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Columbus Crew vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Columbus Crew vs St. Louis CITY SC, 2026-10-22, U.S. Open Cup, kickoff 03:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/U.S. OPEN CUP/2026-10-22
stadiumU.S. OPEN CUP•00:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
Columbus CrewHOME

Columbus Crew

VS00:00 GMT

St. Louis CITY SC

St. Louis CITY SCAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.86

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

54%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

58%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Columbus Crew 1 - 1 St. Louis CITY SC

PROBABILITY

11.7%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Columbus Crew
41%2.442.35
Draw
26%3.913.65
St. Louis CITY SC
33%2.992.85
shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Columbus Crew or draw
67%1.50—
St. Louis CITY SC or draw
59%1.69—
Either team wins (no draw)
74%1.34—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
78%1.28—
Under 1.5 goals
22%4.58—
Over 2.5 goals
54%1.84—
Under 2.5 goals
46%2.19—
Over 3.5 goals
32%3.12—
Under 3.5 goals
68%1.47—
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
58%1.73—
Not both score (NG)
42%2.38—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 11-5

WWLWW
WAFC Cincinnati2-0
WHCharlotte FC3-1
LAOrlando City SC2-3
WHInter Miami CF2-1
WACF Montréal2-0
St. Louis CITY SC

St. Louis CITY SC

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 14-6

WWWDL
LAMinnesota United FC2-3
DHVancouver Whitecaps0-0
WHLA Galaxy6-2
WARed Bull New York3-0
WHToronto FC3-1

Head-to-head

2025-04-13
St. Louis CITY SC1 - 2Columbus Crew
2023-07-24
Columbus Crew2 - 1St. Louis CITY SC
compare_arrows

Team comparison

VS
#87 ▲10Power Index 54.2
Power Ranking
#97 ▼1Power Index 52.5

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
41%Market 41%
Draw (X)
26%Market 26%
Away win (2)
33%Market 33%
Over 2.5 goals
54%Market: —
Both teams to score
58%Market: —
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Columbus Crew 1 - 1 St. Louis CITY SC (11.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 111.7%
  2. 2 - 18.8%
  3. 1 - 08.7%
  4. 1 - 27.8%
  5. 0 - 17.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by St. Louis CITY SC
Goals scored by Columbus Crew
01234505.87.75.22.30.80.218.711.77.83.51.20.326.68.85.92.70.90.233.34.53.01.30.40.141.31.71.10.50.20.050.40.50.30.20.10.0

Lineups

ProbableUpdated 21/10 19:15 · AI Goal Lab estimate

Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.

Columbus Crew00St. Louis CITY SC0'
Glow = player market value€0€120m+

Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.

  • Columbus Crew 4-3-3: Patrick Schulte, Malte Amundsen, Steven Moreira, Sean Zawadzki, Mohamed Farsi, Lennon, Gomes, Dylan Chambost, Santiago Rodríguez, Brais Méndez, Zaroury
  • St. Louis CITY SC 4-3-3: Roman Bürki, Conrad Wallem, Timo Baumgartl, Dante Polvara, Lukas MacNaughton, Tomas Totland, Christopher Durkin, Daniel Edelman, Jeong Sangbin, Alexandru-Irinel Matan, Simon Becher

Form

Columbus Crew
Last 5, most recent first
WWLWW
Goals per game, for / against2.2 / 1.0
Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-0-2
Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-3
St. Louis CITY SC
Last 5, most recent first
LDWWW
Goals per game, for / against2.8 / 1.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)4-2-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1

Form and team news

Columbus Crew
4 W0 D1 L2.2 for1.0 against

Columbus Crew have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 per game.

