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Alanyaspor vs Erzurum BB prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Alanyaspor vs Erzurum BB, 2026-10-10, Turkish Super Lig, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/TURKISH SUPER LIG/2026-10-10
stadiumTURKISH SUPER LIG•13:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS13:00 GMT
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.30

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

40%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

45%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

Over 1.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.41

All Tips
query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK67%

Over 1.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.41
scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Alanyaspor 1 - 0 Erzurum BB

PROBABILITY

14.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.2Exp. cards 4.4
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Alanyaspor
49%2.041.95
Draw
28%3.593.25
Erzurum BB
23%4.334.20
shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Alanyaspor or draw
77%1.30—
Erzurum BB or draw
51%1.96—
Either team wins (no draw)
72%1.39—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
67%1.49—
Under 1.5 goals
33%3.06—
Over 2.5 goals
40%2.482.30
Under 2.5 goals
60%1.681.59
Over 3.5 goals
20%4.99—
Under 3.5 goals
80%1.25—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
45%2.23—
Not both score (NG)
55%1.81—
flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
66%1.52—
Under 7.5 corners
34%2.91—
Over 8.5 corners
54%1.84—
Under 8.5 corners
46%2.20—
Over 9.5 corners
44%2.30—
Under 9.5 corners
56%1.77—
Over 10.5 corners
33%2.99—
Under 10.5 corners
67%1.50—
Over 11.5 corners
25%4.03—
Under 11.5 corners
75%1.33—
Over 12.5 corners
18%5.63—
Under 12.5 corners
82%1.22—
style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
92%1.09—
Under 1.5 cards
8%12.56—
Over 2.5 cards
80%1.24—
Under 2.5 cards
20%5.12—
Over 3.5 cards
64%1.57—
Under 3.5 cards
36%2.74—
Over 4.5 cards
45%2.23—
Under 4.5 cards
55%1.82—
Over 5.5 cards
29%3.50—
Under 5.5 cards
71%1.40—
Over 6.5 cards
17%6.02—
Under 6.5 cards
83%1.20—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 7-5

WLWDW
WAÇorum FK2-1
DHGoztepe2-2
WACaykur Rizespor1-0
LAEyupspor1-2
WHBesiktas1-0
Erzurum BB

Erzurum BB

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 3-8

LDWLW
WHSamsunspor1-0
LABesiktas0-3
WHKonyaspor1-0
DAGenclerbirligi1-1
LHGalatasaray0-4

Head-to-head

2021-05-11
Alanyaspor2 - 3Erzurum BB
2021-01-21
Erzurum BB1 - 1Alanyaspor
2019-03-10
Alanyaspor2 - 1Erzurum BB
2018-10-06
Erzurum BB1 - 0Alanyaspor
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Team comparison

#210 ▼2Power Index 35.8
Power Ranking
#245 ▲7Power Index 27.0
€35m11th in the league
Squad value
€23m17th in the league
João Pereirasince 22 Mar 2025 · 58 games · 1.31 pts/game
Head coach
Serkan Özbaltasince 5 Aug 2025 · 51 games · 1.98 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
49%Market 49%
Draw (X)
28%Market 29%
Away win (2)
23%Market 22%
Over 2.5 goals
40%Market 40%
Both teams to score
45%Market: —
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Alanyaspor 1 - 0 Erzurum BB (14.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 014.2%
  2. 1 - 112.6%
  3. 2 - 010.1%
  4. 0 - 010.0%
  5. 2 - 18.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Erzurum BB
Goals scored by Alanyaspor
012345010.08.93.91.20.30.0114.212.65.51.60.40.1210.18.93.91.20.30.034.74.21.90.50.10.041.71.50.70.20.00.050.50.40.20.10.00.0

Next matches of Alanyaspor

23/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeKocaelispor
2/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayGenclerbirligi
8/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeTrabzonspor

Next matches of Erzurum BB

24/10/2026 · TUR.1AwayGaziantep FK
31/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeÇorum FK
8/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayCaykur Rizespor

More matches on this day

Our model gives Alanyaspor win 49%, draw 28%, Erzurum BB win 23%. over 2.5 goals 40%. both teams to score 45%. expected goals 1.42 - 0.88. largest gap to the market: Erzurum BB win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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