Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos prediction, tips and odds

Next scheduled meeting: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos, 2/12/2026, gre.cup. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.

stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•18:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Olympiacos

VS18:00 GMT

Panathinaikos

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.46

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

44%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

50%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 OlympiacosX2 Panathinaikos

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Olympiacos (1)	41.2%	45.1%	2.22	trending_up+3.9 pp
Draw (X)	30.6%	30%	3.33	trending_down-0.5 pp
Panathinaikos (2)	28.3%	24.9%	4.02	trending_down-3.4 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Olympiacos 1 - 1 Panathinaikos

PROBABILITY

12.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.4Exp. cards 4.6

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Olympiacos

43%2.342.30

Draw

28%3.613.10

Panathinaikos

29%3.393.35

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Olympiacos or draw

71%1.42—

Panathinaikos or draw

57%1.75—

Either team wins (no draw)

72%1.38—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

71%1.41—

Under 1.5 goals

29%3.42—

Over 2.5 goals

44%2.252.05

Under 2.5 goals

56%1.801.71

Over 3.5 goals

23%4.29—

Under 3.5 goals

77%1.30—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

50%2.01—

Not both score (NG)

50%1.99—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

57%1.76—

Under 7.5 corners

43%2.32—

Over 8.5 corners

45%2.21—

Under 8.5 corners

55%1.83—

Over 9.5 corners

35%2.89—

Under 9.5 corners

65%1.53—

Over 10.5 corners

25%3.93—

Under 10.5 corners

75%1.34—

Over 11.5 corners

18%5.56—

Under 11.5 corners

82%1.22—

Over 12.5 corners

12%8.13—

Under 12.5 corners

88%1.14—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

93%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

7%14.29—

Over 2.5 cards

83%1.20—

Under 2.5 cards

17%5.91—

Over 3.5 cards

67%1.48—

Under 3.5 cards

33%3.07—

Over 4.5 cards

49%2.03—

Under 4.5 cards

51%1.97—

Over 5.5 cards

33%3.07—

Under 5.5 cards

67%1.48—

Over 6.5 cards

20%5.10—

Under 6.5 cards

80%1.24—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Olympiacos

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 5-3

WDLWW

WALevadiakos1-0

WHJagiellonia Bialystok2-1

LHOFI Crete0-1

DAVolos NFC1-1

WAAsteras Tripoli1-0

Panathinaikos

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · goals 12-2

WWWWW

WAKalamata1-0

WHPanetolikos3-0

WHKifisia3-1

WHPAOK3-1

WALevadiakos2-0

Head-to-head

2026-05-13

Olympiacos1 - 0Panathinaikos

2026-04-19

Panathinaikos0 - 2Olympiacos

2026-02-08

Olympiacos0 - 1Panathinaikos

2025-09-21

Panathinaikos1 - 1Olympiacos

2025-05-11

Panathinaikos0 - 1Olympiacos

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Team comparison

Olympiacos

VS

Panathinaikos

#60 ▲6Power Index 60.2

Power Ranking

#110 ▲2Power Index 51.2

€186m1st in the league

Squad value

€126m2nd in the league

Imanol Alguacil NEWsince 10 Sep 2026 · 6 games · 2.50 pts/game

Head coach

Jacob Neestrupsince 1 Jul 2026 · 16 games · 2.44 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

43%Market 42%

Draw (X)

28%Market 30%

Away win (2)

29%Market 28%

Over 2.5 goals

44%Market 45%

Both teams to score

50%Market: —

Expected goals

1.4 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Olympiacos 1 - 1 Panathinaikos (12.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 112.8%
2. 1 - 011.7%
3. 0 - 19.3%
4. 2 - 18.7%
5. 0 - 08.6%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Panathinaikos

Goals scored by Olympiacos

01234508.69.35.11.80.50.1111.712.87.02.50.70.128.08.74.71.70.50.133.74.02.20.80.20.041.21.40.70.30.10.050.30.40.20.10.00.0

Next matches of Olympiacos

22/10/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAHomeSparta Prague

25/10/2026 · GRE.1HomeKalamata

28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayMarko

Next matches of Panathinaikos

22/10/2026 · UEFA.EUROPA.CONFAwayKairat Almaty

25/10/2026 · GRE.1AwayVolos NFC

28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPHomeAris

Our model gives Olympiacos win 43%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos win 29%. over 2.5 goals 44%. both teams to score 50%. expected goals 1.37 - 1.09. largest gap to the market: draw (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.