Football predictions 17/10/2026
Football predictions for 17/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 27 picks across 8 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.
Today's tipsbolt Real-time model output
Picks and results
Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars DUTCH EREDIVISIEschedule Kickoff 18:00 GMT
Fixture:
Telstar vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
OUR SELECTION
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS
@1.40
PROB.
71%
trending_up
Statistical Edge: Model probability 71%, fair odds 1.40, published odds 1.40. No market-implied comparison is available for this pick. Estimate, not a guarantee.
sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated
PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 11:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 69%
EvertonVS
Chelsea1
32%
@3.10
X
25%
@3.65
2
43%
@2.20
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 11.5 corners
ODDS1.40
PROB.69%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Everton 4.5, Chelsea 5.4, total 9.9 (line 11.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Everton x0.88, Chelsea x1.12 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 69%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.39 - 1.65
132% mkt 31%
X25% mkt 26%
243% mkt 44%
O2.559% mkt 58%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
31% → 33%
+2.2 pp
X
26% → 27%
+0.4 pp
2
43% → 41%
-2.6 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 12:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 69%
EspanyolVS
Atlético Madrid1
20%
@4.90
X
23%
@4.00
2
57%
@1.69
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.69%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 69%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.98 - 1.82
120% mkt 19%
X23% mkt 23%
257% mkt 58%
O2.553% mkt 53%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
20% → 19%
-0.4 pp
X
24% → 24%
+0.3 pp
2
57% → 57%
+0.1 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 13:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
GenclerbirligiVS
Galatasaray1
13%
@7.00
X
17%
@5.25
2
70%
@1.39
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.40
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -6 pp
2 (Galatasaray)
ODDS1.40
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.99 - 2.50
113% mkt 12%
X17% mkt 17%
270% mkt 71%
O2.568%
BTTS58%
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
Schalke 04VS
Mainz1
33%
@2.90
X
25%
@3.45
2
43%
@2.20
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -2 pp
X2 (Mainz or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.40 - 1.64
133% mkt 31%
X25% mkt 26%
243% mkt 42%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
32% → 33%
+1.2 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.5 pp
2
42% → 40%
-1.7 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
SV ElversbergVS
FC Augsburg1
40%
@2.40
X
23%
@3.60
2
37%
@2.55
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.45
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.73 - 1.66
140% mkt 39%
X23% mkt 25%
237% mkt 36%
O2.566% mkt 66%
BTTS67%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
38% → 38%
+0.1 pp
X
26% → 26%
+0.5 pp
2
36% → 36%
-0.6 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
BrentfordVS
Liverpool1
41%
@2.40
X
24%
@3.65
2
35%
@2.75
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 11.5 corners
ODDS1.42
PROB.70%
LostpsychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Brentford 4.6, Liverpool 5.3, total 9.8 (line 11.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Brentford x0.89, Liverpool x1.12 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 70%.
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +1 pp
1X (Brentford or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.44
PROB.66%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.63 - 1.50
141% mkt 40%
X24% mkt 26%
235% mkt 35%
O2.561% mkt 61%
BTTS63%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
40% → 35%
-4.6 pp
X
26% → 27%
+0.7 pp
2
34% → 38%
+3.9 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 69%
FulhamVS
Hull City1
57%
@1.69
X
23%
@4.00
2
20%
@5.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.69%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 69%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.84 - 1.00
157% mkt 58%
X23% mkt 24%
220% mkt 19%
O2.554% mkt 54%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 58%
+1.2 pp
X
24% → 24%
-0.2 pp
2
19% → 18%
-1.0 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
HibernianVS
Falkirk1
58%
@1.67
X
23%
@4.00
2
19%
@4.80
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.89 - 1.01
158% mkt 58%
X23% mkt 23%
219% mkt 19%
O2.555% mkt 56%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 55%
-1.5 pp
X
24% → 24%
+0.6 pp
2
20% → 21%
+0.9 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 14:15 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
VillarrealVS
Elche1
68%
@1.44
X
18%
@5.00
2
14%
@6.50
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
1 (Villarreal)
ODDS1.44
PROB.68%
LostpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.37 - 0.98
168% mkt 68%
X18% mkt 18%
214% mkt 14%
O2.565% mkt 65%
BTTS57%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
66% → 66%
+0.0 pp
X
19% → 19%
+0.0 pp
2
15% → 15%
+0.0 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 15:15 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
StrasbourgVS
Paris Saint-Germain1
14%
@6.50
X
18%
@5.50
2
68%
@1.40
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -2 pp
2 (Paris Saint-Germain)
ODDS1.41
PROB.68%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.09 - 2.50
114% mkt 14%
X18% mkt 16%
268% mkt 70%
O2.570% mkt 71%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
15% → 15%
+0.0 pp
X
17% → 18%
+0.8 pp
2
68% → 67%
-0.8 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 16:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
BolognaVS
Internazionale1
17%
@5.50
X
21%
@4.00
2
62%
@1.54
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.47
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 65%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.96 - 2.04
117% mkt 16%
X21% mkt 22%
262% mkt 62%
O2.558% mkt 58%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
17% → 17%
+0.0 pp
X
23% → 23%
-0.6 pp
2
60% → 61%
+0.6 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 16:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
FenerbahceVS
Alanyaspor1
75%
@1.29
X
16%
@5.75
2
10%
@9.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.60 - 0.85
175% mkt 76%
X16% mkt 15%
210% mkt 9%
O2.567%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
73% → 74%
+0.6 pp
X
16% → 16%
-0.6 pp
2
11% → 11%
+0.0 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 16:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
Real BetisVS
Barcelona1
17%
@5.75
X
17%
@5.50
2
66%
@1.46
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
2 (Barcelona)
ODDS1.43
PROB.67%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.34 - 2.69
117% mkt 16%
X17% mkt 17%
266% mkt 67%
O2.577% mkt 77%
BTTS69%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
17% → 15%
-2.0 pp
X
17% → 17%
-0.1 pp
2
66% → 68%
+2.0 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 16:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
Bayern MunichVS
RB Leipzig1
79%
@1.21
X
12%
@7.00
2
9%
@9.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.43
PROB.66%
WonpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 66%.
