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D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati prediction, tips and odds

Next match: FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United, 2026-10-22, MLS, kickoff 02:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/MLS/2026-10-22
stadiumMLS•23:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS23:00 GMT
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.61

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

70%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

67%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 D.C. United

PROBABILITY

9.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
FC Cincinnati
58%1.741.67
Draw
20%4.914.50
D.C. United
22%4.543.90
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
FC Cincinnati or draw
78%1.28—
D.C. United or draw
42%2.36—
Either team wins (no draw)
80%1.26—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
88%1.141.10
Under 1.5 goals
12%8.175.50
Over 2.5 goals
70%1.431.37
Under 2.5 goals
30%3.322.85
Over 3.5 goals
49%2.061.90
Under 3.5 goals
51%1.951.85
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
67%1.50—
Not both score (NG)
33%3.00—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER45%
add_circleFC Cincinnati
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.05
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 8-11

DLWLL
LHColumbus Crew0-2
LHNew England Revolution2-3
WAAtlanta United FC3-1
LACF Montréal1-3
DAHouston Dynamo FC2-2
D.C. United

D.C. United

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 6-13

DLLWL
LAOrlando City SC1-4
WHRed Bull New York2-1
LAInter Miami CF0-4
LHSC Paderborn 070-1
DAVancouver Whitecaps3-3

Head-to-head

2025-05-31
FC Cincinnati1 - 2D.C. United
2025-04-12
D.C. United0 - 1FC Cincinnati
2024-07-03
D.C. United2 - 3FC Cincinnati
2024-03-10
FC Cincinnati0 - 0D.C. United
2023-06-24
D.C. United3 - 0FC Cincinnati
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Team comparison

#127 ▼8Power Index 48.5
Power Ranking
#206 ▼2Power Index 37.3

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
58%Market 57%
Draw (X)
20%Market 20%
Away win (2)
22%Market 23%
Over 2.5 goals
70%Market 70%
Both teams to score
67%Market: —
Expected goals
2.3 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 D.C. United (9.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 19.3%
  2. 1 - 18.3%
  3. 3 - 17.0%
  4. 2 - 06.9%
  5. 2 - 26.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by D.C. United
Goals scored by FC Cincinnati
01234502.73.72.51.10.40.116.18.35.62.50.90.226.99.36.32.81.00.335.27.04.72.10.70.242.94.02.71.20.40.151.31.81.20.50.20.0

Lineups

ConfirmedUpdated 21/10 19:15 · Source: ESPN
FC Cincinnati00D.C. United0'
Glow = player market value€0€120m+

Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.

  • FC Cincinnati 3-5-2: Roman Celentano, Andrei Chirila, Miles Robinson, Kyle Smith, Ender Echenique, Gerardo Valenzuela, Evander, Obinna Nwobodo, Pavel Bucha, Kévin Denkey, Ayoub Jabbari
  • D.C. United 4-3-3: Sean Johnson, Keisuke Kurokawa, Andre Dozzell, Lucas Bartlett, Kimito Nono, João Peglow, Matti Peltola, Brandon Servania, Nathan Ordaz, Jackson Hopkins, Louis Munteanu

Form

FC Cincinnati
Last 5, most recent first
LLWLD
Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 2.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-2
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-3
D.C. United
Last 5, most recent first
LWLDL
Goals per game, for / against1.4 / 2.8
Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-2-2
Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-1-3

Form and team news

1 W1 D3 L1.6 for2.2 against

FC Cincinnati have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 per game.

