Asteras Tripoli vs Atromitos prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Asteras Tripoli vs Atromitos, 2026-10-10, Greek Super League, kickoff 19:30 Athens time

stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•16:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Asteras Tripoli

VS16:30 GMT

Atromitos

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.36

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

42%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

48%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Asteras TripoliX2 Atromitos

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Asteras Tripoli (1)	40.3%	38.4%	2.61	trending_down-2.0 pp
Draw (X)	29.6%	30.8%	3.24	trending_up+1.2 pp
Atromitos (2)	30.1%	30.8%	3.24	trending_up+0.7 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Asteras Tripoli 1 - 1 Atromitos

PROBABILITY

13.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.9Exp. cards 4.9

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Asteras Tripoli

41%2.422.35

Draw

28%3.513.20

Atromitos

30%3.313.15

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Asteras Tripoli or draw

70%1.43—

Atromitos or draw

59%1.70—

Either team wins (no draw)

72%1.40—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

69%1.46—

Under 1.5 goals

31%3.20—

Over 2.5 goals

42%2.382.20

Under 2.5 goals

58%1.721.62

Over 3.5 goals

21%4.69—

Under 3.5 goals

79%1.27—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

48%2.08—

Not both score (NG)

52%1.92—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

62%1.60—

Under 7.5 corners

38%2.65—

Over 8.5 corners

51%1.96—

Under 8.5 corners

49%2.04—

Over 9.5 corners

40%2.50—

Under 9.5 corners

60%1.67—

Over 10.5 corners

30%3.31—

Under 10.5 corners

70%1.43—

Over 11.5 corners

22%4.55—

Under 11.5 corners

78%1.28—

Over 12.5 corners

15%6.47—

Under 12.5 corners

85%1.18—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

93%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

7%14.29—

Over 2.5 cards

86%1.16—

Under 2.5 cards

14%7.07—

Over 3.5 cards

72%1.39—

Under 3.5 cards

28%3.56—

Over 4.5 cards

55%1.83—

Under 4.5 cards

45%2.21—

Over 5.5 cards

38%2.66—

Under 5.5 cards

62%1.60—

Over 6.5 cards

24%4.23—

Under 6.5 cards

76%1.31—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Asteras Tripoli

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 4-9

LLLDD

DAOFI Crete2-2

DHAEK Athens1-1

LHIraklis0-2

LHOlympiacos0-1

LAPanetolikos1-3

Atromitos

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 4-7

LLDDL

LHKifisia1-2

DAIraklis1-1

DHKalamata1-1

LHPAOK1-2

LAOlympiacos0-1

Head-to-head

2026-05-02

Asteras Tripoli4 - 2Atromitos

2026-04-26

Atromitos2 - 1Asteras Tripoli

2026-02-21

Asteras Tripoli1 - 2Atromitos

2025-11-30

Atromitos0 - 1Asteras Tripoli

2025-05-03

Asteras Tripoli1 - 4Atromitos

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Team comparison

Asteras Tripoli

VS

Atromitos

#250 ▼1Power Index 23.7

Power Ranking

#235 ▼1Power Index 31.0

€13m11th in the league

Squad value

€14m8th in the league

Georgios Antonopoulossince 3 Mar 2026 · 23 games · 1.39 pts/game

Head coach

Dusan Kerkezsince 15 Nov 2025 · 36 games · 1.25 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

41%Market 41%

Draw (X)

28%Market 29%

Away win (2)

30%Market 30%

Over 2.5 goals

42%Market 42%

Both teams to score

48%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Asteras Tripoli 1 - 1 Atromitos (13.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 113.0%
2. 1 - 012.2%
3. 0 - 110.1%
4. 0 - 09.4%
5. 2 - 18.4%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Atromitos

Goals scored by Asteras Tripoli

01234509.410.15.41.90.50.1112.213.07.02.50.70.127.98.44.51.60.40.133.43.61.90.70.20.041.11.20.60.20.10.050.30.30.20.10.00.0

Next matches of Asteras Tripoli

24/10/2026 · GRE.1HomeLevadiakos

27/10/2026 · GRE.CUPHomeKifisia

1/11/2026 · GRE.1AwayPAOK

Next matches of Atromitos

25/10/2026 · GRE.1AwayAris

29/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayVolos NFC

2/11/2026 · GRE.1HomeVolos NFC

Our model gives Asteras Tripoli win 41%, draw 28%, Atromitos win 30%. over 2.5 goals 42%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 1.29 - 1.07. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.