Synced 05 Oct 16:27 UTC

Bundesliga table, form & xPTS

Tables pulled automatically from the official feeds. xPTS is estimated from each league table itself (points per game regressed on goal difference per game) — a description of the table, not a forecast.

Table leader
Borussia Dortmund
12 pts · GD +7
Avg goals / match
3.81
36 matches played
Best attack
Bayern Munich
14 goals scored
Best defence
Borussia Dortmund
2 conceded
POSClubMPWDLGFGAGDxPTSΔPTS
1440092+78.6+3.412
24310142+1210.7-0.710
34310123+99.4+0.610
44211116+57.7-0.77
54211105+57.7-0.77
64211106+47.3-0.37
7421187+16.0+1.07
8421188+05.6+1.47
9420295+47.3-1.36
104121910-15.2-0.25
11412134-15.2-0.25
12411235-24.8-0.84
13411269-34.3-0.34
144103710-34.3-1.33
15410369-34.3-1.33
164103213-111.0+2.03
174013417-130.1+0.91
184004616-101.4-1.40
Top 4Bottom 3Δ = actual points − xPTS. Small samples early in a season are noise.
analytics Points vs expected points

xPTS Discrepancy Matrix

Top 3 above expectation

More points than their goal difference suggests.

Borussia Dortmund
PTS 12 vs xPTS 8.6
+3.4
Hamburg SV
PTS 3 vs xPTS 1.0
+2.0
Werder Bremen
PTS 7 vs xPTS 5.6
+1.4

Top 3 below expectation

Fewer points than their goal difference suggests.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
PTS 0 vs xPTS 1.4
-1.4
VfB Stuttgart
PTS 3 vs xPTS 4.3
-1.3
TSG Hoffenheim
PTS 3 vs xPTS 4.3
-1.3

Sign up free and join our Telegram

During the trial all data is free. An account gives you the dashboard and analyses, and on Telegram you get the tips and results every day. Statistics, not gut feeling.