Dundee vs Falkirk prediction, tips and odds

Next scheduled meeting: Dundee vs Falkirk, 5/12/2026, sco.1. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.

stadiumSCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Falkirk

VS14:00 GMT

Dundee

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.84

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

54%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Falkirk 1 - 1 Dundee

PROBABILITY

11.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Falkirk

49%2.041.95

Draw

25%4.033.65

Dundee

26%3.833.70

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Falkirk or draw

74%1.35—

Dundee or draw

51%1.96—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

78%1.28—

Under 1.5 goals

22%4.52—

Over 2.5 goals

54%1.851.71

Under 2.5 goals

46%2.172.05

Over 3.5 goals

32%3.16—

Under 3.5 goals

68%1.46—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

56%1.78—

Not both score (NG)

44%2.28—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Falkirk

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 6-7

LLDWD

DASt Johnstone1-1

WHHeart of Midlothian2-1

DADundee United1-1

LHRangers1-2

LACeltic1-2

Dundee

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-6

WLDLW

WHMotherwell2-1

LAHeart of Midlothian1-2

DHSt Johnstone1-1

LHHibernian1-2

WADundee United2-0

Head-to-head

2026-02-11

Falkirk1 - 0Dundee

2025-12-27

Dundee1 - 0Falkirk

2025-10-25

Falkirk2 - 1Dundee

2022-12-08

Falkirk0 - 3Dundee

2022-08-30

Dundee3 - 0Falkirk

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Team comparison

Falkirk

VS

Dundee

#181 ▲1Power Index 41.1

Power Ranking

#207 ▼2Power Index 37.1

€6.2m12th in the league

Squad value

€7.6m9th in the league

John McGlynnsince 4 May 2022 · 201 games · 1.88 pts/game

Head coach

Steven Pressleysince 2 Jun 2025 · 58 games · 1.29 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

49%Market 49%

Draw (X)

25%Market 25%

Away win (2)

26%Market 25%

Over 2.5 goals

54%Market 55%

Both teams to score

56%Market: —

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Falkirk 1 - 1 Dundee (11.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.4%
2. 1 - 09.8%
3. 2 - 19.6%
4. 2 - 08.2%
5. 0 - 16.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Dundee

Goals scored by Falkirk

01234505.86.83.91.50.40.119.811.46.62.60.70.228.29.65.62.20.60.134.65.33.11.20.30.141.92.21.30.50.10.050.60.80.40.20.00.0

Next matches of Falkirk

24/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeKilmarnock

28/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayAberdeen

1/11/2026 · SCO.1HomeCeltic

Next matches of Dundee

24/10/2026 · SCO.1AwaySt Mirren

28/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeKilmarnock

7/11/2026 · SCO.1AwaySt Johnstone

Our model gives Falkirk win 49%, draw 25%, Dundee win 26%. over 2.5 goals 54%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 1.68 - 1.16. largest gap to the market: Dundee win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.