NK Celje vs RB Salzburg prediction, tips and odds

Next match: NK Celje vs RB Salzburg, 2026-10-22, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

NK Celje

VS19:00 GMT

RB Salzburg

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.09

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MODEL OVER 2.5

60%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

NK Celje 1 - 2 RB Salzburg

PROBABILITY

9.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

NK Celje

18%5.425.00

Draw

22%4.654.30

RB Salzburg

60%1.671.62

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

NK Celje or draw

40%2.50—

RB Salzburg or draw

82%1.23—

Either team wins (no draw)

79%1.27—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

82%1.221.15

Under 1.5 goals

18%5.454.50

Over 2.5 goals

60%1.681.60

Under 2.5 goals

40%2.482.35

Over 3.5 goals

37%2.682.35

Under 3.5 goals

63%1.591.55

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

57%1.76—

Not both score (NG)

43%2.31—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER42%

add_circleRB Salzburg

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.24

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

NK Celje

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 4-8

WDLLL

LHOmonia Nicosia0-3

LABayer Leverkusen0-2

LHSlovan Bratislava1-2

DASlovan Bratislava1-1

WHArarat-Armenia2-0

RB Salzburg

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-6

WLDLW

WHSC Rheindorf Altach3-0

LHAC Milan0-4

DAGrazer AK0-0

LHFC Blau-Weiß Linz1-2

WHSK Sturm Graz3-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

18%Market 18%

Draw (X)

22%Market 22%

Away win (2)

60%Market 60%

Over 2.5 goals

60%Market 60%

Both teams to score

57%Market: —

Expected goals

1.0 - 2.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: NK Celje 1 - 2 RB Salzburg (9.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 29.9%
2. 1 - 19.7%
3. 0 - 29.5%
4. 0 - 19.3%
5. 1 - 36.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by RB Salzburg

Goals scored by NK Celje

01234504.69.39.56.53.31.314.89.79.96.83.51.422.55.15.23.51.80.730.91.81.81.20.60.340.20.50.50.30.20.150.00.10.10.10.00.0

Our model gives NK Celje win 18%, draw 22%, RB Salzburg win 60%. over 2.5 goals 60%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 1.05 - 2.04. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.