Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Cologne prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: FC Cologne vs Borussia Mönchengladbach, 2026-10-11, German Bundesliga, kickoff 16:30 Athens time

stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•13:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

FC Cologne

VS13:30 GMT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.01

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MODEL OVER 2.5

58%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

60%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

65%

ODDS

1.47

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 FC CologneX2 Borussia Mönchengladbach

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
FC Cologne (1)	45.4%	48.5%	2.06	trending_up+3.2 pp
Draw (X)	25.1%	25%	4.00	trending_flat-0.1 pp
Borussia Mönchengladbach (2)	29.5%	26.5%	3.78	trending_down-3.1 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK65%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 65%.

Indicative odds: 1.47

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Cologne 1 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

PROBABILITY

10.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Cologne

47%2.112.05

Draw

24%4.123.70

Borussia Mönchengladbach

28%3.543.15

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Cologne or draw

72%1.39—

Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw

53%1.90—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.32—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

81%1.24—

Under 1.5 goals

19%5.14—

Over 2.5 goals

58%1.73—

Under 2.5 goals

42%2.37—

Over 3.5 goals

35%2.82—

Under 3.5 goals

65%1.55—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

60%1.67—

Not both score (NG)

40%2.48—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Cologne

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 8-11

WLDLD

DAViktoria Köln2-2

LAHamburg SV1-2

DHWerder Bremen1-1

LAVfB Stuttgart1-4

WHTSG Hoffenheim3-2

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 10-14

LLLWD

DASt. Pauli1-1

WASportfreunde Siegen3-0

LHMainz3-4

LASC Freiburg0-5

LHSV Elversberg3-4

Head-to-head

2026-03-21

FC Cologne3 - 3Borussia Mönchengladbach

2025-11-08

Borussia Mönchengladbach3 - 1FC Cologne

2024-03-09

Borussia Mönchengladbach3 - 3FC Cologne

2023-10-22

FC Cologne3 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach

2023-04-02

FC Cologne0 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach

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Team comparison

FC Cologne

VS

Borussia Mönchengladbach

#121 ▲1Power Index 49.3

Power Ranking

#107 ▼1Power Index 51.6

€158m11th in the league

Squad value

€135m13th in the league

René Wagnersince 23 Mar 2026 · 14 games · 1.15 pts/game

Head coach

Alexander Blessin NEWsince 22 Sep 2026 · 2 games · 0.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

47%Market 46%

Draw (X)

24%Market 25%

Away win (2)

28%Market 29%

Over 2.5 goals

58%Market: —

Both teams to score

60%Market: —

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Cologne 1 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (10.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.9%
2. 2 - 19.4%
3. 1 - 08.5%
4. 2 - 07.3%
5. 1 - 27.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals scored by FC Cologne

01234504.96.34.11.70.60.118.510.97.03.01.00.227.39.46.12.60.80.234.25.43.51.50.50.141.82.31.50.60.20.150.60.80.50.20.10.0

Next matches of FC Cologne

24/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSchalke 04

1/11/2026 · GER.1Away1. FC Union Berlin

8/11/2026 · GER.1HomeBayer Leverkusen

Next matches of Borussia Mönchengladbach

23/10/2026 · GER.1AwayVfB Stuttgart

31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSC Paderborn 07

6/11/2026 · GER.1AwayHamburg SV

Our model gives FC Cologne win 47%, draw 24%, Borussia Mönchengladbach win 28%. over 2.5 goals 58%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.72 - 1.28. largest gap to the market: FC Cologne win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.