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 11.5 corners
ODDS1.60
PROB.61%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: Bayern Munich 7.6, RB Leipzig 3.1, total 10.7 (line 11.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: Bayern Munich x1.36, RB Leipzig x1.07 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 61%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 3.51 - 1.23
179% mkt 81%
X12% mkt 11%
29% mkt 8%
O2.585% mkt 85%
BTTS69%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
76% → 76%
-0.9 pp
X
13% → 14%
+1.0 pp
2
10% → 10%
+0.0 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 16:30 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
Newcastle UnitedVS
Aston Villa1
43%
@2.30
X
24%
@3.70
2
33%
@2.95
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
1X (Newcastle United or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.40
PROB.68%
LostpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.65 - 1.42
143% mkt 42%
X24% mkt 26%
233% mkt 32%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS62%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
42% → 44%
+2.7 pp
X
26% → 25%
-0.5 pp
2
32% → 30%
-2.2 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 18:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 71%
TelstarVS
Feyenoord Rotterdam1
12%
@7.50
X
16%
@5.50
2
71%
@1.34
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.71%
LostpsychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 71%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.04 - 2.65
112% mkt 11%
X16% mkt 16%
271% mkt 73%
O2.571% mkt 73%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
13% → 11%
-1.4 pp
X
17% → 17%
-0.7 pp
2
70% → 72%
+2.1 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 18:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
AS RomaVS
Genoa1
63%
@1.54
X
22%
@3.90
2
15%
@5.75
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS1.45
PROB.70%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Expected corners: AS Roma 6.0, Genoa 2.9, total 8.9 (line 10.5).
- Corners-for rate vs average: AS Roma x1.01, Genoa x0.83 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
- Our probability: 70%.
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +6 pp
1 (AS Roma)
ODDS1.41
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 68%.
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.45
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: Roma are 3rd with 14 points and Genoa are 17th with 4 points, two places above the relegation zone. No injury or lineup news from the last 7 days was found, so the Under 3.5 tip depends on the stakes: Genoa need points and Roma need a win, which could open the game.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.91 - 0.82
163% mkt 62%
X22% mkt 23%
215% mkt 15%
O2.551% mkt 52%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
60% → 60%
-0.2 pp
X
24% → 24%
+0.2 pp
2
16% → 16%
-0.1 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
LilleVS
Brest1
49%
@2.00
X
25%
@3.75
2
27%
@3.60
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.43
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.69 - 1.19
149% mkt 49%
X25% mkt 25%
227% mkt 26%
O2.555% mkt 56%
BTTS57%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
48% → 47%
-1.3 pp
X
26% → 26%
+0.6 pp
2
27% → 27%
+0.7 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 61%
TroyesVS
Lens1
24%
@3.80
X
23%
@3.90
2
53%
@1.87
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.55
PROB.61%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 61%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.23 - 1.93
124% mkt 24%
X23% mkt 24%
253% mkt 52%
O2.561% mkt 60%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
25% → 24%
-0.8 pp
X
24% → 25%
+0.5 pp
2
51% → 51%
+0.3 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 61%
DundeeVS
Rangers1
12%
@7.50
X
18%
@5.00
2
69%
@1.38
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.55
PROB.61%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 61%.
