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Football predictions 18/10/2026

Football predictions for 18/10/2026 from the AI Goal Lab model: 23 picks across 8 competitions. Each pick shows a probability, the odds and the numeric reasoning. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties.

Today's tips
bolt Real-time model output

Picks and results

Nature of output:Model estimates, not guarantees
workspace_premium COMBO ESTIMATE
local_fire_department TOP PICK OF THE DAYstars ITALIAN SERIE Aschedule Kickoff 13:00 GMT
Fixture:

Fiorentina vs Como

OUR SELECTION
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS
@1.40
PROB.
75%
trending_up

Statistical Edge: Model probability 75%, fair odds 1.33, published odds 1.40. No market-implied comparison is available for this pick. Estimate, not a guarantee.

sports_soccer Fixtures Evaluated

PICKS ARE LOGGED BEFORE KICKOFF
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 12:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
SC CambuurVSAZ Alkmaar
1
16%
@5.75
X
18%
@4.85
2
66%
@1.50
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET +0 pp
2 (AZ Alkmaar)
ODDS1.47
PROB.66%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
warningStakes and news check: AZ made six changes to its starting XI for the Europa League match against Hapoel Be'er Sheva on 15 October, three days before this match, and Kees Smit is still injured. Likely rotation for AZ; no verified source was found for Cambuur's table position or stakes.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.17 - 2.50
116% mkt 16%
X18% mkt 18%
266% mkt 66%
O2.571% mkt 71%
BTTS63%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
16% → 16%
-0.7 pp
X
19% → 19%
-0.1 pp
2
64% → 65%
+0.8 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 13:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
AngersVSMarseille
1
28%
@3.50
X
24%
@3.80
2
49%
@2.00
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS1.55
PROB.68%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Expected corners: Angers 4.1, Marseille 5.0, total 9.0 (line 10.5).
  • Corners-for rate vs average: Angers x0.93, Marseille x1.04 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
  • Our probability: 68%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.30 - 1.79
128% mkt 27%
X24% mkt 25%
249% mkt 48%
O2.560% mkt 60%
BTTS61%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
27% → 26%
-1.1 pp
X
25% → 25%
+0.0 pp
2
48% → 49%
+1.2 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 13:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 75%
FiorentinaVSComo
1
28%
@3.20
X
25%
@3.55
2
47%
@2.05
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS1.40
PROB.75%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Expected corners: Fiorentina 3.7, Como 4.6, total 8.3 (line 10.5).
  • Corners-for rate vs average: Fiorentina x0.88, Como x1.06 (sample 25 and 24 equivalent matches).
  • Our probability: 75%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.26 - 1.70
128% mkt 28%
X25% mkt 25%
247% mkt 46%
O2.557% mkt 57%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
29% → 28%
-0.7 pp
X
26% → 27%
+0.5 pp
2
45% → 45%
+0.2 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 13:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
Leeds UnitedVSManchester United
1
41%
@2.35
X
25%
@3.60
2
34%
@2.90
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
1X (Leeds United or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.44
PROB.66%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
warningStakes and news check: Manchester United play Como away in the Champions League on 21 October, three days after the Leeds match, so rotation is possible. No verified news from the last 7 days on injuries or suspensions was found, and no sourced league table for today was found.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.55 - 1.40
141% mkt 41%
X25% mkt 26%
234% mkt 33%
O2.557% mkt 57%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
41% → 37%
-3.3 pp
X
27% → 28%
+1.0 pp
2
33% → 35%
+2.3 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 13:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 72%
Bayer LeverkusenVSSC Freiburg
1
60%
@1.65
X
20%
@4.35
2
20%
@4.75
FREE TIPCARDS
Over 2.5 κίτρινες cards
ODDS1.42
PROB.72%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 72%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.21 - 1.21
160% mkt 59%
X20% mkt 21%
220% mkt 20%
O2.566% mkt 67%
BTTS63%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 58%
+1.1 pp
X
22% → 22%
-0.1 pp
2
21% → 20%
-1.0 pp
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIPKickoff 14:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
CelticVSHeart of Midlothian
1
59%
@1.59
X
21%
@4.60
2
20%
@4.80
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 2.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.40
