Benfica vs Omonia Nicosia prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica, 2026-10-22, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Omonia Nicosia

VS19:00 GMT

Benfica

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.15

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

61%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

51%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Omonia Nicosia 0 - 2 Benfica

PROBABILITY

11.5%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Omonia Nicosia

12%8.597.50

Draw

18%5.545.00

Benfica

70%1.421.39

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Omonia Nicosia or draw

30%3.37—

Benfica or draw

88%1.13—

Either team wins (no draw)

82%1.22—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

82%1.211.14

Under 1.5 goals

18%5.694.60

Over 2.5 goals

61%1.641.55

Under 2.5 goals

39%2.562.35

Over 3.5 goals

39%2.592.35

Under 3.5 goals

61%1.631.58

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

51%1.95—

Not both score (NG)

49%2.05—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER49%

add_circleBenfica

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.88

BUILDER40%

add_circleBenfica

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.20

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Omonia Nicosia

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 9-3

WLWWW

WANK Celje3-0

WHCelta Vigo1-0

WHSint-Truidense4-2

LASint-Truidense0-1

WHLincoln Red Imps1-0

Benfica

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 12-5

WWLWW

WHCeltic4-1

WHVitória de Guimaraes2-0

LAFC Porto1-3

WAAC Milan2-0

WHGil Vicente3-1

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

Omonia Nicosia

VS

Benfica

—

Power Ranking

#11 ▲1Power Index 78.7

—

Squad value

€422m2nd in the league

—

Head coach

Marco Silvasince 1 Jul 2026 · 16 games · 2.38 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

12%Market 12%

Draw (X)

18%Market 18%

Away win (2)

70%Market 70%

Over 2.5 goals

61%Market 61%

Both teams to score

51%Market: —

Expected goals

0.8 - 2.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Omonia Nicosia 0 - 2 Benfica (11.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 211.5%
2. 0 - 19.9%
3. 1 - 29.6%
4. 0 - 38.9%
5. 1 - 18.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Benfica

Goals scored by Omonia Nicosia

01234504.39.911.58.95.12.413.68.39.67.44.32.021.53.54.03.11.80.830.41.01.10.90.50.240.10.20.20.20.10.050.00.00.00.00.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Benfica

Last 5, most recent first

WLWWW

Goals per game, for / against2.6 / 0.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)3-0-1

Absences

Omonia Nicosia3 out

Player	Position	Status	Reason	Since
CECarel Eiting	Central midfield	Injured	Knee injury	16/7/2026
DADavid Akintola	Right winger	Injured	Muscle injury	9/10/2026
FKFotis Kitsos	Left-back	Injured	Cruciate ligament tear	25/1/2026

Benfica2 out

Player	Position	Status	Reason	Since
Tomás AraújoKey player	Centre-back	Injured	8
JKJakub Kamiński	Left winger	Injured	Muscle injury	26/9/2026

Source: Transfermarkt, 21/10/2026. Doubtful players are not listed.

Form and team news

Omonia Nicosia

3 out

According to Transfermarkt, 3 players are out.

Benfica

4 W0 D1 L2.6 for0.8 against2 out

Benfica have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.8 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 2 players are out, including key players Tomás Araújo.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

44Tomás Araújo

Benfica

close

Position

Defender

Age

24 (16/5/2002)

Nationality

Portugal

Height

188 cm

Market value

€35.0m

Contract until

30/6/2031

Season stats, all competitions

10Appearances

0Goals

1Assists

5Shots

1Shots on target

11Fouls committed

1Fouls won

1Offsides

4Yellow cards

0Red cards

How the season reads

0.10 assists per game, 0.50 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

JK

13Jakub Kaminski

Benfica

close

Position

Forward

Age

24

Nationality

Poland

Height

178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

3Appearances

1Goals

1Assists

3Shots

1Shots on target

1Fouls committed

3Fouls won

2Offsides

0Yellow cards

0Red cards

How the season reads

0.33 goals per game, 0.33 assists per game, 1.00 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Next matches of Benfica

26/10/2026 · POR.1AwaySanta Clara

2/11/2026 · POR.1HomeAlverca

8/11/2026 · POR.1AwayEstrela

Our model gives Omonia Nicosia win 12%, draw 18%, Benfica win 70%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 0.83 - 2.31. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.