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KV Kortrijk vs Racing Genk prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk, 2026-10-10, Belgian Pro League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/BELGIAN PRO LEAGUE/2026-10-10
stadiumBELGIAN PRO LEAGUE•18:45 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS18:45 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.22

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

62%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

55%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Over 2.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

62%

ODDS

1.52

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK62%

Over 2.5 goals

Our probability: 62%.

Indicative odds: 1.52
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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Racing Genk 2 - 0 KV Kortrijk

PROBABILITY

10.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Racing Genk
67%1.481.39
Draw
19%5.315.00
KV Kortrijk
14%7.297.00
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Racing Genk or draw
86%1.16—
KV Kortrijk or draw
33%3.07—
Either team wins (no draw)
81%1.23—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
83%1.20—
Under 1.5 goals
17%6.04—
Over 2.5 goals
63%1.60—
Under 2.5 goals
38%2.67—
Over 3.5 goals
40%2.48—
Under 3.5 goals
60%1.67—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
55%1.82—
Not both score (NG)
45%2.22—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Racing Genk

Racing Genk

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 6-6

WDDLL
LHFortuna Sittard1-2
LAClub Brugge0-3
DHKAA Gent1-1
DAAnderlecht0-0
WHWaasland-Beveren4-0
KV Kortrijk

KV Kortrijk

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 2-9

LLLLW
WHWaasland-Beveren1-0
LARAAL La Louvière0-3
LHZulte-Waregem0-2
LAAnderlecht0-1
LHRoyal Charleroi SC1-3

Head-to-head

2024-12-07
Racing Genk3 - 2KV Kortrijk
2024-10-05
KV Kortrijk2 - 1Racing Genk
2023-12-17
Racing Genk4 - 0KV Kortrijk
2023-10-29
KV Kortrijk0 - 3Racing Genk
2022-12-26
KV Kortrijk1 - 0Racing Genk
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Team comparison

#103 ▲6Power Index 51.8
Power Ranking
#252 ▼1Power Index 23.3
€99m2nd in the league
Squad value
€24m16th in the league
Jess Thorupsince 14 Jul 2026 · 8 games · 1.50 pts/game
Head coach
Daniel Beichler NEWsince 7 Oct 2026 · 1 games · 0.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
67%Market 70% -3
Draw (X)
19%Market 18%
Away win (2)
14%Market 12%
Over 2.5 goals
62%Market: —
Both teams to score
55%Market: —
Expected goals
2.3 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Racing Genk 2 - 0 KV Kortrijk (10.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 010.4%
  2. 2 - 19.8%
  3. 1 - 09.1%
  4. 1 - 18.5%
  5. 3 - 07.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by KV Kortrijk
Goals scored by Racing Genk
01234504.03.71.70.50.10.019.18.54.01.20.30.1210.49.84.61.40.30.137.97.43.51.10.30.044.54.22.00.60.10.052.11.90.90.30.10.0

Next matches of Racing Genk

25/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeStandard Liege
31/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayKV Mechelen
8/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayUnion St.-Gilloise

Next matches of KV Kortrijk

23/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeKV Mechelen
31/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayStandard Liege
8/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayKAA Gent

More matches on this day

Our model gives Racing Genk win 67%, draw 19%, KV Kortrijk win 14%. over 2.5 goals 62%. both teams to score 55%. expected goals 2.29 - 0.94. largest gap to the market: Racing Genk win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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