CSKA Sofia vs FC Nordsjælland prediction, tips and odds
Next match: FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia, 2026-10-22, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time
HOMEFC Nordsjælland
CSKA Sofia
AWAYPROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.21
MODEL OVER 2.5
62%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
54%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
0
1 (FC Nordsjælland)
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.
Algorithmic Value
1 (FC Nordsjælland)
Our probability: 69%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
FC Nordsjælland 2 - 0 CSKA Sofia
10.8%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Nordsjælland
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · goals 5-11

CSKA Sofia
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 5-10
Head-to-head
No recent meetings in the feed.
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: FC Nordsjælland 2 - 0 CSKA Sofia (10.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 010.8%
- 2 - 19.7%
- 1 - 09.3%
- 3 - 08.4%
- 1 - 18.3%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Lineups
Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.
Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.
- FC Nordsjælland 3-4-3: Andreas Hansen, Steven Akuaa, Peter Ankersen, Victor Nelson, Juho Lahteenmaki, Mark Brink, Justin Jansen, Runar Norheim, Helte Rasmussen, Alexander Lind, Ibrahim Adel
- CSKA Sofia 4-2-3-1: Fedor Lapoukhov, Angelo Martino, Dinish Almeida, Facundo Rodriguez, Pastor, Max Ebong, Bruno Jordao, Ioannis Pitas, Stefano Sensi, Leo Pereira, Leandro Godoy
FC Nordsjælland3-4-3| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| Andreas HansenGoalkeeper | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Steven AkuaaDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Peter AnkersenDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Victor NelsonDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Juho LahteenmakiMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mark BrinkMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Justin JansenMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Runar NorheimMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Helte RasmussenForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Alexander LindForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Ibrahim AdelForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
CSKA Sofia4-2-3-1| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| Fedor LapoukhovGoalkeeper | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Angelo MartinoDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Dinish AlmeidaDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Facundo RodriguezDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| PastorDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Max EbongMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Bruno JordaoMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Ioannis PitasMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Stefano SensiMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Leo PereiraMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Leandro GodoyForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
Season stats, all competitions. Value: Transfermarkt. Click a player for the full card.
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Our model gives FC Nordsjælland win 69%, draw 18%, CSKA Sofia win 13%. over 2.5 goals 62%. both teams to score 54%. expected goals 2.32 - 0.89. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.