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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Jablonec prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion, 2026-10-22, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE/2026-10-22
stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•16:45 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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JablonecHOME

Jablonec

VS16:45 GMT

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove AlbionAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.25

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

63%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

49%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Jablonec 0 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion

PROBABILITY

12.1%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Jablonec
9%11.179.00
Draw
16%6.315.75
Brighton & Hove Albion
75%1.331.30
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Jablonec or draw
25%4.03—
Brighton & Hove Albion or draw
91%1.10—
Either team wins (no draw)
84%1.19—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
84%1.191.15
Under 1.5 goals
16%6.154.50
Over 2.5 goals
63%1.591.52
Under 2.5 goals
37%2.712.45
Over 3.5 goals
41%2.452.30
Under 3.5 goals
59%1.691.62
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
49%2.05—
Not both score (NG)
51%1.95—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER41%
add_circleBrighton & Hove Albion
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.11
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Jablonec

Jablonec

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 7-5

WWLWL
LASC Freiburg2-3
WHRangers1-0
LARangers0-1
WARigas Futbola Skola2-1
WHRigas Futbola Skola2-0
Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · goals 17-2

WWWWW
WHCrystal Palace5-0
WHKauno Zalgiris4-0
WASunderland2-0
WHArsenal3-0
WAManchester United3-2

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

Jablonec
VS
Brighton & Hove Albion
—
Power Ranking
#8Power Index 80.4
—
Squad value
€604m8th in the league
—
Head coach
Fabian Hürzelersince 1 Jul 2024 · 99 games · 1.66 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
9%Market 9%
Draw (X)
16%Market 15%
Away win (2)
75%Market 75%
Over 2.5 goals
63%Market 63%
Both teams to score
49%Market: —
Expected goals
0.8 - 2.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Jablonec 0 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion (12.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 0 - 212.1%
  2. 0 - 310.1%
  3. 0 - 19.7%
  4. 1 - 29.1%
  5. 1 - 37.6%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Brighton & Hove Albion
Goals scored by Jablonec
01234503.99.712.110.16.33.112.97.39.17.64.72.421.12.73.42.91.80.930.30.70.90.70.40.240.10.10.20.10.10.050.00.00.00.00.00.0

Lineups

ProbableUpdated 21/10 19:00 · AI Goal Lab estimate

Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.

Jablonec00Brighton & Hove Albion0'
Glow = player market value€0€120m+

Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.

  • Jablonec 4-2-3-1: Hanus, Slama, Tekijaski, Pavlovic, Cedidla, Okeke, Sedlacek, Polidar, Alioum, Tchanturishvili, Rusek
  • Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1: Verbruggen, Boscagli, Svoboda, Dunk, Costinha, Gross, O'Riley, Gomez, Hinshelwood, Osman, Rutter

Form

Brighton & Hove Albion
Last 5, most recent first
WWWWD
Goals per game, for / against3.2 / 0.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-1

Absences

Jablonec2 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Kevin-Prince MillaCentre-forwardInjuredBroken leg17/8/2026
Krystof KarbanCentre-backInjuredKnee surgery27/5/2026
Brighton & Hove Albion4 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Centre-forwardInjuredAnkle injury18/1/2026
Left wingerInjuredHamstring injury10/5/2026
Centre-forwardInjuredCruciate ligament tear3/12/2025
Right wingerInjuredCalf injury8/8/2026

Source: Transfermarkt, 21/10/2026. Doubtful players are not listed.

Form and team news

Jablonec
2 out

According to Transfermarkt, 2 players are out.

Brighton & Hove Albion
4 W1 D0 L3.2 for0.2 against4 out

Brighton & Hove Albion have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 3.2 and conceding 0.2 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 4 players are out.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Bart Verbruggen, Goalkeeper Brighton & Hove Albion
1Bart Verbruggen
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Goalkeeper
Age
24 (18/8/2002)
Nationality
Netherlands
Height
193 cm
Market value
€40.0m
Contract until
30/6/2028

Season stats, all competitions

18Appearances
45Saves
4Clean sheets
17Goals conceded
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

2.50 saves per game, 0.94 goals conceded per game, clean sheet in 22% of games. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Olivier Boscagli, Defender Brighton & Hove Albion
21Olivier Boscagli
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Defender
Age
28 (18/11/1997)
Nationality
France, Monaco
Height
180 cm
Market value
€15.0m
Contract until
30/6/2030

