AS Roma vs Como prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Como vs AS Roma, 2026-10-11, Italian Serie A, kickoff 13:30 Athens time

stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•10:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Como

VS10:30 GMT

AS Roma

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.00

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

58%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

61%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 ComoX2 AS Roma

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Como (1)	38%	40.4%	2.47	trending_up+2.5 pp
Draw (X)	27%	27%	3.71	trending_flat+0.0 pp
AS Roma (2)	35.1%	32.6%	3.07	trending_down-2.5 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Como 1 - 1 AS Roma

PROBABILITY

11.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.3Exp. cards 3.8

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Como

39%2.542.45

Draw

25%4.013.45

AS Roma

36%2.812.65

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Como or draw

64%1.55—

AS Roma or draw

61%1.65—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

80%1.241.16

Under 1.5 goals

20%5.124.30

Over 2.5 goals

58%1.731.65

Under 2.5 goals

42%2.372.25

Over 3.5 goals

35%2.832.45

Under 3.5 goals

65%1.551.52

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

61%1.65—

Not both score (NG)

39%2.54—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

56%1.791.40

Under 7.5 corners

44%2.272.65

Over 8.5 corners

44%2.251.75

Under 8.5 corners

56%1.801.95

Over 9.5 corners

34%2.962.25

Under 9.5 corners

66%1.511.55

Over 10.5 corners

25%4.063.05

Under 10.5 corners

75%1.331.30

Over 11.5 corners

17%5.76—

Under 11.5 corners

83%1.21—

Over 12.5 corners

12%8.46—

Under 12.5 corners

88%1.13—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

88%1.14—

Under 1.5 cards

12%8.17—

Over 2.5 cards

72%1.39—

Under 2.5 cards

28%3.55—

Over 3.5 cards

52%1.931.65

Under 3.5 cards

48%2.072.10

Over 4.5 cards

33%3.032.45

Under 4.5 cards

67%1.491.45

Over 5.5 cards

19%5.31—

Under 5.5 cards

81%1.23—

Over 6.5 cards

10%10.04—

Under 6.5 cards

90%1.11—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Como

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 12-6

WWWWL

LAFrosinone0-2

WHParma2-1

WHRB Leipzig4-1

WAGenoa4-1

WANapoli2-1

AS Roma

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 11-4

WWDWD

DHInternazionale2-2

WATorino2-0

DAFenerbahce1-1

WHAtalanta2-1

WALecce4-0

Head-to-head

2026-03-15

Como2 - 1AS Roma

2025-12-15

AS Roma1 - 0Como

2025-03-02

AS Roma2 - 1Como

2024-12-15

Como2 - 0AS Roma

2003-01-25

Como2 - 0AS Roma

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Team comparison

Como

VS

AS Roma

#45 ▲1Power Index 65.2

Power Ranking

#24 ▲2Power Index 70.0

€568m3rd in the league

Squad value

€498m5th in the league

Cesc Fàbregassince 19 Jul 2024 · 92 games · 1.63 pts/game

Head coach

Gian Piero Gasperinisince 6 Jun 2025 · 58 games · 1.86 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

39%Market 38%

Draw (X)

25%Market 27%

Away win (2)

36%Market 35%

Over 2.5 goals

58%Market 58%

Both teams to score

61%Market: —

Expected goals

1.5 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Como 1 - 1 AS Roma (11.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.2%
2. 2 - 18.6%
3. 1 - 28.2%
4. 1 - 07.7%
5. 0 - 17.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by AS Roma

Goals scored by Como

01234505.07.25.32.60.90.317.711.28.24.01.40.425.98.66.33.11.10.333.04.43.21.60.60.241.21.71.30.60.20.150.40.50.40.20.10.0

Next matches of Como

24/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeSassuolo

27/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayTorino

1/11/2026 · ITA.1HomeVenezia

Next matches of AS Roma

24/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayNapoli

27/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeCagliari

31/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayUdinese

Our model gives Como win 39%, draw 25%, AS Roma win 36%. over 2.5 goals 58%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.54 - 1.46. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.