KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense, 2026-10-11, Belgian Pro League, kickoff 20:15 Athens time

stadiumBELGIAN PRO LEAGUE•17:15 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

KV Mechelen

VS17:15 GMT

Sint-Truidense

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.91

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

56%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.43

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 KV MechelenX2 Sint-Truidense

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
KV Mechelen (1)	29.6%	31.2%	3.21	trending_up+1.6 pp
Draw (X)	27.4%	27.5%	3.63	trending_flat+0.1 pp
Sint-Truidense (2)	43%	41.3%	2.42	trending_down-1.7 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.43

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

KV Mechelen 1 - 1 Sint-Truidense

PROBABILITY

11.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

KV Mechelen

32%3.133.20

Draw

25%3.973.45

Sint-Truidense

43%2.332.20

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

KV Mechelen or draw

57%1.75—

Sint-Truidense or draw

68%1.47—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.34—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

79%1.26—

Under 1.5 goals

21%4.78—

Over 2.5 goals

56%1.801.65

Under 2.5 goals

44%2.262.15

Over 3.5 goals

33%3.00—

Under 3.5 goals

67%1.50—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

59%1.70—

Not both score (NG)

41%2.43—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

KV Mechelen

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 4-10

DLLDL

LHKarpaty Lviv2-3

DALommel SK0-0

LHAnderlecht0-1

LHKVC Westerlo0-4

DARAAL La Louvière2-2

Sint-Truidense

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 8-8

WLWLL

LHKVC Westerlo0-2

LAWaasland-Beveren0-2

WHRAAL La Louvière4-0

LHUnion St.-Gilloise0-3

WAAntwerp4-1

Head-to-head

2026-05-24

Sint-Truidense3 - 0KV Mechelen

2026-04-26

KV Mechelen1 - 4Sint-Truidense

2025-12-21

Sint-Truidense1 - 0KV Mechelen

2025-10-04

KV Mechelen1 - 3Sint-Truidense

2025-02-21

KV Mechelen1 - 1Sint-Truidense

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Team comparison

KV Mechelen

VS

Sint-Truidense

#200 ▲3Power Index 38.1

Power Ranking

#165 ▲5Power Index 43.5

€42m9th in the league

Squad value

€37m10th in the league

Frederik Vanderbiestsince 4 Mar 2025 · 62 games · 1.26 pts/game

Head coach

Frédéric De Meyersince 1 Jul 2026 · 11 games · 1.27 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

32%Market 29% +3

Draw (X)

25%Market 27%

Away win (2)

43%Market 44%

Over 2.5 goals

56%Market 57%

Both teams to score

59%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 1.6

Most likely final scores

Most likely: KV Mechelen 1 - 1 Sint-Truidense (11.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.4%
2. 1 - 29.0%
3. 0 - 18.6%
4. 2 - 17.6%
5. 1 - 07.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Sint-Truidense

Goals scored by KV Mechelen

01234505.48.66.83.61.40.417.311.49.04.81.90.624.87.66.03.21.30.432.13.42.71.40.60.240.71.10.90.50.20.150.20.30.20.10.00.0

Next matches of KV Mechelen

23/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayKV Kortrijk

31/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeRacing Genk

7/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayOud-Heverlee Leuven

Next matches of Sint-Truidense

25/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayClub Brugge

1/11/2026 · BEL.1HomeOud-Heverlee Leuven

8/11/2026 · BEL.1HomeZulte-Waregem

Our model gives KV Mechelen win 32%, draw 25%, Sint-Truidense win 43%. over 2.5 goals 56%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 1.33 - 1.58. largest gap to the market: KV Mechelen win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.