St. Louis CITY SC
3 W1 D1 L2.8 for1.2 against

St. Louis CITY SC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.2 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

28Patrick Schulte
Columbus Crew
Position
Goalkeeper
Age
25
Nationality
USA
Height
193 cm

Season stats, all competitions

32Appearances
106Saves
6Clean sheets
50Goals conceded
3Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

3.31 saves per game, 1.56 goals conceded per game, clean sheet in 19% of games. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

18Malte Amundsen
Columbus Crew
Position
Defender
Age
28
Nationality
Denmark
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

29Appearances
0Goals
3Assists
14Shots
1Shots on target
15Fouls committed
11Fouls won
1Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.10 assists per game, 0.48 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

31Steven Moreira
Columbus Crew
Position
Defender
Age
32
Nationality
Cape Verde Islands
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

34Appearances
0Goals
3Assists
17Shots
4Shots on target
16Fouls committed
16Fouls won
0Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.09 assists per game, 0.50 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

25Sean Zawadzki
Columbus Crew
Position
Midfielder
Age
26
Nationality
USA
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

35Appearances
1Goals
1Assists
13Shots
5Shots on target
17Fouls committed
21Fouls won
2Offsides
3Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.03 goals per game, 0.03 assists per game, 0.37 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

23Mohamed Farsi
Columbus Crew
Position
Defender
Age
26
Nationality
Algeria
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

16Appearances
2Goals
4Assists
13Shots
5Shots on target
4Fouls committed
15Fouls won
5Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.13 goals per game, 0.25 assists per game, 0.81 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

11Brooks Lennon
Columbus Crew
Position
Defender
Age
29
Nationality
USA
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

8Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
6Shots
2Shots on target
10Fouls committed
5Fouls won
2Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.75 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

20André Gomes
Columbus Crew
Position
Midfielder
Age
33
Nationality
Portugal
Height
191 cm

Season stats, all competitions

22Appearances
1Goals
1Assists
17Shots
4Shots on target
35Fouls committed
26Fouls won
0Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.05 goals per game, 0.05 assists per game, 0.77 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

7Dylan Chambost
Columbus Crew
Position
Midfielder
Age
29
Nationality
France
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

20Appearances
0Goals
5Assists
23Shots
5Shots on target
21Fouls committed
6Fouls won
0Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.25 assists per game, 1.15 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

8Santiago Rodríguez
Columbus Crew
Position
Midfielder
Age
26
Nationality
Uruguay
Height
173 cm

Season stats, all competitions

26Appearances
6Goals
6Assists
52Shots
14Shots on target
42Fouls committed
78Fouls won
8Offsides
6Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.23 goals per game, 0.23 assists per game, 2.00 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

10Brais Méndez
Columbus Crew
Position
Midfielder
Age
29
Nationality
Spain
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

14Appearances
8Goals
4Assists
48Shots
26Shots on target
18Fouls committed
24Fouls won
7Offsides
2Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.57 goals per game, 0.29 assists per game, 3.43 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

21Anass Zaroury
Columbus Crew
Position
Forward
Age
25
Nationality
Morocco
Height
175 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

1Roman Bürki
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Goalkeeper
Age
35
Nationality
Switzerland
Height
188 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

6Conrad Wallem
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Midfielder
Age
26
Nationality
Norway
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

32Timo Baumgartl
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Defender
Age
30
Nationality
Germany
Height
191 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

21Dante Polvara
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Midfielder
Age
26
Nationality
USA
Height
193 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

5Lukas MacNaughton
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Defender
Age
31
Nationality
Canada
Height
185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

14Tomas Totland
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Defender
Age
27
Nationality
Norway
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

8Christopher Durkin
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Midfielder
Age
26
Nationality
USA
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

24Daniel Edelman
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Midfielder
Age
23
Nationality
USA
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

77Jeong Sang-Bin
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Forward
Age
24
Height
175 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

23Alexandru Matan
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Midfielder
Age
27
Nationality
Romania
Height
168 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

11Simon Becher
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Forward
Age
27
Nationality
USA
Height
185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

No stats yet.

Next matches of Columbus Crew

24/10/2026 · USA.1HomeToronto FC
29/10/2026 · USA.1AwayFC Dallas
31/10/2026 · USA.1HomeD.C. United

Next matches of St. Louis CITY SC

25/10/2026 · USA.1AwayReal Salt Lake
29/10/2026 · USA.1HomePortland Timbers
31/10/2026 · USA.1HomeSan Diego FC
Columbus CrewSt. Louis CITY SC

More matches on this day

Our model gives Columbus Crew win 41%, draw 26%, St. Louis CITY SC win 33%. over 2.5 goals 54%. both teams to score 58%. expected goals 1.51 - 1.34. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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