Bayern Munich vs FC Augsburg prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich, 2026-10-10, German Bundesliga, kickoff 16:30 Athens time

stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•13:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

FC Augsburg

VS13:30 GMT

Bayern Munich

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

4.91

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

87%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

67%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams to score (GG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.41

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Both teams to score (GG)

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.41

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Augsburg 1 - 3 Bayern Munich

PROBABILITY

7.5%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.7Exp. cards 3.4

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Augsburg

7%14.2911.00

Draw

10%10.148.00

Bayern Munich

83%1.201.15

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Augsburg or draw

17%5.93—

Bayern Munich or draw

93%1.08—

Either team wins (no draw)

90%1.11—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

96%1.041.01

Under 1.5 goals

4%23.4910.50

Over 2.5 goals

87%1.151.11

Under 2.5 goals

13%7.555.20

Over 3.5 goals

72%1.381.33

Under 3.5 goals

28%3.603.00

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

67%1.49—

Not both score (NG)

33%3.04—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

79%1.27—

Under 7.5 corners

21%4.74—

Over 8.5 corners

70%1.43—

Under 8.5 corners

30%3.30—

Over 9.5 corners

60%1.681.48

Under 9.5 corners

40%2.472.40

Over 10.5 corners

49%2.031.88

Under 10.5 corners

51%1.971.82

Over 11.5 corners

39%2.542.40

Under 11.5 corners

61%1.651.50

Over 12.5 corners

30%3.283.15

Under 12.5 corners

70%1.441.30

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

84%1.19—

Under 1.5 cards

16%6.28—

Over 2.5 cards

65%1.531.75

Under 2.5 cards

35%2.881.95

Over 3.5 cards

44%2.272.70

Under 3.5 cards

56%1.791.38

Over 4.5 cards

26%3.84—

Under 4.5 cards

74%1.35—

Over 5.5 cards

14%7.22—

Under 5.5 cards

86%1.16—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Augsburg

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 13-8

WWDLD

DHHertha Berlin2-2

LAWerder Bremen2-3

DHBayer Leverkusen2-2

WAEintracht Frankfurt4-1

WHSchalke 043-0

Bayern Munich

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 18-2

WDWWW

WH1. FC Union Berlin7-0

WASV Elversberg2-1

WHBodo/Glimt5-0

DASchalke 040-0

WAVfL Osnabruck4-1

Head-to-head

2026-01-24

Bayern Munich1 - 2FC Augsburg

2025-08-30

FC Augsburg2 - 3Bayern Munich

2025-04-04

FC Augsburg1 - 3Bayern Munich

2024-11-22

Bayern Munich3 - 0FC Augsburg

2024-01-27

FC Augsburg2 - 3Bayern Munich

compare_arrows

Team comparison

FC Augsburg

VS

Bayern Munich

#89 ▼1Power Index 54.2

Power Ranking

#1Power Index 88.2

€192m9th in the league

Squad value

€1.04bn1st in the league

Manuel Baumsince 1 Dec 2025 · 29 games · 1.52 pts/game

Head coach

Vincent Kompanysince 1 Jul 2024 · 120 games · 2.43 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

7%Market 6%

Draw (X)

10%Market 9%

Away win (2)

83%Market 85%

Over 2.5 goals

87%Market 88%

Both teams to score

67%Market: —

Expected goals

1.2 - 3.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Augsburg 1 - 3 Bayern Munich (7.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 37.5%
2. 1 - 47.0%
3. 0 - 36.5%
4. 0 - 46.1%
5. 1 - 26.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Bayern Munich

Goals scored by FC Augsburg

01234500.72.85.26.56.14.610.93.26.07.57.05.320.51.93.54.44.13.130.20.71.31.71.61.240.10.20.40.50.50.350.00.00.10.10.10.1

Next matches of FC Augsburg

24/10/2026 · GER.1Home1. FC Union Berlin

31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSC Freiburg

7/11/2026 · GER.1AwayRB Leipzig

Next matches of Bayern Munich

25/10/2026 · GER.1AwaySC Freiburg

31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBorussia Dortmund

7/11/2026 · GER.1AwayMainz

Our model gives FC Augsburg win 7%, draw 10%, Bayern Munich win 83%. over 2.5 goals 87%. both teams to score 67%. expected goals 1.16 - 3.75. largest gap to the market: Bayern Munich win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.