Le Mans vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans, 2026-10-10, French Ligue 1, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•18:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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Paris Saint-Germain

VS18:45 GMT

Le Mans

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

4.05

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MODEL OVER 2.5

77%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

52%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 4.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

62%

ODDS

1.50

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Paris Saint-GermainX2 Le Mans

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Paris Saint-Germain (1)	85.1%	84.8%	1.18	trending_flat-0.4 pp
Draw (X)	9.6%	9.6%	10.42	trending_flat+0.0 pp
Le Mans (2)	5.3%	5.7%	17.70	trending_flat+0.3 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK62%

Under 4.5 goals

Our probability: 62%.

Odds: 1.50

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 0 Le Mans

PROBABILITY

10.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.8Exp. cards 4.8

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Paris Saint-Germain

85%1.181.12

Draw

10%9.8210.00

Le Mans

5%19.0018.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Paris Saint-Germain or draw

95%1.06—

Le Mans or draw

15%6.48—

Either team wins (no draw)

90%1.11—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

91%1.101.05

Under 1.5 goals

9%11.517.10

Over 2.5 goals

77%1.301.20

Under 2.5 goals

23%4.323.95

Over 3.5 goals

58%1.741.70

Under 3.5 goals

42%2.362.17

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

52%1.92—

Not both score (NG)

48%2.08—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 12-6

DLWWW

WAMarseille2-1

WABrest1-0

WHSlovan Bratislava6-1

LHAS Monaco1-2

DALille2-2

Le Mans

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 8-9

LDDWL

LAGuingamp1-2

WHLorient2-1

DHLens2-2

DANice1-1

LAStade Rennais2-3

Head-to-head

2025-02-04

Le Mans0 - 2Paris Saint-Germain

2021-07-14

Paris Saint-Germain4 - 0Le Mans

2019-12-18

Le Mans1 - 4Paris Saint-Germain

2011-03-02

Paris Saint-Germain2 - 0Le Mans

2010-05-08

Le Mans1 - 0Paris Saint-Germain

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Team comparison

Paris Saint-Germain

VS

Le Mans

#5Power Index 83.1

Power Ranking

#149 ▼19Power Index 45.9

€1.36bn1st in the league

Squad value

€34m18th in the league

Luis Enriquesince 5 Jul 2023 · 185 games · 2.25 pts/game

Head coach

Patrick Videirasince 1 Jul 2024 · 85 games · 1.84 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

85%Market 88% -3

Draw (X)

10%Market 8%

Away win (2)

5%Market 4%

Over 2.5 goals

77%Market 80% -3

Both teams to score

52%Market: —

Expected goals

3.3 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 0 Le Mans (10.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 3 - 010.2%
2. 2 - 09.4%
3. 4 - 08.4%
4. 3 - 17.9%
5. 2 - 17.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Le Mans

Goals scored by Paris Saint-Germain

01234501.71.40.50.10.00.015.74.41.70.40.10.029.47.22.80.70.10.0310.27.93.10.80.20.048.46.52.50.60.10.055.54.21.60.40.10.0

Next matches of Paris Saint-Germain

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLyon

30/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayLe Havre AC

7/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeTroyes

Next matches of Le Mans

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayAJ Auxerre

31/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayTroyes

8/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeAS Monaco

Our model gives Paris Saint-Germain win 85%, draw 10%, Le Mans win 5%. over 2.5 goals 77%. both teams to score 52%. expected goals 3.27 - 0.77. largest gap to the market: Paris Saint-Germain win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.