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
5Shots
2Shots on target
0.1xG
1.1xA
0.1npxG (no penalties)
11Key passes
10Fouls committed
9Fouls won
0Offsides
2Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.71 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Michael Svoboda, Defender Brighton & Hove Albion
30Michael Svoboda
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Defender
Age
28 (15/10/1998)
Nationality
Austria
Height
196 cm
Market value
€3.5m
Contract until
30/6/2030
Joined from
Venezia FC, 2/7/2026, €5.00m

Season stats, all competitions

0Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
0Shots
0Shots on target
0.0xG
0.0xA
0.0npxG (no penalties)
0Key passes
1Fouls committed
0Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
5Lewis Dunk
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Defender
Age
34
Nationality
England
Height
193 cm

Season stats, all competitions

4Appearances
1Goals
0Assists
1Shots
1Shots on target
0.0xG
0.1xA
0.0npxG (no penalties)
2Key passes
4Fouls committed
2Fouls won
0Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.25 goals per game, 0.25 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Costinha, Defender Brighton & Hove Albion
20Costinha
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Defender
Age
26 (26/3/2000)
Nationality
Portugal
Height
180 cm
Market value
€7.0m
Contract until
30/6/2031
Joined from
Olympiacos Piraeus, 1/7/2026, €12.70m

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
2Shots
1Shots on target
0.1xG
0.1xA
0.1npxG (no penalties)
1Key passes
4Fouls committed
2Fouls won
1Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards
13Pascal Gross
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Midfielder
Age
35
Nationality
Germany
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

8Appearances
4Goals
5Assists
16Shots
5Shots on target
14Fouls committed
0Fouls won
0Offsides
2Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.50 goals per game, 0.63 assists per game, 2.00 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Matt O'Riley, Midfielder Brighton & Hove Albion
33Matt O'Riley
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Midfielder
Age
25 (21/11/2000)
Nationality
Denmark, England
Height
188 cm
Market value
€18.0m
Contract until
30/6/2029

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
3Shots
1Shots on target
0.6xG
0.0xA
0.6npxG (no penalties)
1Key passes
1Fouls committed
0Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
Diego Gómez, Midfielder Brighton & Hove Albion
25Diego Gómez
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Midfielder
Age
23 (27/3/2003)
Nationality
Paraguay
Height
185 cm
Market value
€25.0m
Contract until
30/6/2031

Season stats, all competitions

15Appearances
1Goals
3Assists
28Shots
9Shots on target
1.6xG
1.3xA
1.6npxG (no penalties)
8Key passes
17Fouls committed
2Fouls won
2Offsides
3Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.07 goals per game, 0.20 assists per game, 1.87 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

8Jack Hinshelwood
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Midfielder
Age
21
Nationality
England
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

2Appearances
2Goals
0Assists
4Shots
2Shots on target
2.2xG
0.1xA
2.2npxG (no penalties)
1Key passes
3Fouls committed
3Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
Ibrahim Osman, Forward Brighton & Hove Albion
15Ibrahim Osman
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Forward
Age
21 (29/11/2004)
Nationality
Ghana
Height
178 cm
Market value
€7.0m
Contract until
30/6/2029

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
2Shots
0Shots on target
0.1xG
0.0xA
0.1npxG (no penalties)
1Key passes
1Fouls committed
2Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
Georginio Rutter, Forward Brighton & Hove Albion
10Georginio Rutter
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Forward
Age
24 (20/4/2002)
Nationality
France, Martinique
Height
183 cm
Market value
€30.0m
Contract until
30/6/2028

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
0Goals
2Assists
3Shots
0Shots on target
0.2xG
1.3xA
0.2npxG (no penalties)
2Key passes
1Fouls committed
0Fouls won
2Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
28Evan Ferguson
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Midfielder
Age
21
Nationality
Scotland
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

7Kaoru Mitoma
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Midfielder
Age
29
Nationality
Japan
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
1Goals
0Assists
3Shots
1Shots on target
0Fouls committed
4Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
9Stefanos Tzimas
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Forward
Age
20
Nationality
Greece
Height
185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

3Appearances
4Goals
0Assists
1Shots
1Shots on target
0Fouls committed
1Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

1.33 goals per game, 0.33 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

11Yankuba Minteh
Brighton & Hove Albion
Position
Forward
Age
22
Nationality
Gambia
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
0Goals
1Assists
0Shots
0Shots on target
0Fouls committed
0Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

Next matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

25/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayLiverpool
31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayManchester City
8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeBrentford

More matches on this day

Our model gives Jablonec win 9%, draw 16%, Brighton & Hove Albion win 75%. over 2.5 goals 63%. both teams to score 49%. expected goals 0.75 - 2.50. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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