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 68%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.20 - 1.21
159% mkt 61%
X21% mkt 20%
220% mkt 19%
O2.566%
BTTS63%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
60% → 57%
-2.5 pp
X
21% → 22%
+1.3 pp
2
20% → 21%
+1.2 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 14:15 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
Celta VigoVSAlavés
1
42%
@2.25
X
29%
@3.15
2
29%
@3.45
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Over 1.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.68%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 68%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.28 - 1.00
142% mkt 43%
X29% mkt 30%
229% mkt 27%
O2.540% mkt 41%
BTTS46%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
42% → 43%
+1.0 pp
X
30% → 31%
+0.5 pp
2
28% → 26%
-1.5 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 14:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
PanathinaikosVSAsteras Tripoli
1
81%
@1.20
X
14%
@6.50
2
5%
@13.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.48 - 0.48
181% mkt 82%
X14% mkt 13%
25% mkt 6%
O2.557% mkt 57%
BTTS35%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
78% → 78%
-0.6 pp
X
14% → 14%
+0.0 pp
2
7% → 8%
+0.6 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 14:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
FC GroningenVSAjax Amsterdam
1
28%
@3.45
X
22%
@4.20
2
50%
@1.87
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.41
PROB.67%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.48 - 2.04
128% mkt 27%
X22% mkt 22%
250% mkt 51%
O2.568% mkt 70%
BTTS67%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
27% → 27%
-0.3 pp
X
22% → 24%
+1.2 pp
2
50% → 49%
-0.9 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 15:15 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 69%
LorientVSAS Monaco
1
28%
@3.65
X
26%
@3.40
2
46%
@2.10
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS1.43
PROB.69%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Expected corners: Lorient 3.8, AS Monaco 5.1, total 8.9 (line 10.5).
  • Corners-for rate vs average: Lorient x0.79, AS Monaco x1.02 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
  • Our probability: 69%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.12 - 1.50
128% mkt 26%
X26% mkt 28%
246% mkt 46%
O2.549% mkt 50%
BTTS53%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
26% → 26%
+0.0 pp
X
28% → 28%
+0.0 pp
2
46% → 46%
+0.0 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 15:15 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 65%
Paris FCVSStade Rennais
1
47%
@2.15
X
24%
@3.55
2
29%
@3.35
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.52
PROB.65%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 65%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.70 - 1.29
147% mkt 45%
X24% mkt 27%
229% mkt 28%
O2.558% mkt 58%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
45% → 45%
+0.0 pp
X
27% → 27%
+0.0 pp
2
29% → 29%
+0.0 pp
GERMAN BUNDESLIGAKickoff 15:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
Borussia MönchengladbachVSTSG Hoffenheim
1
32%
@2.95
X
22%
@3.85
2
46%
@2.05
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Both teams to score (GG)
EST. ODDS~1.40
PROB.68%
Won
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 68%.
warningStakes and news check: Gladbach play without Tim Kleindienst and Ko Itakura, while Franck Honorat and Jens Castrop are also out. No sourced news was found on Hoffenheim, the table or the stakes.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.59 - 1.94
132% mkt 31%
X22% mkt 23%
246% mkt 46%
O2.569% mkt 69%
BTTS69%
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 15:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 71%
Nottingham ForestVSArsenal
1
15%
@6.50
X
22%
@4.00
2
62%
@1.56
FREE TIPCARDS
Over 2.5 κίτρινες cards
ODDS1.42
PROB.71%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 71%.
warningStakes and news check: Arsenal have injury concerns over Piero Hincapié and Martín Zubimendi after the Leeds win, raising the risk of rotation before the Forest match. The league standings and stakes could not be verified, so the picture remains open.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.81 - 1.88
115% mkt 14%
X22% mkt 23%
262% mkt 63%
O2.551% mkt 51%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
15% → 17%
+2.6 pp
X
24% → 24%
+0.2 pp
2
61% → 59%
-2.8 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 16:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
AC MilanVSAtalanta
1
54%
@1.77
X
23%
@3.70
2
22%
@4.20
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.42
PROB.67%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.84 - 1.11
154% mkt 54%
X23% mkt 24%
222% mkt 21%
O2.557% mkt 57%
