Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest, 2026-10-11, English Premier League, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•13:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Crystal Palace

VS13:00 GMT

Nottingham Forest

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.72

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

51%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

X2 (Nottingham Forest or draw)

MODEL PROBABILITY

64%

ODDS

1.49

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Crystal PalaceX2 Nottingham Forest

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Crystal Palace (1)	34.6%	34.7%	2.88	trending_flat+0.1 pp
Draw (X)	28%	28.5%	3.51	trending_up+0.5 pp
Nottingham Forest (2)	37.4%	36.7%	2.72	trending_down-0.6 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK64%

X2 (Nottingham Forest or draw)

Our probability: 64%.

Indicative odds: 1.49

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest

PROBABILITY

12.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.1Exp. cards 3.6

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Crystal Palace

36%2.762.75

Draw

26%3.783.40

Nottingham Forest

37%2.682.55

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Crystal Palace or draw

63%1.60—

Nottingham Forest or draw

64%1.57—

Either team wins (no draw)

74%1.36—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

76%1.321.25

Under 1.5 goals

24%4.153.55

Over 2.5 goals

51%1.951.87

Under 2.5 goals

49%2.051.93

Over 3.5 goals

29%3.442.90

Under 3.5 goals

71%1.411.35

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

56%1.80—

Not both score (NG)

44%2.26—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

65%1.551.28

Under 7.5 corners

35%2.823.25

Over 8.5 corners

53%1.881.52

Under 8.5 corners

47%2.142.30

Over 9.5 corners

42%2.362.00

Under 9.5 corners

58%1.731.73

Over 10.5 corners

32%3.092.55

Under 10.5 corners

68%1.481.42

Over 11.5 corners

24%4.19—

Under 11.5 corners

76%1.31—

Over 12.5 corners

17%5.88—

Under 12.5 corners

83%1.20—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

86%1.16—

Under 1.5 cards

14%7.18—

Over 2.5 cards

69%1.461.32

Under 2.5 cards

31%3.203.00

Over 3.5 cards

48%2.081.80

Under 3.5 cards

52%1.921.90

Over 4.5 cards

30%3.39—

Under 4.5 cards

70%1.42—

Over 5.5 cards

16%6.14—

Under 5.5 cards

84%1.19—

Over 6.5 cards

8%11.88—

Under 6.5 cards

92%1.09—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Crystal Palace

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-5

WLWDL

LHBristol City0-2

DALeeds United0-0

WHLech Poznan4-0

LHIpswich Town2-3

WHMiddlesbrough3-0

Nottingham Forest

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 4-6

LDDWL

LHCoventry City0-1

WAAston Villa2-1

DHTottenham Hotspur0-0

DALiverpool2-2

LHLeeds United0-2

Head-to-head

2026-02-01

Nottingham Forest1 - 1Crystal Palace

2025-08-24

Crystal Palace1 - 1Nottingham Forest

2025-05-05

Crystal Palace1 - 1Nottingham Forest

2024-10-21

Nottingham Forest1 - 0Crystal Palace

2024-03-30

Nottingham Forest1 - 1Crystal Palace

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Team comparison

Crystal Palace

VS

Nottingham Forest

#28 ▼3Power Index 69.1

Power Ranking

#30 ▲2Power Index 68.4

€579m10th in the league

Squad value

€521m13th in the league

Pierre Sagesince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.30 pts/game

Head coach

Oliver Glasnersince 6 Jul 2026 · 8 games · 0.63 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

36%Market 35%

Draw (X)

26%Market 28%

Away win (2)

37%Market 38%

Over 2.5 goals

51%Market 51%

Both teams to score

56%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest (12.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 112.2%
2. 0 - 19.0%
3. 1 - 08.9%
4. 1 - 28.4%
5. 2 - 18.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Nottingham Forest

Goals scored by Crystal Palace

01234506.69.06.22.81.00.318.912.28.43.81.30.426.08.25.62.60.90.232.73.72.51.20.40.140.91.20.90.40.10.050.20.30.20.10.00.0

Next matches of Crystal Palace

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeNewcastle United

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayTottenham Hotspur

8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeLiverpool

Next matches of Nottingham Forest

23/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayIpswich Town

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayBrentford

7/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeManchester City

Our model gives Crystal Palace win 36%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest win 37%. over 2.5 goals 51%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 1.35 - 1.37. largest gap to the market: Crystal Palace win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.