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F.C. København vs Red Star Belgrade prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København, 2026-10-22, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE/2026-10-22
stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•16:45 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
Red Star BelgradeHOME

Red Star Belgrade

VS16:45 GMT

F.C. København

F.C. KøbenhavnAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.98

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

57%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

60%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Red Star Belgrade 1 - 1 F.C. København

PROBABILITY

11.2%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Red Star Belgrade
43%2.312.25
Draw
25%4.023.65
F.C. København
32%3.143.05
shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Red Star Belgrade or draw
68%1.47—
F.C. København or draw
57%1.77—
Either team wins (no draw)
75%1.33—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
80%1.25—
Under 1.5 goals
20%5.01—
Over 2.5 goals
57%1.751.67
Under 2.5 goals
43%2.332.20
Over 3.5 goals
35%2.88—
Under 3.5 goals
65%1.53—
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
60%1.67—
Not both score (NG)
40%2.49—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Red Star Belgrade

Red Star Belgrade

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 6-11

LLWLL
LAFC Lugano2-3
LAViktoria Plzen1-5
WHViktoria Plzen3-0
LHHapoel Be'er0-2
LAHapoel Be'er0-1
F.C. København

F.C. København

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 6-5

WLLWD
DHAGF1-1
WHBraga3-0
LAFC Midtjylland1-2
LAHamburg SV0-2
WABrøndby IF1-0

Head-to-head

2019-08-13
F.C. København1 - 1Red Star Belgrade
2019-08-06
Red Star Belgrade1 - 1F.C. København
analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
43%Market 43%
Draw (X)
25%Market 26%
Away win (2)
32%Market 31%
Over 2.5 goals
57%Market 57%
Both teams to score
60%Market: —
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Red Star Belgrade 1 - 1 F.C. København (11.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 111.2%
  2. 2 - 19.1%
  3. 1 - 08.3%
  4. 1 - 27.6%
  5. 0 - 16.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by F.C. København
Goals scored by Red Star Belgrade
01234505.16.94.72.10.70.218.311.27.63.41.20.326.79.16.22.80.90.333.64.93.31.50.50.141.52.01.30.60.20.150.50.60.40.20.10.0

Lineups

ProbableUpdated 21/10 20:46 · AI Goal Lab estimate

Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.

Red Star Belgrade00F.C. København0'
Glow = player market value€0€120m+

Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.

  • Red Star Belgrade 3-4-3: Matheus, Matej Gashtarov, Stefan Gudelj, Yuta Nakayama, Mihailo Ristić, Rade Krunić, Tomás Händel, Vladimir Lučić, Aleksandar Katai, Bamba Dieng, Timi Elšnik
  • F.C. København 4-2-3-1: Diant Ramaj, Birger Meling, Felix Beijmo, Ákos Markgráf, Junnosuke Suzuki, Alex Král, William Clem, Thapelo Maseko, Mohamed Elyounoussi, Robert, Viktor Daðason

More matches on this day

Our model gives Red Star Belgrade win 43%, draw 25%, F.C. København win 32%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.62 - 1.36. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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