SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart, 2026-10-10, German Bundesliga, kickoff 16:30 Athens time

stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•13:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

SC Paderborn 07

VS13:30 GMT

VfB Stuttgart

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.67

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MODEL OVER 2.5

71%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

67%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams to score (GG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.41

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Both teams to score (GG)

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.41

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

SC Paderborn 07 1 - 2 VfB Stuttgart

PROBABILITY

9.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.7Exp. cards 3.9

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SC Paderborn 07

22%4.604.60

Draw

20%4.994.50

VfB Stuttgart

58%1.721.56

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SC Paderborn 07 or draw

42%2.39—

VfB Stuttgart or draw

78%1.28—

Either team wins (no draw)

80%1.25—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

88%1.131.07

Under 1.5 goals

12%8.596.20

Over 2.5 goals

71%1.411.30

Under 2.5 goals

29%3.453.25

Over 3.5 goals

50%2.001.75

Under 3.5 goals

50%2.002.07

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

67%1.48—

Not both score (NG)

33%3.06—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

79%1.271.25

Under 7.5 corners

21%4.723.75

Over 8.5 corners

70%1.441.44

Under 8.5 corners

30%3.292.62

Over 9.5 corners

59%1.681.72

Under 9.5 corners

41%2.472.00

Over 10.5 corners

49%2.042.20

Under 10.5 corners

51%1.971.61

Over 11.5 corners

39%2.552.75

Under 11.5 corners

61%1.651.40

Over 12.5 corners

30%3.294.00

Under 12.5 corners

70%1.441.22

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

89%1.13—

Under 1.5 cards

11%8.98—

Over 2.5 cards

74%1.351.38

Under 2.5 cards

26%3.832.75

Over 3.5 cards

55%1.831.92

Under 3.5 cards

45%2.201.78

Over 4.5 cards

36%2.81—

Under 4.5 cards

64%1.55—

Over 5.5 cards

21%4.80—

Under 5.5 cards

79%1.26—

Over 6.5 cards

11%8.90—

Under 6.5 cards

89%1.13—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER46%

add_circleVfB Stuttgart

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.82

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

SC Paderborn 07

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 4-5

DLLWW

WAD.C. United1-0

WHTSG Hoffenheim3-1

LABorussia Dortmund0-3

LHSC Freiburg0-1

DAMainz0-0

VfB Stuttgart

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 12-4

WLLWW

WHSpVgg Greuther Fürth5-0

WH1. FC Heidenheim 18463-0

LHBorussia Dortmund0-1

LATSG Hoffenheim1-2

WHViking FK3-1

Head-to-head

2023-01-31

SC Paderborn 071 - 2VfB Stuttgart

2015-05-23

SC Paderborn 071 - 2VfB Stuttgart

2014-12-20

VfB Stuttgart0 - 0SC Paderborn 07

2007-10-31

VfB Stuttgart3 - 2SC Paderborn 07

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Team comparison

SC Paderborn 07

VS

VfB Stuttgart

#140 ▲4Power Index 47.2

Power Ranking

#25 ▲2Power Index 69.6

€54m18th in the league

Squad value

€400m5th in the league

Ralf Kettemannsince 1 Jul 2025 · 44 games · 1.68 pts/game

Head coach

Sebastian Hoeneßsince 3 Apr 2023 · 161 games · 1.81 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

22%Market 19% +3

Draw (X)

20%Market 19%

Away win (2)

58%Market 62% -4

Over 2.5 goals

71%Market 74% -3

Both teams to score

67%Market: —

Expected goals

1.4 - 2.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: SC Paderborn 07 1 - 2 VfB Stuttgart (9.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 29.2%
2. 1 - 18.0%
3. 1 - 37.1%
4. 0 - 26.7%
5. 2 - 26.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by VfB Stuttgart

Goals scored by SC Paderborn 07

01234502.55.96.75.23.01.413.58.09.27.14.11.922.45.56.34.92.81.331.12.52.92.21.30.640.40.91.00.80.40.250.10.20.30.20.10.1

Next matches of SC Paderborn 07

24/10/2026 · GER.1HomeHamburg SV

31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayBorussia Mönchengladbach

7/11/2026 · GER.1HomeEintracht Frankfurt

Next matches of VfB Stuttgart

23/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBorussia Mönchengladbach

31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayBayer Leverkusen

7/11/2026 · GER.1HomeWerder Bremen

Our model gives SC Paderborn 07 win 22%, draw 20%, VfB Stuttgart win 58%. over 2.5 goals 71%. both teams to score 67%. expected goals 1.37 - 2.30. largest gap to the market: VfB Stuttgart win (4 points). Estimates, not guarantees.