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Levski Sofia vs Viktoria Plzen prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia, 2026-10-22, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE/2026-10-22
stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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Viktoria PlzenHOME

Viktoria Plzen

VS19:00 GMT

Levski Sofia

Levski SofiaAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.90

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

55%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

55%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Viktoria Plzen 1 - 1 Levski Sofia

PROBABILITY

10.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Viktoria Plzen
55%1.821.77
Draw
23%4.263.90
Levski Sofia
22%4.624.30
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Viktoria Plzen or draw
78%1.28—
Levski Sofia or draw
45%2.22—
Either team wins (no draw)
77%1.31—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
79%1.271.20
Under 1.5 goals
21%4.744.20
Over 2.5 goals
55%1.801.73
Under 2.5 goals
45%2.242.10
Over 3.5 goals
33%3.022.65
Under 3.5 goals
67%1.491.45
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
55%1.80—
Not both score (NG)
45%2.25—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER45%
add_circleViktoria Plzen
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.04
BUILDER36%
add_circleViktoria Plzen
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.59
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Viktoria Plzen

Viktoria Plzen

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 7-10

LLWLL
LAFerencvaros1-2
LHUnion St.-Gilloise0-3
WHRed Star Belgrade5-1
LARed Star Belgrade0-3
LHPanathinaikos1-1
Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 2-6

WDLLD
DANEC Nijmegen1-1
LHRB Salzburg0-1
LAAEK Athens0-4
DHAEK Athens0-0
WAKairat Almaty1-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
55%Market 55%
Draw (X)
23%Market 24%
Away win (2)
22%Market 21%
Over 2.5 goals
55%Market 56%
Both teams to score
55%Market: —
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Viktoria Plzen 1 - 1 Levski Sofia (10.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 110.8%
  2. 1 - 010.1%
  3. 2 - 19.9%
  4. 2 - 09.2%
  5. 3 - 16.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Levski Sofia
Goals scored by Viktoria Plzen
01234505.55.93.11.10.30.1110.110.85.82.10.50.129.29.95.31.90.50.135.66.03.21.10.30.142.62.81.50.50.10.050.91.00.50.20.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

More matches on this day

Our model gives Viktoria Plzen win 55%, draw 23%, Levski Sofia win 22%. over 2.5 goals 55%. both teams to score 55%. expected goals 1.83 - 1.07. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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