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Anderlecht vs Jagiellonia Bialystok prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Anderlecht, 2026-10-22, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE/2026-10-22
stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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Jagiellonia BialystokHOME

Jagiellonia Bialystok

VS19:00 GMT

Anderlecht

AnderlechtAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.83

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

54%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 - 1 Anderlecht

PROBABILITY

11.7%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Jagiellonia Bialystok
31%3.183.05
Draw
26%3.913.60
Anderlecht
43%2.332.25
shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Jagiellonia Bialystok or draw
57%1.75—
Anderlecht or draw
69%1.46—
Either team wins (no draw)
74%1.34—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
78%1.291.20
Under 1.5 goals
22%4.504.15
Over 2.5 goals
54%1.861.75
Under 2.5 goals
46%2.162.10
Over 3.5 goals
32%3.172.65
Under 3.5 goals
69%1.461.43
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
57%1.75—
Not both score (NG)
43%2.34—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 12-6

WLWLW
WHArarat-Armenia3-1
LHPolonia Warsaw1-2
WHFK Suduva5-0
LAOlympiacos1-2
WAIberia 19992-1
Anderlecht

Anderlecht

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 9-4

LWWWL
LADinamo Zagreb0-1
WACercle Brugge KSV2-1
WHStade de Reims3-0
WHZulte-Waregem3-0
LHLyon1-2

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

compare_arrows

Team comparison

Jagiellonia Bialystok
VS
—
Power Ranking
#113 ▲1Power Index 50.8
—
Squad value
€94m3rd in the league
—
Head coach
Vítor Brunosince 1 Jul 2026 · 16 games · 2.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
31%Market 31%
Draw (X)
26%Market 26%
Away win (2)
43%Market 43%
Over 2.5 goals
54%Market 54%
Both teams to score
57%Market: —
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 - 1 Anderlecht (11.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 111.7%
  2. 0 - 19.1%
  3. 1 - 29.0%
  4. 1 - 07.6%
  5. 2 - 17.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Anderlecht
Goals scored by Jagiellonia Bialystok
01234505.99.17.03.61.40.417.611.79.04.71.80.624.97.55.83.01.20.432.13.22.51.30.50.240.71.00.80.40.20.050.20.30.20.10.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Anderlecht
Last 5, most recent first
WWWDW
Goals per game, for / against1.4 / 0.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-2

Absences

Anderlecht5 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Defensive midfieldInjured8
Centre-backInjuredHamstring muscle injury11/9/2026
Right-backInjuredBroken foot25/6/2026
Right-backInjuredTorn muscle bundle2/7/2026
Centre-backInjuredfracture25/6/2026

Source: Transfermarkt, 21/10/2026. Doubtful players are not listed.

Form and team news

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 out

No absences are recorded.

Anderlecht
4 W1 D0 L1.4 for0.2 against5 out

Anderlecht have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.2 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 5 players are out, including key players Marco Kana.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Marco Kana, Midfielder Anderlecht
55Marco Kana
Anderlecht
Position
Midfielder
Age
24 (8/8/2002)
Nationality
Belgium, DR Congo
Height
183 cm
Market value
€3.0m
Contract until
30/6/2028

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
4Shots
2Shots on target
11Fouls committed
2Fouls won
0Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.57 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

4Giulian Biancone
Anderlecht
Position
Defender
Age
26
Nationality
France
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

6Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
7Shots
0Shots on target
8Fouls committed
8Fouls won
0Offsides
3Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

1.17 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

7Ilay Camara
Anderlecht
Position
Defender
Age
23
Nationality
Senegal
Height
175 cm

Season stats, all competitions

0Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
0Shots
0Shots on target
0Fouls committed
0Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
54Killian Sardella
Anderlecht
Position
Defender
Age
24
Nationality
Belgium
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

3Lucas Hey
Anderlecht
Position
Defender
Age
23
Nationality
Denmark
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

Next matches of Anderlecht

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8/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayClub Brugge
Anderlecht

More matches on this day

Our model gives Jagiellonia Bialystok win 31%, draw 26%, Anderlecht win 43%. over 2.5 goals 54%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 1.29 - 1.54. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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