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Serie A table, form & xPTS

Tables pulled automatically from the official feeds. xPTS is estimated from each league table itself (points per game regressed on goal difference per game) — a description of the table, not a forecast.

Table leader
AS Roma
13 pts · GD +11
Avg goals / match
2.90
50 matches played
Best attack
Internazionale
15 goals scored
Best defence
Cagliari
2 conceded
POSClubMPWDLGFGAGDxPTSΔPTS
15410143+1115.2-2.213
25410158+712.2+0.813
3541083+510.7+2.313
4540152+39.3+2.712
55320104+611.5-0.511
6531194+510.7-0.710
7531184+410.0+0.010
8531196+39.3+0.710
9521276+17.8-0.87
10521299+07.1-0.17
11520357-25.6+0.46
125203510-53.4+2.66
135113811-34.8-0.84
14511358-34.8-0.84
15511347-34.8-0.84
165113812-44.1-0.14
175113612-62.6+1.44
18502336-34.8-2.82
195014310-71.9-0.91
205005413-90.4-0.40
Top 4Bottom 3Δ = actual points − xPTS. Small samples early in a season are noise.
analytics Points vs expected points

xPTS Discrepancy Matrix

Top 3 above expectation

More points than their goal difference suggests.

Cagliari
PTS 12 vs xPTS 9.3
+2.7
Lecce
PTS 6 vs xPTS 3.4
+2.6
Lazio
PTS 13 vs xPTS 10.7
+2.3

Top 3 below expectation

Fewer points than their goal difference suggests.

Bologna
PTS 2 vs xPTS 4.8
-2.8
AS Roma
PTS 13 vs xPTS 15.2
-2.2
Genoa
PTS 1 vs xPTS 1.9
-0.9

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