1 W1 D3 L1.4 for2.8 against

D.C. United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.8 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

18Roman Celentano
FC Cincinnati
Position
Goalkeeper
Age
26
Nationality
USA
Height
191 cm

Season stats, all competitions

29Appearances
84Saves
4Clean sheets
64Goals conceded
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

2.90 saves per game, 2.21 goals conceded per game, clean sheet in 14% of games. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

88Andrei Chirila
FC Cincinnati
Position
Defender
Age
18
Nationality
USA
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

12Appearances
1Goals
1Assists
8Shots
4Shots on target
4Fouls committed
10Fouls won
0Offsides
2Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.08 goals per game, 0.08 assists per game, 0.67 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

12Miles Robinson
FC Cincinnati
Position
Defender
Age
29
Nationality
USA
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

28Appearances
0Goals
1Assists
13Shots
5Shots on target
21Fouls committed
13Fouls won
1Offsides
2Yellow cards
1Red cards

How the season reads

0.04 assists per game, 0.46 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

24Kyle Smith
FC Cincinnati
Position
Defender
Age
22
Nationality
England
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

23Appearances
1Goals
3Assists
9Shots
5Shots on target
12Fouls committed
4Fouls won
1Offsides
6Yellow cards
1Red cards

How the season reads

0.04 goals per game, 0.13 assists per game, 0.39 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

66Ender Echenique
FC Cincinnati
Position
Forward
Age
22
Nationality
Venezuela
Height
168 cm

Season stats, all competitions

24Appearances
1Goals
10Assists
27Shots
10Shots on target
14Fouls committed
19Fouls won
3Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.04 goals per game, 0.42 assists per game, 1.13 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

22Gerardo Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati
Position
Midfielder
Age
22
Nationality
USA
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

24Appearances
2Goals
10Assists
30Shots
9Shots on target
30Fouls committed
50Fouls won
1Offsides
3Yellow cards
2Red cards

How the season reads

0.08 goals per game, 0.42 assists per game, 1.25 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

10Evander
FC Cincinnati
Position
Midfielder
Age
28
Nationality
Brazil
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

5Appearances
3Goals
2Assists
19Shots
6Shots on target
2Fouls committed
11Fouls won
1Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.60 goals per game, 0.40 assists per game, 3.80 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

5Obinna Nwobodo
FC Cincinnati
Position
Midfielder
Age
29
Nationality
Nigeria
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

22Appearances
0Goals
6Assists
16Shots
3Shots on target
43Fouls committed
11Fouls won
1Offsides
9Yellow cards
1Red cards

How the season reads

0.27 assists per game, 0.73 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

20Pavel Bucha
FC Cincinnati
Position
Midfielder
Age
28
Nationality
Czechia
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

32Appearances
8Goals
8Assists
33Shots
14Shots on target
23Fouls committed
16Fouls won
1Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.25 goals per game, 0.25 assists per game, 1.03 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

9Kévin Denkey
FC Cincinnati
Position
Forward
Age
25
Nationality
Togo
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

35Appearances
21Goals
7Assists
90Shots
38Shots on target
40Fouls committed
53Fouls won
17Offsides
2Yellow cards
1Red cards

How the season reads

0.60 goals per game, 0.20 assists per game, 2.57 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

99Ayoub Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
Position
Forward
Age
26
Nationality
Morocco
Height
193 cm

Season stats, all competitions

8Appearances
4Goals
2Assists
28Shots
13Shots on target
17Fouls committed
28Fouls won
6Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.50 goals per game, 0.25 assists per game, 3.50 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

1Sean Johnson
D.C. United
Position
Goalkeeper
Age
37
Nationality
USA
Height
191 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

6Keisuke Kurokawa
D.C. United
Position
Defender
Age
29
Nationality
Japan
Height
173 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

21Andre Dozzell
D.C. United
Position
Midfielder
Age
27
Nationality
England
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

3Lucas Bartlett
D.C. United
Position
Defender
Age
29
Nationality
USA
Height
191 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

2Kimito Nono
D.C. United
Position
Defender
Age
24
Nationality
Japan
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

7João Peglow
D.C. United
Position
Forward
Age
24
Nationality
Brazil
Height
173 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

4Matti Peltola
D.C. United
Position
Defender
Age
24
Nationality
Finland
Height
185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

23Brandon Servania
D.C. United
Position
Midfielder
Age
27
Nationality
USA
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

22Nathan Ordaz
D.C. United
Position
Forward
Age
22
Nationality
El Salvador
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

