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Besiktas vs Crystal Palace prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Besiktas vs Crystal Palace, 2026-10-22, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE/2026-10-22
stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
BesiktasHOME

Besiktas

VS19:00 GMT

Crystal Palace

Crystal PalaceAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.11

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

60%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

62%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Besiktas 1 - 1 Crystal Palace

PROBABILITY

10.6%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.0Exp. cards 4.1
swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Besiktas
46%2.162.10
Draw
24%4.173.90
Crystal Palace
30%3.353.20
shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Besiktas or draw
70%1.43—
Crystal Palace or draw
54%1.86—
Either team wins (no draw)
76%1.32—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
82%1.221.20
Under 1.5 goals
18%5.564.20
Over 2.5 goals
60%1.661.60
Under 2.5 goals
40%2.512.35
Over 3.5 goals
38%2.652.35
Under 3.5 goals
62%1.611.57
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
62%1.62—
Not both score (NG)
38%2.62—
flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
73%1.37—
Under 7.5 corners
27%3.67—
Over 8.5 corners
62%1.601.52
Under 8.5 corners
38%2.662.35
Over 9.5 corners
52%1.941.94
Under 9.5 corners
48%2.071.77
Over 10.5 corners
41%2.422.52
Under 10.5 corners
59%1.701.46
Over 11.5 corners
32%3.14—
Under 11.5 corners
68%1.47—
Over 12.5 corners
24%4.22—
Under 12.5 corners
76%1.31—
style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
91%1.10—
Under 1.5 cards
9%10.58—
Over 2.5 cards
77%1.291.31
Under 2.5 cards
23%4.413.15
Over 3.5 cards
59%1.691.75
Under 3.5 cards
41%2.441.96
Over 4.5 cards
40%2.49—
Under 4.5 cards
60%1.67—
Over 5.5 cards
24%4.09—
Under 5.5 cards
76%1.32—
Over 6.5 cards
14%7.31—
Under 6.5 cards
86%1.16—
layers

Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER39%
add_circleBesiktas
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.46
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Besiktas

Besiktas

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 11-9

WLWWL
LATrabzonspor0-2
WATSG Hoffenheim3-2
WHKocaelispor2-1
LAAmed SFK2-3
WHMarseille4-1
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-11

DLWLL
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-5
LALyon2-3
WHNottingham Forest3-1
LHBristol City0-2
DALeeds United0-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

compare_arrows

Team comparison

VS
#109 ▲1Power Index 51.4
Power Ranking
#28 ▼3Power Index 69.1
€274m2nd in the league
Squad value
€579m10th in the league
Vincenzo Italianosince 6 Jun 2026 · 15 games · 2.40 pts/game
Head coach
Pierre Sagesince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.30 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
46%Market 46%
Draw (X)
24%Market 24%
Away win (2)
30%Market 30%
Over 2.5 goals
60%Market 60%
Both teams to score
62%Market: —
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Besiktas 1 - 1 Crystal Palace (10.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 110.6%
  2. 2 - 19.3%
  3. 1 - 07.8%
  4. 1 - 27.2%
  5. 2 - 06.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Crystal Palace
Goals scored by Besiktas
01234504.46.14.21.90.60.217.810.67.23.31.10.326.89.36.32.91.00.333.95.43.71.70.60.241.72.41.60.70.30.150.60.80.60.30.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Besiktas
Last 5, most recent first
LWLWW
Goals per game, for / against1.8 / 1.4
Home, W-D-L (last 10)4-0-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-3
Crystal Palace
Last 5, most recent first
LWDLW
Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 2.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-2
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Absences

Besiktas3 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Centre-backInjured6
Right wingerInjuredHamstring strain4/10/2026
Central midfieldInjured7
Crystal Palace1 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Centre-backInjuredKnee injury23/8/2026

Source: Transfermarkt, 21/10/2026. Doubtful players are not listed.

Form and team news

Besiktas
3 W0 D2 L1.8 for1.4 against3 out

Besiktas have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 3 players are out.

Crystal Palace
2 W1 D2 L1.6 for2.2 against1 out

Crystal Palace have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 1 player is out.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

53Emir Han Topcu
Besiktas
Position
Defender
Age
26 (11/10/2000)
Nationality
Türkiye
Height
188 cm
Market value
€9.0m
Contract until
30/6/2028

Season stats, all competitions

4Appearances
1Goals
0Assists
2Shots
1Shots on target
5Fouls committed
8Fouls won
0Offsides
2Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.25 goals per game, 0.50 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

7Milot Rashica
Besiktas
Position
Midfielder
Age
30
Nationality
Kosovo
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

0Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
8Shots
3Shots on target
0Fouls committed
6Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
10Orkun Kökçü
Besiktas
Position
Midfielder
Age
25
Nationality
Türkiye
Height
175 cm

Season stats, all competitions

12Appearances
2Goals
5Assists
29Shots
7Shots on target
8Fouls committed
27Fouls won
3Offsides
3Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.17 goals per game, 0.42 assists per game, 2.42 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

4Chadi Riad
Crystal Palace
Position
Defender
Age
23
Nationality
Morocco
Height
185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances
0Goals
1Assists
2Shots
1Shots on target
0.0xG
0.0xA
0.0npxG (no penalties)
0Key passes
4Fouls committed
4Fouls won
0Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.14 assists per game, 0.29 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Next matches of Besiktas

26/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeIstanbul Basaksehir
1/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayKasimpasa
8/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeGenclerbirligi

Next matches of Crystal Palace

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeNewcastle United
31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayTottenham Hotspur
8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeLiverpool
BesiktasCrystal Palace

More matches on this day

Our model gives Besiktas win 46%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace win 30%. over 2.5 goals 60%. both teams to score 62%. expected goals 1.75 - 1.37. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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