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Celta Vigo vs Celtic prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Celtic vs Celta Vigo, 2026-10-22, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE/2026-10-22
stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
CelticHOME

Celtic

VS19:00 GMT

Celta Vigo

Celta VigoAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.77

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

52%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Celtic 1 - 1 Celta Vigo

PROBABILITY

12.0%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.7Exp. cards 4.0
swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Celtic
36%2.762.70
Draw
26%3.823.45
Celta Vigo
38%2.662.60
shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Celtic or draw
62%1.60—
Celta Vigo or draw
64%1.57—
Either team wins (no draw)
74%1.35—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
77%1.301.25
Under 1.5 goals
23%4.303.60
Over 2.5 goals
52%1.911.80
Under 2.5 goals
48%2.102.00
Over 3.5 goals
30%3.312.85
Under 3.5 goals
70%1.431.37
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
57%1.77—
Not both score (NG)
43%2.30—
flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
70%1.43—
Under 7.5 corners
30%3.33—
Over 8.5 corners
59%1.691.43
Under 8.5 corners
41%2.462.62
Over 9.5 corners
48%2.071.80
Under 9.5 corners
52%1.941.90
Over 10.5 corners
38%2.632.32
Under 10.5 corners
62%1.611.54
Over 11.5 corners
29%3.463.10
Under 11.5 corners
71%1.411.32
Over 12.5 corners
21%4.72—
Under 12.5 corners
79%1.27—
style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
89%1.12—
Under 1.5 cards
11%9.49—
Over 2.5 cards
75%1.331.29
Under 2.5 cards
25%4.023.30
Over 3.5 cards
56%1.781.70
Under 3.5 cards
44%2.282.03
Over 4.5 cards
37%2.70—
Under 4.5 cards
63%1.59—
Over 5.5 cards
22%4.54—
Under 5.5 cards
78%1.28—
Over 6.5 cards
12%8.32—
Under 6.5 cards
88%1.14—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Celtic

Celtic

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 11-9

LLWLW
WHHeart of Midlothian7-1
LABenfica1-4
WAMotherwell2-0
LHRangers0-1
LHFerencvaros1-3
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 8-4

LWDLW
WHAlavés2-1
LHJuventus1-2
DAElche0-0
WHRacing Santander5-0
LAOmonia Nicosia0-1

Head-to-head

2002-12-12
Celta Vigo2 - 1Celtic
2002-11-28
Celtic1 - 0Celta Vigo
compare_arrows

Team comparison

VS
#44 ▲1Power Index 65.3
Power Ranking
#50 ▲3Power Index 62.7
€123m2nd in the league
Squad value
€178m8th in the league
Martin O'Neillsince 5 Jan 2026 · 42 games · 2.29 pts/game
Head coach
Claudio Giráldezsince 12 Mar 2024 · 117 games · 1.47 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
36%Market 36%
Draw (X)
26%Market 28%
Away win (2)
38%Market 37%
Over 2.5 goals
52%Market 53%
Both teams to score
57%Market: —
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Celtic 1 - 1 Celta Vigo (12.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 112.0%
  2. 0 - 18.8%
  3. 1 - 08.6%
  4. 1 - 28.4%
  5. 2 - 18.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Celta Vigo
Goals scored by Celtic
01234506.38.86.12.91.00.318.612.08.43.91.40.425.98.25.82.70.90.332.73.82.61.20.40.140.91.30.90.40.10.050.30.40.20.10.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Celtic
Last 5, most recent first
WWLWW
Goals per game, for / against2.4 / 0.6
Home, W-D-L (last 10)4-0-1
Away, W-D-L (last 10)4-0-0
Celta Vigo
Last 5, most recent first
WDWDD
Goals per game, for / against1.8 / 0.6
Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-2
Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-4-0

Absences

Celtic1 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Right-backInjuredLeg injury10/8/2026
Celta Vigo6 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Centre-backInjured9
Centre-forwardInjuredHamstring injury13/10/2026
Centre-backInjuredHamstring injury10/9/2026
Right wingerInjuredKnee injury7/9/2026
Central midfieldInjuredKnee injury1/10/2026
Centre-forwardInjuredCalf problems14/10/2026

Source: Transfermarkt, 21/10/2026. Doubtful players are not listed.

