Nice vs Strasbourg prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Nice vs Strasbourg, 2026-10-11, French Ligue 1, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•13:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Nice

VS13:00 GMT

Strasbourg

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.03

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

58%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

61%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

1X (Nice or draw)

MODEL PROBABILITY

66%

ODDS

1.44

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 NiceX2 Strasbourg

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Nice (1)	40.8%	42.6%	2.35	trending_up+1.8 pp
Draw (X)	26.2%	25.5%	3.92	trending_down-0.7 pp
Strasbourg (2)	33%	31.9%	3.13	trending_down-1.1 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK66%

1X (Nice or draw)

Our probability: 66%.

Indicative odds: 1.44

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Nice 1 - 1 Strasbourg

PROBABILITY

11.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.4Exp. cards 3.5

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Nice

41%2.442.35

Draw

25%4.043.65

Strasbourg

34%2.912.90

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Nice or draw

66%1.52—

Strasbourg or draw

59%1.69—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

81%1.241.16

Under 1.5 goals

19%5.244.30

Over 2.5 goals

58%1.711.65

Under 2.5 goals

42%2.412.25

Over 3.5 goals

36%2.772.45

Under 3.5 goals

64%1.561.52

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

61%1.64—

Not both score (NG)

39%2.57—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

68%1.47—

Under 7.5 corners

32%3.12—

Over 8.5 corners

57%1.761.50

Under 8.5 corners

43%2.322.35

Over 9.5 corners

46%2.181.90

Under 9.5 corners

54%1.851.80

Over 10.5 corners

36%2.802.45

Under 10.5 corners

64%1.561.45

Over 11.5 corners

27%3.73—

Under 11.5 corners

73%1.37—

Over 12.5 corners

19%5.14—

Under 12.5 corners

81%1.24—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

85%1.17—

Under 1.5 cards

15%6.72—

Over 2.5 cards

67%1.491.37

Under 2.5 cards

33%3.032.75

Over 3.5 cards

46%2.171.90

Under 3.5 cards

54%1.851.80

Over 4.5 cards

28%3.60—

Under 4.5 cards

72%1.38—

Over 5.5 cards

15%6.64—

Under 5.5 cards

85%1.18—

Over 6.5 cards

8%13.01—

Under 6.5 cards

92%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Nice

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 3-6

DLDLW

WHLille2-1

LAAJ Auxerre0-1

DHLe Mans1-1

LAParis FC0-3

DHLorient0-0

Strasbourg

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 10-10

LWWDL

LAParis FC1-2

DHAS Monaco1-1

WATroyes6-2

WHLens2-1

LAMarseille0-4

Head-to-head

2026-04-22

Strasbourg0 - 2Nice

2026-04-04

Strasbourg3 - 1Nice

2026-01-03

Nice1 - 1Strasbourg

2025-04-12

Strasbourg2 - 2Nice

2024-11-24

Nice2 - 1Strasbourg

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Team comparison

Nice

VS

Strasbourg

#104Power Index 51.8

Power Ranking

#61 ▼2Power Index 60.1

€150m10th in the league

Squad value

€320m3rd in the league

Olivier Pantalonisince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.14 pts/game

Head coach

Hugo Oliveirasince 12 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

41%Market 41%

Draw (X)

25%Market 26%

Away win (2)

34%Market 33%

Over 2.5 goals

58%Market 59%

Both teams to score

61%Market: —

Expected goals

1.6 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Nice 1 - 1 Strasbourg (11.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.0%
2. 2 - 18.8%
3. 1 - 28.0%
4. 1 - 07.7%
5. 0 - 16.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Strasbourg

Goals scored by Nice

01234504.86.95.02.40.90.317.711.08.03.81.40.426.18.86.33.01.10.333.24.73.41.60.60.241.31.91.30.60.20.150.40.60.40.20.10.0

Next matches of Nice

23/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayBrest

31/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeStade Rennais

8/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayAngers

Next matches of Strasbourg

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayStade Rennais

1/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeAJ Auxerre

6/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayToulouse

Our model gives Nice win 41%, draw 25%, Strasbourg win 34%. over 2.5 goals 58%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.59 - 1.44. largest gap to the market: Strasbourg win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.