FC Twente vs Fortuna Sittard prediction, tips and odds

Next scheduled meeting: FC Twente vs Fortuna Sittard, 8/1/2027, ned.1. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.

stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•18:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Fortuna Sittard

VS18:00 GMT

FC Twente

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.48

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

68%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

61%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams to score (GG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

61%

ODDS

1.55

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK61%

Both teams to score (GG)

Our probability: 61%.

Indicative odds: 1.55

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Fortuna Sittard 1 - 2 FC Twente

PROBABILITY

9.6%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.4Exp. cards 3.1

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Fortuna Sittard

16%6.176.50

Draw

19%5.295.25

FC Twente

65%1.541.42

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Fortuna Sittard or draw

35%2.85—

FC Twente or draw

84%1.19—

Either team wins (no draw)

81%1.23—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

86%1.161.10

Under 1.5 goals

14%7.375.30

Over 2.5 goals

68%1.481.35

Under 2.5 goals

32%3.082.85

Over 3.5 goals

46%2.181.90

Under 3.5 goals

54%1.851.85

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

61%1.64—

Not both score (NG)

39%2.57—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

76%1.31—

Under 7.5 corners

24%4.23—

Over 8.5 corners

67%1.50—

Under 8.5 corners

33%3.00—

Over 9.5 corners

56%1.781.48

Under 9.5 corners

44%2.282.40

Over 10.5 corners

46%2.191.88

Under 10.5 corners

54%1.841.82

Over 11.5 corners

36%2.782.40

Under 11.5 corners

64%1.561.50

Over 12.5 corners

27%3.653.15

Under 12.5 corners

73%1.381.30

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

80%1.24—

Under 1.5 cards

20%5.12—

Over 2.5 cards

59%1.681.63

Under 2.5 cards

41%2.472.15

Over 3.5 cards

38%2.652.45

Under 3.5 cards

62%1.611.47

Over 4.5 cards

21%4.77—

Under 4.5 cards

79%1.27—

Over 5.5 cards

11%9.46—

Under 5.5 cards

89%1.12—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 10-10

WWLWW

WARacing Genk2-1

WAWillem II1-0

LHAjax Amsterdam1-5

WAADO Den Haag3-2

WAFC Groningen3-2

FC Twente

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 12-5

WDWWW

WHPSV Eindhoven3-2

WHADO Den Haag2-0

WHTelstar1-0

DAFC Groningen2-2

WASC Cambuur4-1

Head-to-head

2026-03-21

Fortuna Sittard1 - 2FC Twente

2025-09-26

FC Twente3 - 2Fortuna Sittard

2025-04-05

FC Twente1 - 1Fortuna Sittard

2024-11-23

Fortuna Sittard1 - 2FC Twente

2024-04-06

FC Twente2 - 0Fortuna Sittard

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Team comparison

Fortuna Sittard

VS

FC Twente

#202Power Index 37.6

Power Ranking

#84 ▼2Power Index 55.1

€20m16th in the league

Squad value

€101m5th in the league

Danny Buijssince 1 Jul 2023 · 119 games · 1.24 pts/game

Head coach

John van den Bromsince 15 Sep 2025 · 49 games · 1.86 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

16%Market 14%

Draw (X)

19%Market 17%

Away win (2)

65%Market 69% -4

Over 2.5 goals

68%Market 70%

Both teams to score

61%Market: —

Expected goals

1.1 - 2.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Fortuna Sittard 1 - 2 FC Twente (9.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 29.6%
2. 0 - 28.6%
3. 1 - 18.1%
4. 1 - 37.6%
5. 0 - 17.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by FC Twente

Goals scored by Fortuna Sittard

01234503.17.38.66.84.01.913.48.19.67.64.52.121.94.55.44.22.51.230.71.72.01.60.90.440.20.50.60.40.30.150.00.10.10.10.10.0

Next matches of Fortuna Sittard

25/10/2026 · NED.1HomeExcelsior

31/10/2026 · NED.1AwayFeyenoord Rotterdam

7/11/2026 · NED.1HomeTelstar

Next matches of FC Twente

25/10/2026 · NED.1AwayAZ Alkmaar

1/11/2026 · NED.1AwayExcelsior

8/11/2026 · NED.1HomeAjax Amsterdam

Our model gives Fortuna Sittard win 16%, draw 19%, FC Twente win 65%. over 2.5 goals 68%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.11 - 2.36. largest gap to the market: FC Twente win (4 points). Estimates, not guarantees.