Aberdeen vs St Johnstone prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Aberdeen vs St Johnstone, 2026-10-11, Scottish Premiership, kickoff 16:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.60
MODEL OVER 2.5
48%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
53%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen (1) | 43.8% | 46.2% | 2.16 | trending_up+2.4 pp |
| Draw (X) | 28.5% | 27.5% | 3.64 | trending_down-1.1 pp |
| St Johnstone (2) | 27.7% | 26.3% | 3.80 | trending_down-1.4 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Aberdeen 1 - 1 St Johnstone
12.3%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Aberdeen
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 10-3
Dunfermline Athletic4-1
Hibernian1-1
Motherwell4-0
Kilmarnock1-1Kilmarnock0-0
St Johnstone
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-6
Falkirk1-1
Celtic0-1Hibernian2-1
Dundee1-1
Heart of Midlothian1-2Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Aberdeen 1 - 1 St Johnstone (12.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 112.3%
- 1 - 010.9%
- 2 - 19.1%
- 0 - 18.3%
- 2 - 08.1%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
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Our model gives Aberdeen win 45%, draw 27%, St Johnstone win 28%. over 2.5 goals 48%. both teams to score 53%. expected goals 1.48 - 1.13. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.