25Jackson Hopkins
D.C. United
Position
Midfielder
Age
22
Nationality
USA
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

11Louis Munteanu
D.C. United
Position
Forward
Age
24
Nationality
Romania
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

17Kenji Mboma Dem
FC Cincinnati
Position
Forward
Age
24
Nationality
France
Height
185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

20Appearances
9Goals
2Assists
53Shots
16Shots on target
12Fouls committed
15Fouls won
1Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.45 goals per game, 0.10 assists per game, 2.65 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

4Nick Hagglund
FC Cincinnati
Position
Defender
Age
34
Nationality
USA
Height
185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

12Appearances
1Goals
1Assists
12Shots
3Shots on target
16Fouls committed
5Fouls won
1Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.08 goals per game, 0.08 assists per game, 1.00 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

15Teenage Hadebe
FC Cincinnati
Position
Defender
Age
31
Nationality
Zimbabwe
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

11Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
8Shots
1Shots on target
13Fouls committed
4Fouls won
0Offsides
5Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.73 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

16Tom Barlow
FC Cincinnati
Position
Forward
Age
31
Nationality
USA
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

17Appearances
12Goals
3Assists
45Shots
29Shots on target
20Fouls committed
13Fouls won
7Offsides
5Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.71 goals per game, 0.18 assists per game, 2.65 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

13Evan Louro
FC Cincinnati
Position
Goalkeeper
Age
30
Nationality
USA
Height
191 cm

Season stats, all competitions

8Appearances
28Saves
2Clean sheets
14Goals conceded
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

3.50 saves per game, 1.75 goals conceded per game, clean sheet in 25% of games. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

27Tah Anunga
FC Cincinnati
Position
Midfielder
Age
30
Nationality
Cameroon
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

9Appearances
0Goals
1Assists
5Shots
1Shots on target
18Fouls committed
9Fouls won
0Offsides
5Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.11 assists per game, 0.56 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

2Alvas Powell
FC Cincinnati
Position
Defender
Age
32
Nationality
Jamaica
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

2Appearances
1Goals
1Assists
5Shots
3Shots on target
2Fouls committed
10Fouls won
1Offsides
0Yellow cards
1Red cards
29Bryan Ramirez
FC Cincinnati
Position
Defender
Age
26
Nationality
Ecuador
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

22Appearances
2Goals
5Assists
26Shots
11Shots on target
39Fouls committed
12Fouls won
2Offsides
9Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.09 goals per game, 0.23 assists per game, 1.18 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

13Sean Nealis
D.C. United
Position
Defender
Age
29
Nationality
USA
Height
193 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

77Hosei Kijima
D.C. United
Position
Midfielder
Age
24
Nationality
Japan
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

26Alex Bono
D.C. United
Position
Goalkeeper
Age
32
Nationality
USA
Height
191 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

27Nikola Markovic
D.C. United
Position
Defender
Age
22
Nationality
Canada
Height
193 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

8Jared Stroud
D.C. United
Position
Midfielder
Age
30
Nationality
USA
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

48Gavin Turner
D.C. United
Position
Midfielder
Age
19
Nationality
USA
Height
168 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

9Tai Baribo
D.C. United
Position
Forward
Age
28
Nationality
Israel
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

5Silvan Hefti
D.C. United
Position
Defender
Age
28
Nationality
Switzerland
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

Next matches of FC Cincinnati

21/10/2026 · USA.1HomeD.C. United
24/10/2026 · USA.1AwayD.C. United
28/10/2026 · USA.1AwayInter Miami CF

Next matches of D.C. United

21/10/2026 · USA.1AwayFC Cincinnati
24/10/2026 · USA.1HomeFC Cincinnati
28/10/2026 · USA.1AwayToronto FC

More matches on this day

Our model gives FC Cincinnati win 58%, draw 20%, D.C. United win 22%. over 2.5 goals 70%. both teams to score 67%. expected goals 2.26 - 1.35. largest gap to the market: D.C. United win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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