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.86 - 2.30
112% mkt 11%
X18% mkt 18%
269% mkt 71%
O2.561%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
13% → 13%
+0.9 pp
X
19% → 19%
+0.0 pp
2
69% → 68%
-0.9 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 19:00 GMTMODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
Sparta RotterdamVS
Willem II1
59%
@1.64
X
21%
@4.35
2
21%
@4.75
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTSMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
Over 2.5 goals
ODDS1.45
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
- Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: Willem II are without Lachkar, Didillon, Hoogma and Culum, Sparta without Mito and van Bergen (reported availability, not a confirmed team sheet). No dated source was found for the table position or the stakes, so they were not assessed.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.20 - 1.26
159% mkt 60%
X21% mkt 21%
221% mkt 20%
O2.567% mkt 67%
BTTS64%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
58% → 59%
+1.3 pp
X
21% → 21%
+0.0 pp
2
21% → 19%
-1.3 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 10:30 GMT
Erzurum BBVS
Eyupspor1
61%
@1.59
X
24%
@3.90
2
15%
@5.75
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.69 - 0.71
161% mkt 61%
X24% mkt 23%
215% mkt 15%
O2.543% mkt 44%
BTTS42%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
59% → 62%
+3.0 pp
X
24% → 23%
-1.2 pp
2
16% → 15%
-1.9 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 13:00 GMT
Amed SFKVS
Konyaspor1
53%
@1.87
X
25%
@3.65
2
22%
@3.95
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.70 - 1.02
153% mkt 51%
X25% mkt 25%
222% mkt 23%
O2.551% mkt 51%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
50% → 51%
+0.2 pp
X
26% → 27%
+1.2 pp
2
24% → 22%
-1.4 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 13:00 GMT
VeneziaVS
Napoli1
20%
@4.50
X
23%
@3.75
2
57%
@1.69
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.03 - 1.90
120% mkt 20%
X23% mkt 24%
257% mkt 57%
O2.556% mkt 54%
BTTS55%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
21% → 21%
+0.4 pp
X
25% → 24%
-0.4 pp
2
55% → 55%
-0.1 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMT
1. FC Union BerlinVS
Borussia Dortmund1
19%
@4.80
X
21%
@4.30
2
60%
@1.57
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.10 - 2.11
119% mkt 18%
X21% mkt 21%
260% mkt 61%
O2.562% mkt 63%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
19% → 18%
-0.8 pp
X
22% → 22%
-0.1 pp
2
59% → 60%
+0.9 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMT
Werder BremenVS
SC Paderborn 071
56%
@1.74
X
22%
@3.95
2
22%
@3.90
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.99 - 1.20
156% mkt 55%
X22% mkt 22%
222% mkt 23%
O2.562% mkt 63%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
53% → 54%
+1.2 pp
X
23% → 23%
-0.2 pp
2
24% → 23%
-1.0 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
AberdeenVS
St Mirren1
52%
@1.83
X
25%
@3.65
2
23%
@4.10
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.69 - 1.03
152% mkt 52%
X25% mkt 25%
223% mkt 22%
O2.551% mkt 54%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
51% → 54%
+2.8 pp
X
26% → 24%
-1.3 pp
2
23% → 21%
-1.5 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
KilmarnockVS
Motherwell1
30%
@3.10
X
24%
@3.70
2
46%
@2.15
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.35 - 1.71
130% mkt 30%
X24% mkt 25%
246% mkt 45%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
30% → 33%
+2.8 pp
X
26% → 26%
+0.8 pp
2
44% → 40%
-3.6 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
LevadiakosVS
Volos NFC1
46%
@2.15
X
26%
@3.45
2
27%
@3.25
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.51 - 1.10
146% mkt 44%
X26% mkt 27%
227% mkt 29%
O2.548% mkt 46%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
44% → 42%
-1.8 pp
X
27% → 29%
+1.3 pp
2
29% → 29%
+0.5 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
Manchester CityVS
Ipswich Town1
79%
@1.24
X
13%
@6.50
2
8%
@10.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.86 - 0.83
179% mkt 79%
X13% mkt 13%
28% mkt 8%
O2.571% mkt 71%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
76% → 77%
+0.8 pp
X
15% → 14%
-0.9 pp
2
9% → 9%
+0.1 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
St JohnstoneVS
Dundee United1
36%
@2.65
X
26%
@3.55
2
38%
@2.50
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.39 - 1.43
136% mkt 36%
X26% mkt 26%
238% mkt 38%
O2.554% mkt 54%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
36% → 33%
-2.6 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.3 pp
2
38% → 40%
+2.3 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 14:30 GMT
ADO Den HaagVS
PSV Eindhoven1
10%
@8.00
X
13%
@6.50
2
77%
@1.28
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.16 - 3.17
110% mkt 10%
X13% mkt 13%
277% mkt 77%
O2.581% mkt 80%
BTTS66%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
12% → 12%
+0.1 pp
X
14% → 15%
+0.1 pp
2
74% → 74%
-0.1 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 19:00 GMT
ValenciaVS
Athletic Club1
30%
@3.20
X
28%
@3.30
2
42%
@2.30
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysisexpand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.10 - 1.35
130% mkt 30%
X28% mkt 29%
242% mkt 42%
O2.544% mkt 45%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
30% → 29%
-0.8 pp
X
29% → 29%
+0.6 pp
2
41% → 42%
+0.2 pp
fact_check
At a glance
33
EVALUATED
27
PUBLISHED
27
FREE
We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.
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