Form and team news

Celtic
4 W0 D1 L2.4 for0.6 against1 out

Celtic have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 1 player is out.

Celta Vigo
2 W3 D0 L1.8 for0.6 against6 out

Celta Vigo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 6 players are out, including key players Yoel Lago.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

2Alistair Johnston
Celtic
Position
Defender
Age
28
Nationality
Canada
Height
180 cm

Season stats, all competitions

9Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
6Shots
2Shots on target
6Fouls committed
7Fouls won
0Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.67 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Yoel Lago, Defender Celta Vigo
18Yoel Lago
Celta Vigo
Position
Defender
Age
22 (25/3/2004)
Nationality
Spain
Height
185 cm
Market value
€7.5m
Contract until
30/6/2029

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
1Shots
0Shots on target
0.1xG
0.0xA
0.1npxG (no penalties)
1Key passes
16Fouls committed
8Fouls won
1Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.14 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Borja Iglesias, Forward Celta Vigo
7Borja Iglesias
Celta Vigo
Position
Forward
Age
33 (17/1/1993)
Nationality
Spain
Height
188 cm
Market value
€2.5m
Contract until
30/6/2027

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
6Shots
1Shots on target
0.2xG
0.1xA
0.2npxG (no penalties)
1Key passes
0Fouls committed
4Fouls won
3Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
Carl Starfelt, Defender Celta Vigo
2Carl Starfelt
Celta Vigo
Position
Defender
Age
31 (1/6/1995)
Nationality
Sweden
Height
185 cm
Market value
€4.5m
Contract until
30/6/2027

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances
1Goals
0Assists
6Shots
3Shots on target
0.8xG
0.0xA
0.8npxG (no penalties)
1Key passes
4Fouls committed
4Fouls won
0Offsides
1Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.14 goals per game, 0.86 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Jones El-Abdellaoui, Forward Celta Vigo
39Jones El-Abdellaoui
Celta Vigo
Position
Forward
Age
20 (12/1/2006)
Nationality
Morocco, Norway
Height
183 cm
Market value
€8.0m
Contract until
30/6/2029

Season stats, all competitions

2Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
3Shots
1Shots on target
0.3xG
0.0xA
0.3npxG (no penalties)
0Key passes
4Fouls committed
1Fouls won
2Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards
Miguel Román, Midfielder Celta Vigo
8Miguel Román
Celta Vigo
Position
Midfielder
Age
23 (26/12/2002)
Nationality
Spain
Height
178 cm
Market value
€15.0m
Contract until
30/6/2028

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances
1Goals
2Assists
11Shots
2Shots on target
0.2xG
0.7xA
0.2npxG (no penalties)
7Key passes
6Fouls committed
4Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.14 goals per game, 0.29 assists per game, 1.57 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Pablo Durán, Forward Celta Vigo
11Pablo Durán
Celta Vigo
Position
Forward
Age
25 (25/5/2001)
Nationality
Spain
Height
175 cm
Market value
€4.0m
Contract until
30/6/2028

Season stats, all competitions

4Appearances
2Goals
0Assists
7Shots
5Shots on target
1.1xG
0.1xA
1.1npxG (no penalties)
3Key passes
4Fouls committed
4Fouls won
6Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.50 goals per game, 1.75 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Next matches of Celtic

25/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayHibernian
28/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeDundee United
1/11/2026 · SCO.1AwayFalkirk

Next matches of Celta Vigo

25/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeReal Betis
31/10/2026 · ESP.1AwayRayo Vallecano
8/11/2026 · ESP.1HomeLevante
CelticCelta Vigo

More matches on this day

Our model gives Celtic win 36%, draw 26%, Celta Vigo win 38%. over 2.5 goals 52%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 1.37 - 1.40. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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