BTTS57%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
53% → 56%
+3.6 pp
X
25% → 24%
-1.1 pp
2
22% → 20%
-2.5 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 16:30 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
MálagaVSReal Sociedad
1
28%
@3.40
X
25%
@3.50
2
47%
@2.15
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.70%
Lost
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 70%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.20 - 1.62
128% mkt 28%
X25% mkt 27%
247% mkt 45%
O2.554% mkt 56%
BTTS56%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
28% → 29%
+0.8 pp
X
27% → 27%
-0.8 pp
2
45% → 44%
+0.0 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 17:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
KifisiaVSAris
1
31%
@3.05
X
28%
@3.20
2
41%
@2.40
FREE TIP1X2 / DOUBLE CHANCEMODEL VS MARKET -2 pp
X2 (Aris or draw)
EST. ODDS~1.42
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
warningStakes and news check: Tiam is injured, leaving Aris thin at centre-back, and Gianniota is doubtful (a race against time to recover). No dated source for the current standings was found, so the stakes could not be checked.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.14 - 1.34
131% mkt 31%
X28% mkt 28%
241% mkt 42%
O2.545% mkt 47%
BTTS51%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
31% → 32%
+0.8 pp
X
28% → 27%
-0.6 pp
2
41% → 41%
-0.3 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 18:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 70%
FC TwenteVSFC Utrecht
1
70%
@1.36
X
17%
@5.50
2
13%
@7.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 4.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.70%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 70%.
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 11.5 corners
ODDS1.50
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Expected corners: FC Twente 6.9, FC Utrecht 3.4, total 10.4 (line 11.5).
  • Corners-for rate vs average: FC Twente x1.14, FC Utrecht x0.94 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
  • Our probability: 64%.
warningStakes and news check: Twente are without Lars Unnerstall and have Max Bruns doubtful. Utrecht are without Artem Stepanov (ankle injury).
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.56 - 1.03
170% mkt 72%
X17% mkt 16%
213% mkt 12%
O2.570% mkt 71%
BTTS59%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
69% → 70%
+0.8 pp
X
17% → 17%
+0.0 pp
2
13% → 13%
-0.9 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 18:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 68%
NEC NijmegenVSFortuna Sittard
1
59%
@1.68
X
20%
@4.35
2
21%
@4.35
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTSMODEL VS MARKET +1 pp
Over 2.5 goals
ODDS1.44
PROB.68%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 68%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.23 - 1.26
159% mkt 59%
X20% mkt 21%
221% mkt 20%
O2.568% mkt 67%
BTTS64%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 54%
-2.8 pp
X
22% → 23%
+1.2 pp
2
21% → 23%
+1.6 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 18:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 63%
PAOKVSIraklis
1
77%
@1.26
X
15%
@6.00
2
7%
@10.50
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
EST. ODDS~1.51
PROB.63%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 63%.
warningStakes and news check: Dimitri Pelka is reported out of the squad for the derby, according to Gazzetta's PAOK page. No confirmed lineup or other news from the last 7 days was found.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.45 - 0.63
177% mkt 78%
X15% mkt 14%
27% mkt 8%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS43%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
75% → 72%
-3.5 pp
X
16% → 18%
+2.1 pp
2
9% → 10%
+1.4 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 64%
JuventusVSLazio
1
59%
@1.62
X
24%
@3.75
2
17%
@5.00
FREE TIPCORNERS
Under 10.5 corners
ODDS1.52
PROB.64%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Expected corners: Juventus 6.3, Lazio 3.1, total 9.4 (line 10.5).
  • Corners-for rate vs average: Juventus x1.19, Lazio x0.89 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
  • Our probability: 64%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.78 - 0.84
159% mkt 59%
X24% mkt 24%
217% mkt 17%
O2.549% mkt 49%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 59%
+2.0 pp
X
25% → 24%
-0.3 pp
2
18% → 17%
-1.7 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 18:45 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 66%
LyonVSNice
1
51%
@1.95
X
24%
@3.75
2
25%
@3.75
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTS
Under 3.5 goals
ODDS1.48
PROB.66%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 66%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.77 - 1.17
151% mkt 50%
