AGF vs Egnatia prediction, tips and odds

Next match: AGF vs Egnatia, 2026-10-22, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

AGF

VS19:00 GMT

Egnatia

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.86

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

54%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

51%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.42

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 68%.

Odds: 1.42

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

AGF 1 - 0 Egnatia

PROBABILITY

11.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

AGF

63%1.591.56

Draw

22%4.654.30

Egnatia

15%6.466.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

AGF or draw

85%1.18—

Egnatia or draw

37%2.70—

Either team wins (no draw)

78%1.27—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

78%1.281.20

Under 1.5 goals

22%4.584.00

Over 2.5 goals

54%1.841.75

Under 2.5 goals

46%2.192.10

Over 3.5 goals

32%3.122.65

Under 3.5 goals

68%1.471.42

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

51%1.98—

Not both score (NG)

49%2.02—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER41%

add_circleAGF

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.30

BUILDER40%

add_circleAGF

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.21

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

AGF

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 8-5

DWWLD

DAF.C. København1-1

LAKAA Gent0-1

WHSønderjyske Fodbold3-0

WHVendsyssel2-1

DAAC Horsens2-2

Egnatia

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 8-7

LWDLD

DHFC Midtjylland1-1

LALillestrom1-2

DHLillestrom0-0

WHShamrock Rovers5-1

LAShamrock Rovers1-3

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

63%Market 63%

Draw (X)

22%Market 22%

Away win (2)

15%Market 15%

Over 2.5 goals

54%Market 54%

Both teams to score

51%Market: —

Expected goals

2.0 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: AGF 1 - 0 Egnatia (11.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 011.4%
2. 2 - 011.3%
3. 1 - 110.0%
4. 2 - 19.9%
5. 3 - 07.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Egnatia

Goals scored by AGF

01234505.75.02.20.60.10.0111.410.04.31.30.30.0211.39.94.31.30.30.037.56.52.90.80.20.043.73.21.40.40.10.051.51.30.60.20.00.0

Our model gives AGF win 63%, draw 22%, Egnatia win 15%. over 2.5 goals 54%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 1.98 - 0.87. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.