Hapoel Be'er vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er, 2026-10-22, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•16:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Union St.-Gilloise

VS16:45 GMT

Hapoel Be'er

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.59

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

70%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Union St.-Gilloise 2 - 0 Hapoel Be'er

PROBABILITY

9.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Union St.-Gilloise

75%1.341.31

Draw

15%6.555.75

Hapoel Be'er

10%9.978.50

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Union St.-Gilloise or draw

90%1.11—

Hapoel Be'er or draw

25%3.95—

Either team wins (no draw)

85%1.18—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

88%1.14—

Under 1.5 goals

12%8.02—

Over 2.5 goals

70%1.44—

Under 2.5 goals

30%3.28—

Over 3.5 goals

48%2.07—

Under 3.5 goals

52%1.93—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

56%1.79—

Not both score (NG)

44%2.26—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Union St.-Gilloise

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 12-2

WWWDD

DHReal Sociedad1-1

DHOud-Heverlee Leuven1-1

WAAntwerp2-0

WAViktoria Plzen3-0

WHLommel SK5-0

Hapoel Be'er

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-8

WWLDL

LAAZ Alkmaar1-2

DHDinamo Zagreb0-0

LASabah FK2-5

WHSabah FK2-1

WARed Star Belgrade2-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

Union St.-Gilloise

VS

Hapoel Be'er

#41 ▲2Power Index 66.1

Power Ranking

—

€94m4th in the league

Squad value

—

David Hubertsince 13 Oct 2025 · 55 games · 2.05 pts/game

Head coach

—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

75%Market 75%

Draw (X)

15%Market 15%

Away win (2)

10%Market 10%

Over 2.5 goals

70%Market: —

Both teams to score

56%Market: —

Expected goals

2.7 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Union St.-Gilloise 2 - 0 Hapoel Be'er (9.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 09.9%
2. 2 - 19.0%
3. 3 - 08.9%
4. 3 - 18.1%
5. 1 - 07.4%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Hapoel Be'er

Goals scored by Union St.-Gilloise

01234502.82.51.10.30.10.017.46.73.10.90.20.029.99.04.11.20.30.138.98.13.71.10.30.046.05.42.50.70.20.053.22.91.30.40.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Union St.-Gilloise

Last 5, most recent first

DWWWW

Goals per game, for / against2.8 / 0.6

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-2-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)4-0-0

Form and team news

Union St.-Gilloise

4 W1 D0 L2.8 for0.6 against

Union St.-Gilloise have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.6 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Union St.-Gilloise

25/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeCercle Brugge KSV

31/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayWaasland-Beveren

8/11/2026 · BEL.1HomeRacing Genk

Our model gives Union St.-Gilloise win 75%, draw 15%, Hapoel Be'er win 10%. over 2.5 goals 70%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 2.68 - 0.91. largest gap to the market: Union St.-Gilloise win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.