X24% mkt 25%
225% mkt 25%
O2.556% mkt 57%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (5 SNAPSHOTS)
1
49% → 52%
+3.0 pp
X
26% → 25%
-0.7 pp
2
26% → 23%
-2.2 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 19:00 GMT
MODEL PROBABILITY: 67%
Real MadridVSSevilla
1
79%
@1.24
X
14%
@6.50
2
7%
@11.00
FREE TIPGOALS & BTTSMODEL VS MARKET -1 pp
Over 2.5 goals
ODDS1.40
PROB.67%
psychologyWhy this pick
  • Our probability: 67%.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.71 - 0.73
179% mkt 80%
X14% mkt 13%
27% mkt 7%
O2.567% mkt 68%
BTTS48%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
77% → 78%
+1.6 pp
X
15% → 14%
-0.9 pp
2
9% → 8%
-0.6 pp
DUTCH EREDIVISIEKickoff 10:15 GMT
PEC ZwolleVSGo Ahead Eagles
1
27%
@3.55
X
22%
@3.75
2
51%
@1.95
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.39 - 1.97
127% mkt 26%
X22% mkt 25%
251% mkt 49%
O2.565% mkt 66%
BTTS65%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
27% → 26%
-0.7 pp
X
25% → 25%
-0.6 pp
2
48% → 50%
+1.2 pp
ITALIAN SERIE AKickoff 10:30 GMT
UdineseVSLecce
1
54%
@1.77
X
25%
@3.50
2
21%
@4.30
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.68 - 0.95
154% mkt 54%
X25% mkt 26%
221% mkt 21%
O2.549% mkt 48%
BTTS50%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
52% → 52%
-0.6 pp
X
26% → 27%
+0.9 pp
2
21% → 21%
-0.4 pp
SPANISH LALIGAKickoff 12:00 GMT
OsasunaVSRacing Santander
1
49%
@2.00
X
24%
@3.70
2
27%
@3.60
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.79 - 1.26
149% mkt 48%
X24% mkt 25%
227% mkt 26%
O2.559% mkt 60%
BTTS60%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
48% → 49%
+1.1 pp
X
26% → 25%
-0.4 pp
2
27% → 26%
-0.7 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 13:00 GMT
AFC BournemouthVSSunderland
1
47%
@2.15
X
26%
@3.50
2
27%
@3.45
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.55 - 1.13
147% mkt 45%
X26% mkt 27%
227% mkt 28%
O2.550% mkt 50%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
45% → 45%
-0.2 pp
X
27% → 28%
+0.7 pp
2
28% → 27%
-0.5 pp
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUEKickoff 13:00 GMT
Brighton & Hove AlbionVSCrystal Palace
1
64%
@1.47
X
20%
@4.75
2
16%
@6.25
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.22 - 1.01
164% mkt 65%
X20% mkt 20%
216% mkt 15%
O2.563% mkt 62%
BTTS57%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
64% → 66%
+1.9 pp
X
20% → 20%
-0.6 pp
2
16% → 15%
-1.3 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 13:00 GMT
KalamataVSOFI Crete
1
37%
@2.70
X
28%
@3.25
2
35%
@2.65
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.29 - 1.25
137% mkt 35%
X28% mkt 29%
235% mkt 36%
O2.547% mkt 46%
BTTS52%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (2 SNAPSHOTS)
1
35% → 34%
-1.3 pp
X
29% → 29%
+0.0 pp
2
36% → 37%
+1.4 pp
GREEK SUPER LEAGUEKickoff 14:00 GMT
PanetolikosVSOlympiacos
1
9%
@9.00
X
19%
@5.25
2
72%
@1.32
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 0.56 - 2.06
19% mkt 9%
X19% mkt 17%
272% mkt 74%
O2.549% mkt 52%
BTTS38%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
11% → 10%
+0.0 pp
X
18% → 19%
+0.8 pp
2
71% → 71%
-0.8 pp
FRENCH LIGUE 1Kickoff 15:15 GMT
Le Havre ACVSAJ Auxerre
1
42%
@2.30
X
26%
@3.40
2
31%
@3.15
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 1.46 - 1.22
142% mkt 42%
X26% mkt 28%
231% mkt 30%
O2.550% mkt 52%
BTTS54%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (3 SNAPSHOTS)
1
42% → 42%
+0.1 pp
X
28% → 27%
-0.7 pp
2
30% → 31%
+0.6 pp
TURKISH SUPER LIGKickoff 16:00 GMT
Istanbul BasaksehirVSGaziantep FK
1
60%
@1.65
X
21%
@4.20
2
19%
@4.70
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish nothing rather than a weak pick.
analyticsRead the match analysis
expand_moreMODEL DETAILS
xG 2.08 - 1.08
160% mkt 59%
X21% mkt 22%
219% mkt 19%
O2.561% mkt 61%
BTTS58%
MARKET DRIFT, IMPLIED 1X2 (4 SNAPSHOTS)
1
57% → 57%
+0.0 pp
X
22% → 22%
-0.5 pp
2
20% → 21%
+0.4 pp
fact_check

At a glance

31
EVALUATED
23
PUBLISHED
23
FREE

We evaluate every fixture and publish only the picks that pass our probability and odds filters. A combo appears when at least two open picks qualify.

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Frequently asked questions

What to know before you use the predictions.

What is AI Goal Lab?

AI Goal Lab publishes football predictions built on statistics. For each match there is one pick with a probability, the odds and the reasoning behind it. All numbers are model estimates, not certainties.

How are the predictions made?

A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

Which odds do you use?

Real bookmaker prices where available. When no real price exists, the pick shows an estimated price and is clearly labelled as an estimate.

Are the predictions guaranteed?

No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

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