FC Thun vs Hajduk Split prediction, tips and odds

Next match: FC Thun vs Hajduk Split, 2026-10-22, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

FC Thun

VS19:00 GMT

Hajduk Split

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.07

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

59%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

62%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Thun 1 - 1 Hajduk Split

PROBABILITY

10.9%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Thun

36%2.822.75

Draw

25%4.063.65

Hajduk Split

40%2.512.45

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Thun or draw

60%1.66—

Hajduk Split or draw

65%1.55—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

81%1.231.15

Under 1.5 goals

19%5.394.40

Over 2.5 goals

59%1.691.62

Under 2.5 goals

41%2.452.30

Over 3.5 goals

37%2.712.40

Under 3.5 goals

63%1.581.55

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

62%1.62—

Not both score (NG)

38%2.62—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Thun

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 6-13

LLDWL

LAFC Twente0-1

WHKriens2-0

DHLech Poznan2-2

LALech Poznan0-7

LAVikingur Reykjavik2-3

Hajduk Split

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 16-7

WWDWW

WHAjax Amsterdam2-1

WARaków Czestochowa3-2

DHRaków Czestochowa2-2

WHZalgiris Vilnius4-0

WAZalgiris Vilnius5-2

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

35%Market 35%

Draw (X)

25%Market 26%

Away win (2)

40%Market 39%

Over 2.5 goals

59%Market 60%

Both teams to score

62%Market: —

Expected goals

1.5 - 1.6

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Thun 1 - 1 Hajduk Split (10.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.9%
2. 1 - 28.7%
3. 2 - 18.1%
4. 0 - 17.4%
5. 1 - 06.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Hajduk Split

Goals scored by FC Thun

01234504.67.45.83.11.20.416.910.98.74.61.80.625.18.16.43.41.30.432.54.03.21.70.70.240.91.51.20.60.20.150.30.40.40.20.10.0

Our model gives FC Thun win 35%, draw 25%, Hajduk Split win 40%. over 2.5 goals 59%. both teams to score 62%. expected goals 1.48 - 1.59. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.