F.C. København vs Red Star Belgrade prediction, tips and odds
Next match: Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København, 2026-10-22, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time
HOMERed Star Belgrade
F.C. København
AWAYPROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.98
MODEL OVER 2.5
57%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
60%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
0
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Red Star Belgrade 1 - 1 F.C. København
11.2%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Red Star Belgrade
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 6-11

F.C. København
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 6-5
Head-to-head
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Red Star Belgrade 1 - 1 F.C. København (11.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 111.2%
- 2 - 19.1%
- 1 - 08.3%
- 1 - 27.6%
- 0 - 16.9%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Lineups
Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.
Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.
- Red Star Belgrade 3-4-3: Matheus, Matej Gashtarov, Stefan Gudelj, Yuta Nakayama, Mihailo Ristić, Rade Krunić, Tomás Händel, Vladimir Lučić, Aleksandar Katai, Bamba Dieng, Timi Elšnik
- F.C. København 4-2-3-1: Diant Ramaj, Birger Meling, Felix Beijmo, Ákos Markgráf, Junnosuke Suzuki, Alex Král, William Clem, Thapelo Maseko, Mohamed Elyounoussi, Robert, Viktor Daðason
Red Star Belgrade3-4-3| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| MatheusGoalkeeper | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Matej GashtarovDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Stefan GudeljDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Yuta NakayamaDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mihailo RistićMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Rade KrunićMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tomás HändelMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Vladimir LučićMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Aleksandar KataiForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Bamba DiengForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Timi ElšnikForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
F.C. København4-2-3-1| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| Diant RamajGoalkeeper | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Birger MelingDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Felix BeijmoDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Ákos MarkgráfDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Junnosuke SuzukiDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Alex KrálMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| William ClemMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Thapelo MasekoMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mohamed ElyounoussiMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| RobertMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Viktor DaðasonForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
Season stats, all competitions. Value: Transfermarkt. Click a player for the full card.
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Our model gives Red Star Belgrade win 43%, draw 25%, F.C. København win 32%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.62 - 1.36. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.