Cagliari vs Juventus prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Cagliari vs Juventus, 2026-10-11, Italian Serie A, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•18:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Cagliari

VS18:45 GMT

Juventus

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.57

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

47%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

44%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

5

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

2 (Juventus)

MODEL PROBABILITY

63%

ODDS

1.54

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 CagliariX2 Juventus

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Cagliari (1)	16.1%	15.4%	6.48	trending_down-0.6 pp
Draw (X)	24%	25%	4.00	trending_up+1.0 pp
Juventus (2)	59.9%	59.5%	1.68	trending_down-0.4 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK63%

2 (Juventus)

Our probability: 63%.

Odds: 1.54

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Cagliari 0 - 1 Juventus

PROBABILITY

14.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.5Exp. cards 3.3

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Cagliari

15%6.895.75

Draw

23%4.373.85

Juventus

63%1.601.54

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Cagliari or draw

37%2.67—

Juventus or draw

85%1.17—

Either team wins (no draw)

77%1.30—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

73%1.371.28

Under 1.5 goals

27%3.693.35

Over 2.5 goals

47%2.122.00

Under 2.5 goals

53%1.901.80

Over 3.5 goals

26%3.903.15

Under 3.5 goals

74%1.341.30

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

44%2.25—

Not both score (NG)

56%1.80—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

69%1.45—

Under 7.5 corners

31%3.21—

Over 8.5 corners

58%1.721.48

Under 8.5 corners

42%2.382.40

Over 9.5 corners

47%2.121.88

Under 9.5 corners

53%1.891.82

Over 10.5 corners

37%2.722.40

Under 10.5 corners

63%1.581.47

Over 11.5 corners

28%3.603.25

Under 11.5 corners

72%1.381.27

Over 12.5 corners

20%4.94—

Under 12.5 corners

80%1.25—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

82%1.21—

Under 1.5 cards

18%5.71—

Over 2.5 cards

63%1.601.42

Under 2.5 cards

37%2.672.60

Over 3.5 cards

41%2.432.02

Under 3.5 cards

59%1.701.70

Over 4.5 cards

24%4.23—

Under 4.5 cards

76%1.31—

Over 5.5 cards

12%8.15—

Under 5.5 cards

88%1.14—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER49%

add_circleJuventus

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.84

BUILDER44%

add_circleJuventus

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.00

BUILDER36%

add_circleJuventus

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.52

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Cagliari

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 5-4

LLWWW

WAUdinese1-0

WAAtalanta2-1

WHLecce1-0

LHHellas Verona1-2

LHInternazionale0-1

Juventus

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 10-5

DLWWL

LHCremonese0-1

WHAtalanta2-0

WHNEC Nijmegen5-0

LASassuolo2-3

DHAC Milan1-1

Head-to-head

2026-01-17

Cagliari1 - 0Juventus

2025-11-29

Juventus2 - 1Cagliari

2025-02-23

Cagliari0 - 1Juventus

2024-12-17

Juventus4 - 0Cagliari

2024-10-06

Juventus1 - 1Cagliari

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Team comparison

Cagliari

VS

Juventus

#132 ▲3Power Index 48.1

Power Ranking

#33 ▼4Power Index 68.2

€142m16th in the league

Squad value

€614m2nd in the league

Fabio Pisacanesince 11 Jun 2025 · 49 games · 1.33 pts/game

Head coach

Luciano Spallettisince 30 Oct 2025 · 47 games · 1.87 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

15%Market 15%

Draw (X)

23%Market 23%

Away win (2)

63%Market 62%

Over 2.5 goals

47%Market 47%

Both teams to score

44%Market: —

Expected goals

0.7 - 1.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Cagliari 0 - 1 Juventus (14.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 114.0%
2. 0 - 212.7%
3. 1 - 110.4%
4. 1 - 29.5%
5. 0 - 37.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Juventus

Goals scored by Cagliari

01234507.714.012.77.73.51.315.710.49.55.82.61.022.13.93.52.11.00.430.51.00.90.50.20.140.10.20.20.10.00.050.00.00.00.00.00.0

Next matches of Cagliari

24/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeBologna

27/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayAS Roma

1/11/2026 · ITA.1AwayLazio

Next matches of Juventus

25/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayLecce

28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayGenoa

1/11/2026 · ITA.1HomeNapoli

Our model gives Cagliari win 15%, draw 23%, Juventus win 63%. over 2.5 goals 47%. both teams to score 44%. expected goals 0.75 - 1.82. largest gap to the market: Juventus win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.